Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) drops back to pass against the Kansas City Chiefs during the second half in Super Bowl LVII at State Farm Stadium in Glendale on Feb. 12, 2023.Nfl Super Bowl Lvii Kansas City Chiefs Vs Philadelphia Eagles

Eagles Patriots Pick, Betting Trends, Props, Odds, Preview

For all the talk of Bill Belichick’s genius and being able to prepare a game plan against a superior foe, know this – the Patriots have lost six straight games as home underdogs and are just 1-5 ATS in those matchups.

So when they kick off the season catching 4 points at home to the defending NFC champion Philadelphia Eagles Sunday afternoon, they are up against it. And so are Patriots bettors.

Philly has motivation and a superior lineup and faces a very tough 2023 schedule. They will not and cannot mess around with lesser teams on their slate and this one such game. But beware a historical angle that sees Super Bowl losers also lose their season openers the following season, in which case the Eagles could be in trouble.

Eagles Patriots Pick: Odds New England +4, Total 45 at Draft Kings | Matchup Report

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Why the Eagles can cover the spread

Eagles are the second betting choice to win the Super Bowl at 7-1 odds and lead the NFC contenders for 2023. They have improved and added depth and their defensive line should be a menace for young QBs such as Mac Jones.

Philly usually wins as a favorite (20-3 SU run) and the Patriots usually lose as an underdog (1-10 SU run). Philly has been dominant as a road team and their offense is also loaded this year, meaning this could be a Sunday afternoon stomping.

Why the Patriots can cover the spread

Its a season opener, anything can happen and Belichick will have plans to neutralize Philly’s best players. The problem is Philly has a lot of playmakers.

New England should aim to pound the ball and wind the clock, keeping Jalen Hurts on the sidelines as much as possible.

Eagles Patriots Pick

On top of all the other trends and form that favor Philly, they have won 10 of the past 12 season openers and look primed to make it 11 of 13 Sunday. The Philly -4 may move with late action and it looks like a gift right now.

Pick: Eagles -4

Eagles Patriots Betting Trends

Patriots are 1-10 SU, 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as the underdog.

Eagles are 20-3 SU in their last 23 games as the favorite.

Eagles are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against New England

Eagles are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games on the road but just 3-9 ATS past 12

Eagles are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games played in Week 1.

Eagles won 9 straight as road chalk but just 3-6 ATS

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