Oct 4, 2020; Paradise, Nevada, USA; Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) throws the ball against the Las Vegas Raiders in the second quarter at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Bills vs Chiefs Prop Bets, Monday Night Football Picks

Josh Allen bounces back after a tough loss, Mecole Hardman steps in nicely for Sammy Watkins, and Cole Beasley finds the end zone. Here are my favorite Chiefs Bills prop bets for the Monday Night battle between the Buffalo Bills vs the Kansas City Chiefs. 

Read our full betting analysis with odds and trends here and watch our NFL odds page for updates before kickoff. If you are ready to learn more about football betting, check out the sportsbook review pages here to find a safe, legal sportsbook in your state.

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Josh Allen OVER  290.5 passing yards

Allen has been mentioned in NFL MVP talks through five weeks, however his play last week might have pulled him out of the race. Allen had his worst game of the season on Tuesday night, throwing for a pair of INTs, and finishing with a passer rating of 77.6 – his worst of the season. 

Allen will be going against a secondary that struggled mightily last week. The Chiefs secondary gave up big play after big play, and let Derek Carr throw for 347 yards and 3 TDs. Allen will also be getting some reinforcements on offense, as WR John Brown and RB Zach Moss will be back in action on Monday.

I like Allen to bounce back in this game, and eclipse 291 yards for the 4th time this season. 

Mecole Hardman OVER 52.5 receiving yards

Sammy Watkins will sit this game out with a hamstring injury, so Hardman will be the 2nd WR across from Tyreek Hill. Hardman stepped in for Sammy mid game last week, and finished with 50 yards on 2 catches. 

Hardman is similar to Hill in a way that he can take one to the house at any time. He does not need a volume of receptions to break 52 yards, and this should be a perfect matchup for him. Bills star CB Tre’davious White should be shadowing Hill for the majority of the game, which means Hardman will have single coverage against an inferior CB.

Andy Reid will scheme up a few deep shots to Hardman throughout the game, and you only need one of those to hit. I like Hardman in this game. 

Cole Beasley Anytime TD scorer +225

This one is a longshot, but I like the value at +225. Beasley has turned out to be a great signing for the Bills. This season, he eclipsed five targets in 4 out of his 5 games, and has been one of Allen’s favorite targets. 

A lot of attention will be on Stefon Diggs and John Brown in the red zone, which should open up some space for Beasley. Don’t go more than a single unit on this one, but this is a sneaky anytime TD that has a chance at hitting. 

Brenden Deeg is from Ajax, Ontario and has been an NFL writer for over 5 years. Brenden has contributed to FanSided and 4th and Jawn. Brenden also played Defensive Line at York University, in Toronto Canada. Brenden is a Philadelphia Eagles fan, and active in the Philadelphia Eagles twitter community. You can follow his personal account here @eaglestalk_  He can reached at Brenden.Deeg@NationalFootballPost.com

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