There are so many UNDER trends in this game that it almost feels like a set-up by the oddsmakers at 41.5. Denver within the AFC, Denver overall, Pittsburgh vs the AFC, Pittsburgh as a favorite, Pittsburgh in Week 2 – all heavy UNDER trends.
Both teams played on Monday night, with different results. Pittsburgh started off rough against the Giants but turned things around quickly once the defense got pressure on Daniel Jones. Ben Roethlisburger flashed what he once was, and looked good overall on Monday night after recovering from elbow surgery this offseason.
Denver on the other hand lost on a game winning field goal by Stephen Gostkowski, and had a hard time putting up points against the Titans defense. Jerry Jeudy had a big drop in the fourth quarter that really hurt their chances of winning.
Denver is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog, and I like for that trend to continue as the opening line of -4.5 was bet all the way to -7.5 at BetRivers Sportsbook. I like Denver +7.5 on the road against the Steelers and reluctantly bet with all the UNDER trends because it seems like the best bet.