September 18, 2022; Santa Clara, California, USA; San Francisco 49ers defensive end Nick Bosa (97) rushes against Seattle Seahawks offensive tackle Charles Cross (67) during the first quarter at Levi's Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

Seahawks 49ers Wild Card Pick, SF Rolls

Can a Wild Card game against a divisional rival be a letdown spot? If you are Seattle, who won in OT then sweated out a Lions upset of Green Bay just to make the playoffs, the answer is probably yes.

The Seahawks are double-digit underdogs at San Francisco where the 49ers are favorites to win the NFC title. It’s the second time in two weeks Seattle is double-digit dog, it hadn’t happened since 2011 before that.

The problem here is Seattle’s defense is no match for the varied and explosive 49ers offense. The opportunity here is shaking the confidence of rookie QB Brock Purdy with an early score or an early pick. The 49ers have won 10 straight overall, have covered 8 straight divisional games and almost always cover at home.

Seahawks 49ers Wild Card Pick: Odds SF -10, Total 43 | Matchup Report

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Why the Seahawks can cover the spread

Geno Smith had a terrific season boosted by presumptive offensive rookie of the year Kenneth Walker III. D.K. Metcalf is his preferred weapon up top and he can win any battle with any defensive back.

Seattle also owns a historical edge against the 49ers, losing just four of the past 19 meetings. Is that enough to spring the upset? Probably not but its enough to spring a cover of 10 points.

Why the 49ers can cover the spread

A dominant defense and possibly the league’s most diverse offense makes this a tough task for Seattle, who have to feel lucky to be here at all. All the recent trends tilt heavily towards San Francisco while the Seahawks skidded to a 1-7 ATS streak in the second half of the season.

Saturday game? 49ers dominate 11-1 SU. Divisional game? They are 8-0 ATS. At home? 12-1 SU, 11-2 ATS. In January? 18-4-1 ATS.

Seahawks 49ers Wild Card Pick

Laying 10 points in the playoffs is a tough ask for a bettor, but this should be a one-sided contest that is over by halftime. We are comfortable laying the 10 points as the 49ers roll.

49ers Seahawks Anytime TD Props

Brandon Aiyuk +220

Aiyuk has two touchdowns in his last five games. He also had 12 targets in Week 17 against the Raiders.

DK Metcalf +280

Metcalf has been quiet as of late, but these odds are too good to pass up.

Seahawks 49ers Betting Trends

Seahawks 2-9 ATS as DD dogs dating to 2008

Seahawks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games

49ers have won 10 straight games SU

Seahawks are 15-4 SU in their last 19 games against San Francisco.

49ers are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games

UNDER is 8-1 past 9 San Fran playoff games

49ers are 12-1 SU, 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games at home.

49ers covered 8 straight divisional games

49ers are 18-4-1 ATS in their last 23 games played in January.

49ers are 11-1 SU, 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games played on a Saturday.


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