2021 NFL futures entering Week 1: Josh Allen for MVP?
Bettors are getting behind Bills quarterback Josh Allen for 2021 NFL MVP but almost all markets show Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes as the overwhelming favorite.
At BetMGM, Allen entered Week 1 at +1400 and is the book’s greatest liability among all futures bets with 13.7 percent of the total handle in the MVP betting market. A staggering 18.5 percent of futures tickets include Allen for MVP at the book.
PointsBet bumped Allen to +800 and set Mahomes at +450, and the Bills’ QB has 33.8 percent of the total handle on MVP bets.
Nearly 26.7 percent of the handle at BetMGM was on Tom Brady, who opened at +1400 and remained steady as the Buccaneers edged the Dallas Cowboys in Week 1.
Allen is the biggest liability for PointsBet and FanDuel at +1300 odds and nearly 20 percent of the total handle. The Bills’ QB is also third in FanDuel’s market for the NFL’s leader in passing TDs behind Mahomes and Aaron Rodgers.
Mahomes leads the MVP odds race across the board. BetMGM offers +600 odds on Mahomes winning MVP.
Their second-largest liability behind Allen is Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford, who has 8.5 percent of tickets at +2000.
In terms of line movement, 49ers rookie Trey Lance has moved more than any player since MVP markets were released.
The opening-day backup for San Francisco is +10000 after opening at +30000 with BetMGM.
–Mahomes’ Chiefs are also the favorite to win Super Bowl LVI at +500 (PointsBet) and +600 (DraftKings). The next-closest AFC team on the board is the Buffalo Bills at +1200 (PointsBet, DraftKings). The Buccaneers are at +600.
More than 17 percent of the Super Bowl market handle rests on the Chiefs.
The biggest mover since the market opened in February is the Green Bay Packers, who went from +1700 at PointsBet to +1000.
–Browns defensive end Myles Garrett heads Defensive Player of the Year odds at +450 at PointsBet with Aaron Donald on his heels but the most tickets are on Washington Football Team pass rusher Chase Young. At +1000, more than half of DPOY tickets are on Young.
–Patriots quarterback Mac Jones climbed to the top of the Offensive Rookie of the Year market at +450, ahead of Lance (+750) and Bears rookie quarterback Justin Fields (+750).
–Cowboys linebacker Micah Parsons (+600) is splitting most of the Defensive Rookie of the Year handle with longshots: Gregory Rousseau (+2000), Joe Tryon (+2500) and Patrick Surtain II (+1100) all have at least 10 percent of the handle at PointsBet and DraftKings.
–Field Level Media