Week 11 College Football Picks: Fresno Over Boise, Washington State A Short Road Favorite And More

Each week we’ll be providing our top college football picks. Season Record: 17-13.

This week we have six plays, including Fresno State laying a short number on the road in Boise and fading Duke as a big favorite.

Also check out our NFL Week 10 “Lookahead Lines” story, finding value (or not) by comparing earlier lines, and identifying recency bias. Back to the college game:

Week 11 College Football Picks: Fresno State Bulldogs -2.5 at Boise State, Fading Duke, And More Miami Dominance Over Georgia Tech


Fresno State -2.5 over Boise State (Friday)

This is a huge game in the Mountain West Conference. Fresno State is 8-1 and Boise State 7-2. It might be surprising to see the Broncos as the home dog here but there’s a reason for it. Fresno State is just a much better team.

The Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings and won last year in Boise 28-17. Boise State has already lost at home to San Diego State and its offense struggles against better defenses. Fresno State is holding conference opponents to 93 yards below their season average, while quarterbacks hit just 48 percent of their passes against the Bulldogs.

A Las Vegas oddsmaker recently stated he would make Fresno State around a field goal favorite over UCF on a neutral field. The Bulldogs are the best non-Power 5 team this season. There’s value taking the Bulldogs under a field goal. They should win rather easily on the road in a showcase game.

 
 

Read more Week 11 College Football Picks: Fresno Over Boise, Washington State A Short Road Favorite And More on SportsHandle.

Upcoming Games

Aug 18th, 8:00 PM

Chicago +3 -125

Seattle -3 -125

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Aug 19th, 7:00 PM

Carolina -1.5 -110

New England +1.5 -110

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Aug 19th, 8:00 PM

New Orleans +3 -125

Green Bay -3 -125

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Aug 19th, 10:00 PM

Houston +2.5 -110

LA Rams -2.5 -110

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Aug 20th, 1:00 PM

Detroit -1.5 -105

Indianapolis +1.5 -105

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Aug 20th, 1:00 PM

Denver -1 -110

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Aug 20th, 4:00 PM

Washington +3.5 -105

Kansas City -3.5 -105

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Aug 20th, 7:00 PM

Pittsburgh +2.5 -110

Jacksonville -2.5 -110

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Aug 20th, 7:00 PM

Las Vegas -2 -110

Miami +2 -110

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Aug 20th, 7:00 PM

Tampa Bay +2.5 -110

Tennessee -2.5 -110

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Aug 20th, 7:00 PM

San Francisco +4.5 -110

Minnesota -4.5 -110

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Aug 20th, 10:00 PM

Dallas +3 -110

LA Chargers -3 -110

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Aug 21st, 1:00 PM

Philadelphia -3 -110

Cleveland +3 -110

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Aug 21st, 7:00 PM

Cincinnati +2.5 -120

NY Giants -2.5 -120

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Aug 21st, 8:00 PM

Baltimore +1.5 -110

Arizona -1.5 -110

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Aug 22nd, 8:00 PM

Atlanta +1.5 -110

NY Jets -1.5 -110

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Aug 25th, 8:00 PM

Green Bay

Kansas City

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Aug 25th, 8:15 PM

San Francisco

Houston

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