Chiefs Saints Pick, Betting Preview

The New Orleans Saints aren’t in this position very often. New Orleans is a home dog for the first time this season and just the 8th time since 2012. Well, it’s understandable as to why they are a home underdog in this matchup.

The Saints will host the Kansas City Chiefs, who arguably just played their worst game of the year, and still won in convincing fashion. The Saints were just embarrassed by a 3-8-1 Eagles team, and I think they will be ready to go for this game.

I like the Saints and the points in this one and here’s why.

Chiefs Saints Pick, Odds: New Orleans +3, Total 51.5 | Matchup Report 

The Saints lost their first game since Week 3, as the Jalen Hurts led Eagles shocked the NFL world with a 24-21 win. The Saints were due for a loss, so I wouldn’t read too much into that game. The Saints are still a legit threat in the NFC. 

Drew Brees will start for New Orleans on Sunday, and the Saints offense can finally get back to normal. The Chiefs run defense remains leaky. Just two weeks ago, they allowed Melvin Gordon to rush for 131 yards on 15 carries. The Chiefs have given up the 7th most rushing yards, allowing 128.1 per game. I am expecting a heavy dose of Alvin Kamara in this game.

Why the Chiefs will cover the spread

If there was any doubt that Kansas City were the best team in the NFL heading into Week 14, that doubt has been completely erased after their win against the Miami Dolphins. Patrick Mahomes threw three interceptions and took a 30-yard sack. The Chiefs still won 33-27. 

The Chiefs offense is virtually unstoppable. They are 1st in offensive DVOA, and have yet to be held under 22 points all season. Even with the Saints defense being amongst the best in the league, I find it hard to believe that they will be able to hold the Chiefs offense under 20 points. 

Chiefs Saints Pick

The Chiefs are due for a scare. Yes, Mahomes threw three interceptions last week but the game was never in doubt after the ten minute mark in the 3rd quarter. The Saints match up well against the Chiefs, and I think they keep this one within a field goal. Give me the Saints and the points.