Breaking down the historically high total for Chiefs-Rams
The total for Monday night's highly-touted matchup between the 9-1 Kansas City Chiefs and the 9-1 Los Angeles Rams is making history as a result of its astronomically high total.
The over/under has even moved to 64 in some spots, and it's entirely possible it'll move higher as hype builds and folks continue to take the over regardless of where sportsbooks set it.
For what it's worth, it's hard to imagine this game won't contain at least 30 points per side. After all, the Chiefs and Rams are averaging a combined 68.8 points per game this season. Eight of Kansas City's 10 games have contained at least 50 points, while four of L.A.'s 10 outings have contained at least 64.
Also for what it's worth, Pro Football Reference's super-awesome database indicates that all five games this century with totals north of 58 have gone over.
My primary note on this one? The Rams defense has been particularly vulnerable against strong NFC foes this season. In five matchups with the Minnesota Vikings, New Orleans Saints, Seattle Seahawks and Green Bay Packers, they've surrendered an average of 33.0 points per game. Considering that this game is now back in Los Angeles and the Rams have scored at least 29 points in every home game they've played this year, it's easy to wonder if a 63.5-point total is actually a little low for this one.