So much for the 49ers being Super Bowl favorites. Losing three out of four will sour anyone on your credibility, yet despite the poor play and injuries, San Francisco visits Seattle as road chalk in the Week 6 Thursday Nighter.
San Fran remains 3.5-point favorites but bettors have pushed the total to 49 from 47 early in the week, meaning a real threat for UNDER bettors. Seattle meanwhile comes off a terrible loss to the Giants and has won just three times in 14 recent tries as an underdog.
They do own the edge at home vs the 49ers, who have lost both times as road chalk this season so far. Seattle meanwhile has won 5 of 7 as home dogs.
49ers Seahawks Thursday Night Pick: Odds SEA +3.5, Total 49 | Matchup Report
Why the 49ers can cover the spread
San Fran remains the superior roster even with Christian McCaffrey and others out. And they have been moneymakers within the NFC West at 12-5 ATS in 17 recent divisional games.
The ground game has pulverized the Seahawks in five recent matchups with the Niners gaining nearly 170 YPG each time. And the Seahawks have been lame against the run so far in 2024.
Seattle usually loses as an underdog (3-11 SU) and have lost two straight after a 3-0 start. Injuries on defense have been a bog part of that stumble.
Why the Seahawks can cover the spread
Despite their poor play as a road dog, Seattle has won outright five of seven trips as home underdogs. And they own a 12-4 ATS mark in 16 home games vs the Niners going back many years.
The offense led by Geno Smith has plenty of talented weapons and they put up 29 against the Lions in a loss before fading to the Giants in Week 5. If you bet the Seahawks now, you get that hook at +3.5 which comes in super handy in a FG win.
49ers Seahawks Thursday Night Pick
The 49ers should be able to abuse the middle of the Seahawks defense which is without key linebackers. And while we think they can cover here, we are more convinced that both teams’ offenses will get the better of the other teams’ defenses. That spells an OVER 49 in our books.
Seahawks 49ers Betting Trends
Seahawks are 3-11 SU in their last 14 games when playing as the underdog.
Seahawks are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games at home against San Francisco, 12-4 ATS past 16 here
Niners are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 divisional games.
Niners are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games
Niners lost SU both times as road chalk this year
Seahawks won 5 of past 7 SU as home dogs
UNDER is 7-2 past 9 games as home dogs