The Jets have been bad for so long that its amazing to think this is just the third time in nearly a decade they have been favored by a TD.
But Aaron Rodgers is in town now and so are the lame New England Patriots for the Week 3 Thursday Nighter. However, even when the Pats are bad, they still beat the Jets as their 15-1 SU mark indicates. They have also won 8 in a row here at the Meadowlands.
New York has some defensive injuries that will impact this game on a short week.
Patriots Jets Picks: Odds NYJ -6.5, Total 37.5 | Matchup Report
Why the Patriots can cover the spread
Head coach Jerod Mayo has the Patriots playing hard, even while they lack talent. And they have a long history of pounding the shit out of the Jets.
Their defense will battle hard against a Jets offense that hasn’t looked sharp at all through two games. In addition to head-to-head superiority, the Pats own the edge ATS going 10-3 in the past 13 meetings.
They have also punched above their weight on Thursdays, winning 15 of 20 games SU.
Why the Jets can cover the spread
The talent gap is substantial here and the stadium should be rocking for Rodgers real home debut. After rallying against the Titans and escaping with a win, this game is important to get a roll through a soft part of their schedule.
Rodgers receiving talent should give him the edge here against a scrappy defense. And their defense should be able to stifle the Pats, despite Jacoby Brissett’s connection with Hunter Henry so far.
We don’t see a high-scoring game here but the number 7 isn’t always lucky for bettors.
Patriots Jets Pick
It would be hard to bet against the Jets in their home opener in a game they should win, but we are avoiding the side bet here. We like the UNDER here as the last four meetings all played easily UNDER with three of those games UNDER 25.5. A lot of expert commentators are picking OVER, which also gives us some comfort betting UNDER.
Jets Patriots Betting Trends
Jets have been TD favorites just twice since 2015!
UNDER is 10-1 NY Jets’ last 11 divisional games
Patriots are 15-1 SU in their last 16 games vs NY Jets including 8 straight @ Jets
Patriots 10-3 ATS past 13 vs Jets
Patriots are 15-5 SU in their last 20 Thursday games
Jets failed to cover 6 straight Thursdays
Jets are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games as favorites
OVER is 7-1 past 8 times Pats have been dogs of 7 or more points
