Ballin' on a Budget Week 2 Results
The law of averages caught up with us this week, folks. After a stellar start to the year, with a 4-for-5 Week 1, we suffered a setback going 1-for-5 in Week 2. There are a variety of explanations for why we lost in some cases and for some games, we’re still searching for answers. Let’s recap this hellacious week of NFL betting.
LOSS: Eagles -3 over Buccaneers (-110): Bucs 27, Eagles 21. We said that there was no way Ryan Fitzpatrick was going to duplicate his Week 1 performance against the Eagles, but we were very wrong. He threw for four more touchdowns and made the Philly defense look silly at times. We also couldn’t catch a break with the Eagles suffering a few injuries on the offensive side of the ball including feature back, Jay Ajayi. The Eagles never quite got into a rhythm until late and by that point, there was no way they were covering the three points we needed them to. Total win: $0.
LOSS: Patriots -2 over Jaguars (-110): Jaguars 31, Patriots 20. Please raise your hand if you said that Blake Bortles would outperform Tom Brady this week. Nobody should be raising their hand. There was no reason to believe Bortles was going to have the monster day that he did, throwing for nearly 400 yards and four touchdowns. It turns out the New England defense just isn’t very good and that Patriots offense is going to have to win some shootouts this year to be as dominant as it normally is. Facing a defense like Jacksonville, a recipe for disaster was created when Bortles hit his stride and had a career day. Total win: $0.
LOSS: Patriots-Jaguars UNDER 45 (-110): Jaguars 31, Patriots 20. Of course, piggy backing off of that, Bortles’ huge day also screwed our under bet. We were relying on the Patriots to win a low-scoring game. The fact they lost a relatively high scoring game flipped this from an under to an over. As it is, Just one touchdown separated us from the under; Jacksonville could have won 24-20 and we would have gotten the win. Again, though, Bortles’ big day was too much for us to overcome as the teams eclipsed the over/under by a single score. Total win: $0.
WIN: Panthers-Falcons OVER 44 (-110): Falcons 31, Panthers 24. Finally, something we got right! This one played out just about how we figured it would. Inside with each offense able to run wild, the second half turned into a shootout. The fact Atlanta took a two-score lead in the second half really helped, because then Cam Newton and the Carolina offense were forced into taking more chances. The comeback attempt came up just short as they tried to send the game into overtime, but it didn’t really matter for us, the over hits easily by two scores. Total win: $7.64.
LOSS: Giants +3 over Cowboys (-110): Cowboys 20, Giants 13. The final score would indicate a close game between these two NFC East rivals, but this one was never really in doubt. Dallas dominated from start to finish while New York scored a late touchdown. We knew neither of these teams was much good, but the offensive line play in front of Eli Manning was absolutely putrid. He’s regressing all by himself, he doesn’t need the help of the offensive line to speed up that process. Dallas really didn’t look all that great, but they controlled the tempo of the game and Manning was never able to get on the same page with Odell Beckham Jr., Sterling Sheppard and Co. After they barely missed covering against the Jaguars in Week 1, New York really missed the mark this week. Total win: $0.
WIN (BONUS BET): Colts-Redskins UNDER 45.5: Colts 21, Redskins 9. We didn’t include this in our $20 set of games to bet, but we did mention this as a bonus bet to make if you didn’t like one of the other ones. Hopefully you took that advice. Washington couldn’t muster much of anything offensively and as we know, field goals don’t win overs. Indy was content to milk the clock for most of the second half and that worked to our advantage. We won’t count this toward our overall season pot, but we’re hoping you took this game to make up for what was otherwise a really crappy week.
PIGGY BANK: $35.37 (-11.6% return on investment)
OVERALL PICK PERCENTAGE: 50%
We will go back to the drawing board and make sure we get ourselves back into the green. There will be a lot of kinks to work out in the first couple weeks, so hopefully we hit our groove headed into the stretch run of the season. Keep an eye out for our Week 3 picks coming out later this week.