Dec 24, 2017; Arlington, TX, USA; Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott (4) meets with Seattle Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson (3) after a game at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

Cowboys vs Seahawks Pick, Betting Analysis

The spotlight game of the 4 pm kickoffs this Sunday sees the Dallas Cowboys as 5-point underdogs travel to Seattle to take on new NFL MVP favorite Russell Wilson and the Seahawks.  The Cowboys are looking to bring the momentum from last week’s unlikely comeback vs the Falcons into this week’s tilt.

Both the Seahawks and Cowboys have offenses capable of putting up points with ease, while both defenses are capable of being shredded.  This is why I will be taking the points in a game I expect to be close and high-scoring, which accounts for the total climbing from 49 to 57 this week at BetRivers Sportsbook.

Cowboys Seahawks line: -5 Seattle, Total 57 | Matchup Report 

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Why the Cowboys will cover the spread

Last week the Cowboys first 4 drives ended with 3 lost fumbles and a failed 4th down conversion.  Somehow they still managed to score 40 points and win the game.  Seattle’s defense ranks dead last in the league allowing an average of 485 yards per game and I expect the Cowboys offense to increase this average.

The Seahawks are better at stopping the run than the pass, but they have not faced a running back remotely close to Ezekiel Elliott’s talent level so far this season.

The Seahawks have only managed three sacks so far this season and have now lost Bruce Irvin for the year with a torn ACL.  Irvin is no longer the player he once was, but he was probably the Seahawks biggest threat to get to the quarterback.  With a clean pocket I expect Dak to have no problem connecting with his three stud wideouts downfield.

Why the Seahawks will cover the spread

The Seahawks are an absurd 53-16 at home straight up since 2012, however it still remains to be seen how big of a factor home field advantage is in 2020.  Early MVP candidate Russell Wilson has a great matchup for his wide receivers vs a weak Dallas secondary that has not adjusted from the loss of Byron Jones this offseason.

DK Metcalf had a good game last week vs reigning DPOY Stephon Gilmour, so how is Dallas going to stop him? Tyler Lockett also has a favorable matchup on the other side of the field.

Dallas has also struggled to stop the run this year, allowing 133 yards per game on the ground.  Losing Leighton Vander Esch to injury early in the season was a massive loss to this defense as he is outstanding at defending the run.  Despite a weak offensive line, Seattle has still managed to run for an average of 119 yards per game, so they should have success on the ground as well.

Cowboys Seahawks pick

I fully expect this game to be a track meet, and whoever has the ball last will probably win.  In a high scoring game I like to take the points, especially when we are getting more than a field goal.  Seattle always tends to play in close games and I envision this being another one.

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