It’s here. It’s finally freakin’ here. After a long, strange, frustrating off-season, NFL football is back. And we’ll be here to guide you with weekly picks against the spread every week. Here are our first 16 dart throws of 2020, with odds coming from SugarHouse Sportsbook.
Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs (-9.5): CHIEFS
Andy Reid is better than any other coach in football with extra time to prepare, as evidenced by his 5-2 ATS record in Week 1 since becoming Kansas City’s head coach in 2013 and his near-annual dominance following bye weeks. Combine that with the fact the Texans will be adjusting to life without All-Pro receiver DeAndre Hopkins with replacement Brandin Cooks hurting and the Chiefs should be able to hit a double-digit margin of victory here.
Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (-3): LIONS
The public hasn’t wised up to the fact the Lions are way better than the Bears, especially with Matthew Stafford healthy. No way I’m trusting Mitchell Trubisky in this spot, and Khalil Mack can’t do it all on his own. The push feels like a worst-case scenario here.
Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens (-8): BROWNS
Cleveland played Baltimore close last year and should be as prepared as ever for Lamar Jackson this time. The Ravens line will be adjusting to life without Marshal Yanda, while Cleveland has tooled up on offense to deal with that stout Baltimore defensive front. These teams aren’t eight points apart, especially considering the lack of fans in the stands.
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings (-2.5): PACKERS
Green Bay is winning this straight-up. The Vikes will be adjusting on the fly to an entirely new secondary without the help of pass-rushing stud Danielle Hunter up front, and it’s tough to tell if Yannick Ngakoue will be ready to step right in and make an impact sans Hunter. Look for the Packers’ pass rush to be the difference-maker while Rodgers makes a statement.
Indianapolis Colts (-8) at Jacksonville Jaguars: COLTS
I’d need a double-digit spread to consider Jacksonville after that eleventh-hour off-season gut-job. The Jags aren’t positioned to win and hardly care to win, while the Colts are relatively healthy and should receive a boost from new quarterback Philip Rivers. This should be a blowout.