*Editor Alert: The line has moved to -10.5 for Kansas City for Monday Night. This is the first time since Super Bowl 36 that the Patriots are double-digit underdogs.
*Editor Alert: This game has been postponed due to Covid-19 and positive test for Patriots QB Cam Newton.
The Kansas City Chiefs look to bring the momentum from a big win on Monday Night Football, into this Week 4 showdown with the New England Patriots. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs are now 10.5-point favorites after Newton’s Covid-19 positive.
And while the Brian Hoyer/Jarrett Stidham Patriots are not the Tom Brady Patriots, a word of caution. New England has been a double-digit underdog just three times since 2001. Super Bowl 36 (they won outright) and twice in 2001 vs the Indianapolis Colts (they won outright). So the last three times in this situation, they won SU.
That is a risk, regardless of how well KC is playing, in laying a big number on the Patriots. They have been a TD underdog just twice in the past decade, once without Tom Brady after Deflategate and once in a meaningless Week 17 game in 2010. And naturally, the Pats dominate spreads in this situation, covering six straight as dogs of 7 or more and 11-2 ATS dating to 1999 in this position.
Is it crazy to bet against Mahomes right now and lay the points against a team that historically wins as underdogs (17-6 ATS past 23 times)?
Patriots Chiefs Line: -10.5 KC Total 49.5 at BetRivers | Matchup Report