Sep 19, 2022; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) and Minnesota Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins (8) meet on the field after the game at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

Vikings Eagles Pick, OVER and Devonta TD

Philly tried every way possible to lose in New England on Sunday, but still covered the spread in absolute spite of themselves. Minnesota meanwhile lost to Tampa Bay despite a strong game from Justin Jefferson and they roll into town catching 7 points on a short week.

The Eagles almost always win as favorites (21-3 SU) and the Vikings almost always lose as dogs (8-24 SU), but Minnesota also seldom covers in Philly, seldom vs NFC teams and seldom in Week 2.

Early-season fatigue and injuries figure to play a role here Thursday and a recurring theme in Philly might make bettors think twice about backing them – they usually win SU in Week 1 and usually lose ATS in Week 2. Philly will miss RB Keneth Gainwell and defensive starters James Bradberry, Nakobe Green, Reid Blankenship and possibly Fletcher Cox.

See the trends posted below and get the latest lines and super bonus at Draft Kings Sportsbook.

Vikings Eagles Pick: Odds Philadelphia -7, Total 48.5 | Matchup Report

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Why the Vikings can cover the spread

Justin Jefferson had nine catches and 150 yards Sunday and Kirk Cousins will lean on him here. There are actually zero trends you can point to suggesting the Vikes will cover here but the Eagles played so poorly and the Vikes cannot afford an 0-2 start so they need to keep things tight here.

They should be able to take advantage of the missing Eagle defenders.

The positive Minny trend leans OVER as they are 19-8 in 27 recent games and 8-2 in 10 recent games as road dogs. Philly is also OVER in 12 of 17 home games.

Why the Eagles can cover the spread

Starting 2-0 historically locks teams into a playoff spot and the Eagles are the superior team, but played like dog shit in a great escape at Foxboro. Al the things that worked last year, failed in Week 1 but they still won.

The Eagles have dominated the Vikings here over the years (9-2 ATS) and have won 7 of 8 Thursday night games in recent history.

Vikings Eagles Pick

We don’t trust the Eagles and can’t back the Vikings. We do see both teams moving the ball and both have explosive playmakers which immediately imperils that total of 48.5 points. I would bet OVER early because that number will climb.

Philadelphia Minnesota Prop Picks

Devonta Smith Anytime TD – Minnesota’s secondary was terrible in reception percentage and big plays last year and they need to focus on both AJ Brown and Smith. Good luck with that. Smith is currently +140 to score at TD at Draft Kings.

Vikings Eagles Betting Trends

Eagles are 21-3 SU in their last 24 games as the favorite.

Vikings are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games at Philadelphia

OVER is 19-8 Minnesota’s last 27 games.

Vikings are 1-6 ATS past 7 games

Vikings are 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 conference games

Vikings are 2-10-1 SU in their last 13 games played in Week 2.

Vikings are 8-24 SU in their last 32 games as the underdog, 1-7 ATS past 8

OVER is 12-5 Philadelphia’s last 17 games at home.

Eagles usually win SU in Week 1 then fail to cover in Week 2 – 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games

Eagles are 7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games played on a Thursday.

OVER is 8-2 past 10 Vikings games as road dogs


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