A new trend as Philadelphia faces Kansas City in the Super Bowl, the second times in three seasons. What is different this time?
Same coaches, same QBs. Philly has a better defense and Vic Fangio and Steve Spagnuolo will battle blow for blow. Philadelphia has won 15 of 16 games SU while the Chiefs have won 18 straight SU as favorites and 17 straight in one-possession games.
Philly is a small dog as of Jan. 28 and they are 10-2 ATS as a playoff dog since 2001. The Chiefs have only lost 4 of 23 games away from Arrowhead and a weird one for the Eagles – they have not scored more than 15 points in their last 4 visits to New Orleans (all against the Saints of course but maybe there is bad offensive voodoo facing them there?)
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Philadelphia vs Kansas City -1.5, Total 49.5 | Matchup Report
Chiefs have won 18 straight as favorites
Eagles are 15-1 SU past 16 games (only loss when Jalen Hurts got concussion and left game)
Eagles are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games
Eagles are 10-2 ATS as playoff dog since 2001, winning SU 6 times
Chiefs UNDER is 5-1 past 6 as playoff chalk (OVER was last week vs Bills)
OVER is 5-2 past 7 meetings
Chiefs are 19-4 SU past 23 away from Arrowhead
Chiefs are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 non-conference games
Eagles are 16-5 SU in their last 21 non-conference games
Eagles have lost 18 of past 25 games as underdogs
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Archived Super Bowl betting trends article from Jan. 31, 2024
They have the better quarterback, the better coaches, the better defense and have been playing better, but the Kansas City Chiefs are still underdogs a week before Suer Bowl 58 vs the San Francisco 49ers.
So how do Super Bowl 58 betting trends stack up, especially with Kansas City as the underdog? Pound the Chiefs.
In their past 22 games as an underdog, the Chiefs are 17-4-1 ATS. And they have won outright the past three times as a playoff dog. What trends point to the 49ers? They have won eight in a row as playoff favorites and won 11 of their past 14 games away from SoFi Stadium.
For coin toss bettors, last season broke an 8-game streak where the winner of the toss ended up losing the game. The Chiefs called tails, won and then rallied to beat the Eagles in Super Bowl 57.
Check out the rest of our Super Bowl 58 betting trends.
Chiefs are 17-4-1 ATS in their last 22 games as the underdog.
Chiefs have covered 5 straight games and also covered 5 straight playoff games
Chiefs won outright past three games as playoff dog
UNDER is 12-4 past 16 KC games
49ers won 8 straight as playoff chalk dating to 2014
Chiefs 6-1 ATS past 7 games vs 49ers
49ers won 11 of 14 away from SoFi Stadium
49ers just 3-7 ATS in past 10 non-conference games
Chiefs are 9-3 ATS their last 12 non-conference games
Long-term trend? Chiefs have won 70 of their last 88 games
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Archived Super Bowl betting trends article from Feb. 3, 2023
Cincinnati bucked a 12-year Super Bowl trend last when they covered the point spread while losing the game outright.
Before that, bettors didn’t really need to handicap the line, they just needed to predict which team would win as 12 straight teams that won had covered the spread. And the Super Bowl 57 point spread is so tight (1.5 points favoring the Eagles as of Feb. 3) that picking the winner – either the Kansas City Chiefs or the Philadelphia Eagles – is the only real challenge.
The total was sitting at 50.5, a high number and possibly a recipe for a fifth straight Super Bowl UNDER. Underdogs are now on an 11-4 ATS run in Super Bowls although KC is 0-5 ATS as a playoff dog dating to 1994.
