Maybe you’ve already got your picks in for Week 18 of the 2023 NFL regular season, but by focusing only on point spreads, moneylines or fantasy, you’re robbing yourself of potential opportunities to make money on over/unders.
Here are a few totals for this week that are worthy of your attention with lines as of Friday at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Giants @ Eagles 37.5 – Play OVER
No Saquon and Philly will rest its regulars, making this a weird line and total. But the Giants come off an offensive explosion last week and the Eagles second stringers chipped in on the destruction of Dallas.
This game could be OVER 37.5 by halftime if things gets weird and its already weird before kickoff. We play OVER here.
Chiefs @ Broncos 39.5 – Play UNDER
KC will rest everyone but have enough depth on defense to be competitive here against a stressed-out rookie QB in Bo Nix. It’s still a divisional game and Denver cannot afford to make mistakes so they should be playing it safe while avoiding any escape hatches for KC.
This just feels like a grinding 17-12 type of game which the Chiefs might just win in spite of themselves.
Vikings @ Lions 57 – Play OVER
Hard to recommend playing OVER when the total is 57 but Detroit cannot stop anyone and they cannot be stopped. So watching both the Lions and Vikings score well into the 30s is not a far-fetched concept since they both do it regularly.
The OVER is 9-2 past 11 meetings and 7-1 in Minnesota’s last seven divisional games. The stakes are high for the No. 1 seed in the NFC, neither team will shrink from the task and neither team is capable of playing it safe. Play OVER.
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Archived Week 18 NFL OVER UNDER picks article from Jan. 5, 2024
Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens (37.5): Under – Bet it now
I know this is already quite low, but no Lamar Jackson for the Ravens and the Steelers defense is up to seventh in the NFL in points allowed. That offense has had two strong weeks in a row but isn’t talented enough to keep that up and will likely come back to earth against a tough opponent, regardless of who Baltimore sits.
New York Jets at New England Patriots (30.5): Over –Â Bet it now
Oh come on! In what is likely to be Bill Belichick’s last-ever game in Foxborough? This is a little much. The Pats have scored at least 17 points in each of their last four games and they should have some life in them for old Billy here. The Jets have also surrendered at least 28 in each of their last three outings.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (40): Over –Â Bet it now
The Jaguars offense is getting back on track, and I’d also expect the Titans offense to play hard in what might be a swan song for both Ryan Tannehill (if indeed he starts for the injured Will Levis) and Derrick Henry.
Archived NFL Week 18 OVER UNDER picks article from Jan. 7, 2022
For the first time ever, we have Week 18 OVER UNDER picks to consider after the league added its extra game in 2021.
Here are several totals for this week that are worthy of your attention, including divisional matchups. Odds are Thursday lines.
Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos: 45
Kansas City’s offense might be on fire, but the defense has generally been fantastic as well and Denver’s offense is lifeless. The Broncos have scored 13 or fewer points in four of their last five games, the Chiefs have allowed 14 or fewer in six of their last eight, and even the still-solid Denver defense has held four of the team’s last six opponents to 17 or fewer points. I could see this one ending 24-10 or something in that range.
Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans: 43
The Texans can still score points. They put up a combined 71 in Weeks 15 and 16, and everyone knows the defense sucks. Meanwhile, the Titans are coming off a 34-point effort and will likely need this to secure the top seed in the AFC. They won’t hold back on a division rival on the road. This one should hit the 50s.
New York Jets at Buffalo Bills: 41
Huh? The Jets have scored 24-plus points in three consecutive games, and they put up 17 against the Bills earlier this season. Meanwhile, Buffalo loves to win in blowout fashion and should be expected to do so here. Simply do the math with the league’s third-highest-scoring offense. Buffalo should win this one in the range of 34-20, producing an easy over.