Jan 16, 2022; Tampa, Florida, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back Giovani Bernard (25) holds off Philadelphia Eagles free safety Marcus Epps (22) in the third quarter in a NFC Wild Card playoff football game at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports

Eagles Buccaneers Pick, Hurts TD, Baker INT

After two sluggish victories, are the Philadelphia Eagles ready to bust out in Tampa Bay in the Week 3 Monday Nighter?

And after a pair of surprising wins, are the Bucs ready to come back to earth?

Philly is favored by five points and looks to avoid the upset trap that snagged Dallas and Baltimore yesterday. The Eagles usually win as favorites while the Bucs usually lose as underdogs.

The spread is five points, the Eagles have won 10 straight road games but only covered for of those games.

Eagles Buccaneers Pick: Odds TB +5, Total 44.5 | Matchup Report

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Why the Eagles can cover the spread

The offensive line is terrific and can blow up a running game while the defensive line is deep and ferocious. If games are won in the trenches, the Eagles win on both sides here. The offense has not impressed as yet, but hey can run when they need to run and have terrific passing options as well.

It’s hard to imagine a scenario where Philly doesn’t win here unless they self-sabotage. They flirted with the spread the past two weeks, so maybe this game stays close, but -5 looks like a deal here. The Bucs have covered just four times in 18 games when catching points.

Why the Bucs can cover the spread

Philly tends to not cover as a road team and has so far shown a knack for keeping games close when they should be routing teams. Does that change in Week 3?

The Philly secondary has been banged up and looked disorganized, allowing 340 passing yards per game to New England and Minnesota. Baker Mayfield will be encouraged to test the Eagles through the air.

Tampa’s defense is stout and is the best Philly has seen so far.

Eagles Buccaneers Pick

Philly has had 11 days off to prepare and rest banged-up players and should be primed for their first break-out game of the season. They can do it all on offense and the defense should be able to harass Mayfield into mistakes which makes this a blowout.

Eagles Bucs Props

Jalen Hurts +105 Anytime TD Scorer at Draft Kings – the guy is a tank and he gets all these goal-line chances, +105 feels like a gift from the sportsbook.

Baker Mayfield to throw an INT -120 – Philly’s DL will be coming hard and Mayfield has a long history of panicky plays under pressure. One INT seems a lock here, especially if Philly gets ahead and Baker needs to sling it regularly.

Monday Night Football Trends

Bucs are 2-9 ATS, 1-10 SU in their last 11 games played in Week 3.

Eagles are 22-3 SU in their last 25 games as the favorite.

Eagles have won 10 straight as road chalk but just 4-6 ATS

Eagles are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games on the road but just 3-8 ATS past 11

Eagles are 15-5-1 SU in their last 21 games in week 3 but just 3-9 ATS past 12

Bucs are 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 games.

UNDER is 17-6 Tampa Bay’s last 23 conference games

Bucs are 12-30 SU in their last 42 games as the underdog

Upcoming Games

Jan 26th, 3:00 PM

Washington +6 -110

Philadelphia -6 -110

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Jan 26th, 6:30 PM

Buffalo +1.5 -116

Kansas City -1.5 -116

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