McCaffrey, Saquon, Zeke?
No way Christian McCaffery eclipses 1900 yards again. Saquon Barkley will finally live up to his draft hype. Ezekiel Elliot will find the endzone early and often this season. Here are my prop predictions for the top three running backs in the NFL.
Check out the latest NFL Running Back props at BetRivers.
Total Receiving & Rushing Yards 1900.5: Take UNDER 1,900.5 (-110)
There is one main reason I am going with the under here, I think 1,900 yards is an asinine number. Christian McCaffrey’s stats last season were astronomical and can’t be denied.. He racked up 2392 total yards on 394 touches last season. Difficult to believe that newly hired Matt Rhule allows McCaffery to have that amount of touches this season.
Rhule knows this is a stopgap season for him and the Panthers. He needs to see what he has in his team, so I expect a more balanced offense this season. They relied heavily on McCaffery with Kyle Allen at quarterback, that won’t be the case this season. Teddy Bridgewater will step it up and should be a Top 20 quarterback this season, which means guys like D.J Moore and Curtis Samuel should see some more looks.
I expect McCaffery to have a big season, however not 1900 yards. Hammer the under on this one.
Total Rushing Yards 1200: Take OVER 1,200.5
I love the over on this one. Saquon eclipsed 1307 yards in his rookie year where he played all 16 games. Last season, he missed three games and still had 1003 yards in what most people called a drop off effort for him.
Saqoun is entering 2020 healthy and I expect him to bounce back from a mediocre 2019. The Giants did nott do much this offseason to add weapons around Daniel Jones, so Saquon once again will be the focal point of this offense.
Saquon had 217 carries last season and if he plays all 16 games I expect that number to be closer to 300. If he can just average 4.6 yards per carry at 280 touches that is 1288 yards. Remember he only averaged 4.6 yards per carry last season. I expect it to be around 4.8 this season. Don’t even hesitate on this one, take the over.
Total Rushing Touchdowns: Take OVER 9.5
In both seasons that Ezekiel Elliott has played all 16 games he has surpassed 9.5 touchdowns. Don’t overthink this, he will do it again if he plays all 16 games in 2020. Even with the Cowboys loaded roster, I still expect Zeke to be the focal point of the offense, especially in the red zone.
Additionally, I think Zeke will find the end zone more this season due to the simple fact that Dallas does have a loaded roster. Their offense should be top five in the league, which should translate in plenty of touches for Zeke in the red zone. I think this line is too low, and this is easily my favorite prop bet out of any running back. Hammer the over here.
The season kicks off tonight, check out the latest NFL Running Back props at BetRivers.