Oct 29, 2023; Nashville, Tennessee, USA;  Tennessee Titans quarterback Will Levis (8) hands the ball to running back Derrick Henry (22) against the Atlanta Falcons during the second half at Nissan Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Steve Roberts-USA TODAY Sports

Titans Steelers Pick, TNF UNDER, Hopkins Props

Will Levis and DeAndre Hopkins were an instant hit and the Tennessee Titans look to ride their connection to a short-week win at Pittsburgh in Week 9.

The Titan duo was part of a 4-TD display by the rookie QB and they face a banged-up Steelers team that may be without QB Kenny Pickett and will be minus Minkah Fitzpatrick and other key defenders. Pickett says he is playing regardless of his sore ribs, we will see.

There are UNDER trends everywhere but the total is so low and the Titans looked so good that it’s hard to consider the OVER on Thursday Night Football.

Titans Steelers Pick: Odds PIT -3, Total 36.5 at Draft Kings Sportsbook.| Matchup Report

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Why the Titans can cover the spread

Tennessee scorched a good New Orleans defense last week and Pittsburgh will put up no such resistance. Derrick Henry can set the tone and the passing game can exploit the Steelers lame secondary.

Add the uncertainty over Pickett and his shaky backup Mitch Trubisky and you have a recipe for an easy cover here.

Why the Steelers can cover the spread

The Titans have lost 6 straight on the road while the Steelers ride an 8-3 ATS mark over 11 games. The spread opened at -4.5 but was quickly bet to -3.

Pittsburgh dominates the AFC South (17-4 SU over 21 games) and Pickett’s pledge to return quickly from sore ribs gives the Steelers confidence on a short week. His clicking with George Pickens is now a problem for the rest of the league.

The spread is small, the Steelers are at home, we might be over-reacting to one good Tennessee outing.

Titans Steelers Pick

Many experts like the Titans +3 here but we take a different approach to the same line of thinking. We do see the Steelers and Titans putting up points despite their anemic offenses so far. At 36.5 points, even a low-scoring 20-17 game creates the OVER. That is our play on TNF.

Steelers Titans Prop Picks

DeAndre Hopkins +200 Anytime TD at Draft Kings – the slick WR clicked with Levis and the Steelers are a poor pass defending team. He is great value here at 2/1 odds.

Derrick Henry UNDER 72.5 rushing yards at Draft Kings – this is a low number but we see the aerial game being an easier path.

Steelers Titans Betting Trends

Steelers are 17-4 SU in their last 21 games against an opponent in the AFC South division

UNDER is 13-2 Tennessee’s last 15 conference games

UNDER is 16-5 Tennessee’s last 21 games.

UNDER is 10-3 Pittsburgh’s last 13 games.

UNDER is 8-3 Pittsburgh’s last 11 games as the favorite.

Upcoming Games

Dec 4th, 8:15 PM

Cincinnati +5.5 -114

Jacksonville -5.5 -114

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Dec 7th, 8:15 PM

New England +6.5 -110

Pittsburgh -6.5 -110

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Dec 10th, 1:00 PM

Detroit -5.5 -116

Chicago +5.5 -116

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Dec 10th, 1:00 PM

Carolina +6.5 -103

New Orleans -6.5 -103

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Dec 10th, 1:00 PM

Tampa Bay +2.5 -106

Atlanta -2.5 -106

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Dec 10th, 1:00 PM

LA Rams +6.5 -118

Baltimore -6.5 -118

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Dec 10th, 1:00 PM

Indianapolis -0.5 -110

Cincinnati +0.5 -110

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Dec 10th, 1:00 PM

Jacksonville -2.5 -115

Cleveland +2.5 -115

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Dec 10th, 1:00 PM

Houston -5.5 -115

NY Jets +5.5 -115

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Dec 10th, 4:05 PM

Minnesota +0.5 -115

Las Vegas -0.5 -115

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Dec 10th, 4:05 PM

Seattle +10.5 -108

San Francisco -10.5 -108

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Dec 10th, 4:25 PM

Buffalo +2.5 -125

Kansas City -2.5 -125

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Dec 10th, 4:25 PM

Denver +3.5 +103

LA Chargers -3.5 +103

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Dec 10th, 8:20 PM

Philadelphia +1.5 -110

Dallas -1.5 -110

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Dec 11th, 8:15 PM

Tennessee +11.5 -111

Miami -11.5 -111

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Dec 11th, 8:15 PM

Green Bay -5.5 -102

NY Giants +5.5 -102

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