Week 11 College Football Picks: Fresno Over Boise, Washington State A Short Road Favorite And More

Each week we’ll be providing our top college football picks. Season Record: 17-13.

This week we have six plays, including Fresno State laying a short number on the road in Boise and fading Duke as a big favorite.

Also check out our NFL Week 10 “Lookahead Lines” story, finding value (or not) by comparing earlier lines, and identifying recency bias. Back to the college game:

Week 11 College Football Picks: Fresno State Bulldogs -2.5 at Boise State, Fading Duke, And More Miami Dominance Over Georgia Tech


Fresno State -2.5 over Boise State (Friday)

This is a huge game in the Mountain West Conference. Fresno State is 8-1 and Boise State 7-2. It might be surprising to see the Broncos as the home dog here but there’s a reason for it. Fresno State is just a much better team.

The Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings and won last year in Boise 28-17. Boise State has already lost at home to San Diego State and its offense struggles against better defenses. Fresno State is holding conference opponents to 93 yards below their season average, while quarterbacks hit just 48 percent of their passes against the Bulldogs.

A Las Vegas oddsmaker recently stated he would make Fresno State around a field goal favorite over UCF on a neutral field. The Bulldogs are the best non-Power 5 team this season. There’s value taking the Bulldogs under a field goal. They should win rather easily on the road in a showcase game.

 
 

Read more Week 11 College Football Picks: Fresno Over Boise, Washington State A Short Road Favorite And More on SportsHandle.

Upcoming Games

Dec 4th, 1:00 PM

Green Bay -2.5 -110

Chicago +2.5 -110

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Dec 4th, 1:00 PM

Cleveland -4.5 -110

Houston +4.5 -110

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Dec 4th, 1:00 PM

NY Jets +2.5 -110

Minnesota -2.5 -110

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Dec 4th, 1:00 PM

Pittsburgh +1 -110

Atlanta -1 -110

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Dec 4th, 1:00 PM

Denver +6.5 -110

Baltimore -6.5 -110

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Dec 4th, 1:00 PM

Jacksonville -1 -110

Detroit +1 -110

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Dec 4th, 1:00 PM

Washington -1 -110

NY Giants +1 -110

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Dec 4th, 1:00 PM

Tennessee +7 -110

Philadelphia -7 -110

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Dec 4th, 4:05 PM

Seattle -3 -110

LA Rams +3 -110

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Dec 4th, 4:05 PM

Miami +5 -110

San Francisco -5 -110

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Dec 4th, 4:25 PM

LA Chargers -3 -110

Las Vegas +3 -110

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Dec 4th, 4:25 PM

Kansas City -3 -110

Cincinnati +3 -110

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Dec 4th, 8:20 PM

Indianapolis +9.5 -110

Dallas -9.5 -110

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Dec 5th, 8:15 PM

New Orleans +6.5 -110

Tampa Bay -6.5 -110

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Dec 8th, 8:15 PM

Las Vegas -5.5 -110

LA Rams +5.5 -110

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Dec 11th, 1:00 PM

Houston +14 -110

Dallas -14 -110

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Dec 11th, 1:00 PM

Jacksonville +3.5 -110

Tennessee -3.5 -110

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Dec 11th, 1:00 PM

NY Jets +9 -110

Buffalo -9 -110

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Dec 11th, 1:00 PM

Cleveland +4 -110

Cincinnati -4 -110

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Dec 11th, 1:00 PM

Minnesota -3 -110

Detroit +3 -110

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Dec 11th, 1:00 PM

Philadelphia -6 -110

NY Giants +6 -110

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Dec 11th, 1:00 PM

Baltimore -4.5 -110

Pittsburgh +4.5 -110

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Dec 11th, 4:05 PM

Kansas City -6.5 -110

Denver +6.5 -110

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Dec 11th, 4:25 PM

Carolina +7 -110

Seattle -7 -110

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Dec 11th, 4:25 PM

Tampa Bay +6 -110

San Francisco -6 -110

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Dec 11th, 8:20 PM

Miami -1.5 -110

LA Chargers +1.5 -110

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