Week 11 College Football Picks: Fresno Over Boise, Washington State A Short Road Favorite And More

Each week we’ll be providing our top college football picks. Season Record: 17-13.

This week we have six plays, including Fresno State laying a short number on the road in Boise and fading Duke as a big favorite.

Also check out our NFL Week 10 “Lookahead Lines” story, finding value (or not) by comparing earlier lines, and identifying recency bias. Back to the college game:

Week 11 College Football Picks: Fresno State Bulldogs -2.5 at Boise State, Fading Duke, And More Miami Dominance Over Georgia Tech


Fresno State -2.5 over Boise State (Friday)

This is a huge game in the Mountain West Conference. Fresno State is 8-1 and Boise State 7-2. It might be surprising to see the Broncos as the home dog here but there’s a reason for it. Fresno State is just a much better team.

The Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings and won last year in Boise 28-17. Boise State has already lost at home to San Diego State and its offense struggles against better defenses. Fresno State is holding conference opponents to 93 yards below their season average, while quarterbacks hit just 48 percent of their passes against the Bulldogs.

A Las Vegas oddsmaker recently stated he would make Fresno State around a field goal favorite over UCF on a neutral field. The Bulldogs are the best non-Power 5 team this season. There’s value taking the Bulldogs under a field goal. They should win rather easily on the road in a showcase game.

 
 

Read more Week 11 College Football Picks: Fresno Over Boise, Washington State A Short Road Favorite And More on SportsHandle.

Upcoming Games

Dec 5th, 1:00 PM

Indianapolis -7 -110

Houston +7 -110

@

Dec 5th, 1:00 PM

Arizona -7 -110

Chicago +7 -110

@

Dec 5th, 1:00 PM

NY Giants +2.5 -120

Miami -2.5 -120

@

Dec 5th, 1:00 PM

Minnesota -7.5 -110

Detroit +7.5 -110

@

Dec 5th, 1:00 PM

Philadelphia -6.5 -110

NY Jets +6.5 -110

@

Dec 5th, 1:00 PM

LA Chargers +1.5 -110

Cincinnati -1.5 -110

@

Dec 5th, 1:00 PM

Tampa Bay -9.5 -110

Atlanta +9.5 -110

@

Dec 5th, 4:05 PM

Washington +1.5 -110

Las Vegas -1.5 -110

@

Dec 5th, 4:05 PM

Jacksonville +12 -110

LA Rams -12 -110

@

Dec 5th, 4:25 PM

Baltimore -3 -120

Pittsburgh +3 -120

@

Dec 5th, 4:25 PM

San Francisco -3 -110

Seattle +3 -110

@

Dec 5th, 8:20 PM

Denver +9.5 -111

Kansas City -9.5 -111

@

Dec 6th, 8:15 PM

New England +3.5 -110

Buffalo -3.5 -110

@

Dec 9th, 8:20 PM

Pittsburgh +3.5 -110

Minnesota -3.5 -110

@

Dec 12th, 1:00 PM

Seattle -6.5 -110

Houston +6.5 -110

@

Dec 12th, 1:00 PM

Jacksonville +9.5 -110

Tennessee -9.5 -110

@

Dec 12th, 1:00 PM

Las Vegas +10 -110

Kansas City -10 -110

@

Dec 12th, 1:00 PM

Dallas -5 -110

Washington +5 -110

@

Dec 12th, 1:00 PM

New Orleans -6.5 -110

NY Jets +6.5 -110

@

Dec 12th, 1:00 PM

Atlanta +2.5 -110

Carolina -2.5 -110

@

Dec 12th, 1:00 PM

Baltimore -1 -110

Cleveland +1 -110

@

Dec 12th, 4:05 PM

NY Giants +7.5 -110

LA Chargers -7.5 -110

@

Dec 12th, 4:05 PM

Detroit +8.5 -110

Denver -8.5 -110

@

Dec 12th, 4:25 PM

San Francisco +2.5 -110

Cincinnati -2.5 -110

@

Dec 12th, 4:25 PM

Buffalo +3.5 -110

Tampa Bay -3.5 -110

@

Dec 12th, 8:20 PM

Chicago +11 -110

Green Bay -11 -110

@