Week 1 taught bettors some lessons and warned us what we should expect the rest of the way. Our quick Monday football debriefing session.
OVERS beat UNDERS 9-7
OVER bettors had an early 9-5 edge on Week 1 but both MNF games went UNDER. Underdogs matched favorites 8-8 SU (8-7-1 ATS), which is great news for early-season bettors picking moneyline dog. (Learn about football moneylines and when its better to wager on the ML than the point spread).
Cowboys in trouble?
With Blake Jarwin and Leighton Vander Esch both hurt, Dallas slipped in both NFC East odds (still favored at -114 but only because the Eagles looked so terrible) and Super Bowl odds (down to 20-1 from 15-1), all odds courtesy of BetRivers.
Week 1 Trends hold up
Some handicappers make fun of trends, saying they don’t apply especially from season-to-season. Well, a few held up again in Week 1. Detroit played their 10th straight Week 1 OVER and the trend of Super Bowl winners winning in Week 1 (KC over Houston) and Super Bowl losers losing in Week 1 (Arizona over San Francisco) both held up.
Green Bay won outright as a Week 1 road underdog for the fourth straight time and others hit as well. Miami lost again in Foxboro (now 1-8 ATS run and 3-19 SU as an underdog overall). And a lot of OVER trends held up in the Bucs-Saints game.
Not so much for the Bears (who broke a streak of six straight Week 1 ATS losses) or the Seahawks (who bucked a trend of September losses as a road dog). The Steelers also won their 10th straight Monday Nighter and the Giants continued with horrible home angles.