Sep 11, 2022; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Chicago Bears running back David Montgomery (32) runs the ball in the second quarter against the San Francisco 49ers at Soldier Field. Mandatory Credit: Daniel Bartel-USA TODAY Sports

Washington Chicago Pick, Back Bears on TNF?

The last time Chicago covered the spread at home against Washington, Walter Payton scored a TD and threw a TD pass to Jim McMahon in a 45-10 drubbing Sept. 29, 1985.

Since then, the Bears have hosted Washington nine times and covered zero times. In fact, they won just once back in 2003.

So, a line that opened -1 for the dreadful Commanders was quickly bet to -1 for the dreadful Bears in the Week 6 Monday Nighter. Washington seems to hate their defensive coach and HC Ron Rivera threw Carson Wentz firmly under the bus after their Week 5 loss. What a mess…

Of note, Wentz has never lost on Thursday night (6-0 SU).

Washington Chicago Pick: Odds CHI -1, Total 38 at FanDuel | Matchup Stats

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Why the Commanders can cover the spread

Some folks don’t like historical trends and but, when team after team, decade after decade always loses to another team, you wonder why. Washington is 8-1 SU and 9-0 ATS here since 1985. Is that enough to back them here as small road dogs? Of course not, but the Bears have been terrible as well.

The Bears almost never cover against the NFC East for whatever reason and trusting Chicago with points is financial folly.

Why the Bears can cover the spread

For starters, Washington is terrible and on the verge of implosion. Wentz breaks down at the worst time and Justin Fields has been able to move the ball against bad defenses so far in 2022.

On short weeks, the Bears have been a pleasant surprise, winning five of the past six seasons. Watch the weather here as there is wind forecast, which accounts for the shrinking total (38 at FanDuel as of Tuesday).

Washington Chicago Pick

In battles of terrible teams, we often side with the terrible home team especially when they are dogs or small chalk. We won’t be betting this one big and the UNDER could be a trick by the sportsbooks, who realize neither team has much to lose and will throw caution to the Soldier Field wind.

Washington Chicago Anytime TD Prop Picks

Justin Fields +220 at FanDuel – We have Fields outshining Wentz (not a tough task) here on Thursday and timing matters into his own hands (and feet).

Brian Robinson +200 at FanDuel The Washington RB missed games recovering from gunshot wounds and got 18 snaps last week. He scores at least once here (he is 16-1 if you bet 2 TDs).

Washington Chicago Betting Trends

Bears are 2-12 SU in their last 14 games as the underdog.

UNDER is 10-2 Chicago’s last 12 games played in October.

Commanders are 2-11 SU in their last 13 games played in October.

UNDER is 15-3 Washington’s last 18 games played in October.

Commanders are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games against Chicago.

Commanders are 8-1 SU 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Chicago.

OVER is 9-2 Washington’s last 11 games played on a Thursday

UNDER is 21-8 Chicago’s last 29 games at home.

Bears are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games vs NFC East division

Bears are 5-1 SU in their last 6 on a Thursday.

More Washington Chicago pick info coming soon….

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