This NFL season, with sports betting expected to be a more common and accepted practice, we’re making a point to look beyond NFL point spreads and analyze often-neglected totals. As part of that approach, we’re offering up our favorite bet over and favorite under each week.
Note: Archived article is below, for the current NFL OVER UNDER picks page, click here.
Over and Under Best Bets
Over of the week: Indianapolis Colts at Philadelphia Eagles
This total is well below 50 because the Indianapolis defense is coming off a shockingly strong performance against the Washington Redskins, while the Eagles have yet to score more than 21 points this season. But the reality is the Colts defense is much more like the unit that surrendered 34 points on the road against the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 1, and the Philadelphia offense is due for a breakout performance.
Look for an angry Eagles team to bounce back from a tough loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with a big number in quarterback Carson Wentz’s return to action. And on the other side of the ball, look for Andrew Luck, T.Y. Hilton and Co. to exploit a Philly D that struggled immensely in Tampa.
There’s a chance the Eagles run away with this at home, but even that would probably enable Indy to rack up some garbage-time points.
Philly should hit the 30 mark, while the Colts should be able to score at least 20 points here.
Predicted score: Eagles 34, Colts 21
Under of the week: Los Angeles Chargers at Los Angeles Rams
It’s not as though both of these offenses aren’t capable of scoring 30-plus points Sunday in the Battle of L.A., but it’s that both the Chargers and Rams look fantastic on the defensive side of the ball.
A little too fantastic for that total of 48.
With Aaron Donald and Ndamukong Suh dominating up front, the new-look Rams defense hasn’t surrendered a point in the last six quarters. Meanwhile, it’s obvious the Chargers can now be forgiven for surrendered 38 points to the out-of-control Kansas City Chiefs in their opener, because they smothered the Buffalo Bills offense on the road in Week 2, holding them to just 13 points before garbage time.
The Bolts might still give up 24 here, but that strong secondary won’t be embarrassed again. They’ll stick around on offense, but they aren’t likely finding the end zone more than three times against Donald, Suh and Co.
Predicted score: Rams 24, Chargers 18
Good luck, we’re all counting on you.
Last week: 1-1
2018 season: 2-2