Packers vs Bucs Betting Analysis, Prediction

The Green Bay Packers are 18-4 in their last 22 games, are off to a 4-0 start and ride an 8-3 ATS streak as a favorite. The Packers will take on the 3-2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who own a curiously terrible trend, where they have covered just once in the month of October in their last 14 games (1-12-1 ATS).

The Battle of the Bays is also a Battle of Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers and who doesn’t love betting on that matchup? 

Packers Buccaneers Odds: Green Bay -1.5 Total 55.5 at BetRivers | Matchup Report  

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Why the Packers can cover the spread 

Aaron Rodgers is my MVP through five weeks. He has 13 TDs and no picks, with a completion percentage of 70.5%. His most impressive stat is his Yards per attempt, which is sitting at 8.7, good for 1st in the NFL. 

The Packers matchup well against the Buccaneers. The Bucs will be without their top run stopper in Vita Vea for the rest of the season, which is a huge blow to their defense. The Packers currently own the highest offensive efficiency in the NFL, and a big part of that has been running back Aaron Jones. He is currently averaging 5.8 YPC this season, and he should see a healthy dose of touches in this one. 

The Packers defense has been mediocre at best this season, however they do get after the QB. They have the 6th most sacks in the NFL, and the Bucs had problems protecting Brady last week against the Bears. 

Why the Bucs can cover the spread

The Bucs are 3-2 after coming off a loss to the Bears last Thursday Night, and will have the extra three days to get prepared for Rodgers. The Bucs defense has been a bright spot for this team, as they are 2nd in defensive efficiency. 

Tom Brady is at his best after a loss, and he will be looking to bounce back after his worst game as a Buccaneer. The Packers have struggled to stop the run this year, so Brady and Bruce Arians should look to Ronald Jones to carry the load.

The Packers are 24th against the run this year, and Brady is lighting it up off play action through five weeks. A steady running game will be the key for the Buccaneers. 

Packers Buccaneers Pick

I simply think the Packers are a better team right now. The Packers are 4-0 ATS to start the season, and in basically a pick’em game, I have to go with the hot hand. I like the Packers and the OVER. 

Brenden Deeg is from Ajax, Ontario and has been an NFL writer for over 5 years. Brenden has contributed to FanSided and 4th and Jawn. Brenden also played Defensive Line at York University, in Toronto Canada. Brenden is a Philadelphia Eagles fan, and active in the Philadelphia Eagles twitter community. You can follow his personal account here @ BrendenDeegNFP   He can reached at

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