Oct 18, 2021; Nashville, Tennessee, USA; Tennessee Titans free safety Kevin Byard (31) after an interception against the Buffalo Bills at Nissan Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

Titans small home chalk vs Saints

If you bet on the Tennessee Titans spread every game this season, you would have made a lot of money. The Titans are 7-2 ATS on the year, tied for the second-best ATS record in the NFL.

Still, the Titans are small home favorites against the New Orleans Saints here in Week 10.  Their offense has leaned into the passing attack more without Derrick Henry, and the Saints’ defense is 27th in passing yards allowed. The Saints are only 4-4 ATS, so why is this spread only 2.5 points? There is plenty of value on Titans -2.5 at FanDuel

Saints Titans Betting Odds, Tennessee -3, Total 44 | Matchup Report 

Why the New Orleans Saints will cover the spread

Even with the Saints’ loss to the Atlanta Falcons last week, they are still 5-3 and in sole possession of a wildcard spot in the NFC. The Saints can wipe out the Titans’ run game completely. 

The Saints are first in rush defense DVOA and have only allowed a team to run for over 100 yards once this season. Marcus Davenport and Cameron Jordan have done a great job of locking up the inside of the Saints’ defense. It is very tough to get any yards up the middle against this team. 

Why the Tennessee Titans will cover the spread

The Titans are first place in the AFC, and nobody is talking about it. They have won four games in a row, and the opponents they beat have a combined record of 21-14. They are beating some of the best teams in the league. 

It looks like the Saints will be without running back Alvin Kamara in this game, which would completely deflate their offense. He is their best weapon, and without him, I have a hard time seeing the Saints putting many points on the board. 

Trevor Siemian is not a threat to the Titans’ defense. He is 20th out of 26 Quarterbacks in EPA per play over the last two weeks and does not have the talent at wide receiver to make up for his weaknesses. 

Saints Titans Betting Pick

The Saints will be without their top running back and top quarterback. This is a team that has little to no firepower left on offense. The Titans’ defense has been playing very well as of late, sitting at 6th in EPA per play over their four-game win streak. Take the Titans -2.5.

Titans Saints Betting Trends

Saints are 14-2 SU in their last 16 Sunday road games

Saints are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games on the road.

Saints are 23-6-2 ATS in their last 31 games when playing as the underdog.

Titans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games.

Bet NO TEN

Rated 5/5

Rated 5/5

Upcoming Games

Dec 9th, 8:20 PM

Pittsburgh +3.5 -110

Minnesota -3.5 -110

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Dec 12th, 1:00 PM

Seattle -6.5 -110

Houston +6.5 -110

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Dec 12th, 1:00 PM

Jacksonville +9.5 -110

Tennessee -9.5 -110

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Dec 12th, 1:00 PM

Las Vegas +10 -110

Kansas City -10 -110

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Dec 12th, 1:00 PM

Dallas -5 -110

Washington +5 -110

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Dec 12th, 1:00 PM

New Orleans -6.5 -110

NY Jets +6.5 -110

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Dec 12th, 1:00 PM

Atlanta +2.5 -110

Carolina -2.5 -110

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Dec 12th, 1:00 PM

Baltimore -1 -110

Cleveland +1 -110

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Dec 12th, 4:05 PM

NY Giants +7.5 -110

LA Chargers -7.5 -110

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Dec 12th, 4:05 PM

Detroit +8.5 -110

Denver -8.5 -110

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Dec 12th, 4:25 PM

San Francisco +2.5 -110

Cincinnati -2.5 -110

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Dec 12th, 4:25 PM

Buffalo +3.5 -110

Tampa Bay -3.5 -110

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Dec 12th, 8:20 PM

Chicago +11 -110

Green Bay -11 -110

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Dec 13th, 8:15 PM

LA Rams +2.5 -110

Arizona -2.5 -110

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Dec 16th, 8:20 PM

Kansas City

LA Chargers

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