Nov 24, 2019; Chicago, IL, USA; Chicago Bears strong safety Ha Ha Clinton-Dix (21) hits New York Giants wide receiver Golden Tate (15) in the second half at Soldier Field. Mandatory Credit: Kena Krutsinger-USA TODAY Sports

Giants vs Bears Pick, Betting Analysis

Two young, inconsistent, unreliable quarterbacks go head-to-head in a game between untrustworthy but intriguing teams Sunday afternoon when the Chicago Bears host the New York Giants.

That might not compel you to bet on either side, but a 5.5-point spread in favor of Chicago might entice those unconvinced by the Bears’ Week 1 comeback, while a total of 42 is begging for wagers from those who either believe Daniel Jones and Mitchell Trubisky are terrible (pound the under!) or ripe for breakout seasons (take the over!).

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WHY THE GIANTS WILL COVER

New York struggled in its opener against the Pittsburgh Steelers, but these Bears ain’t Pittsburgh. The oft-feisty Giants are a lot less likely to lose by a double-digit margin after falling by 10 to the Steelers, and they actually covered as a six-point underdog at this very site last November.

In fact, the G-Men are 12-3 against the spread in their last 15 road games and 10-2 ATS as a road ‘dog since the start of 2018. They often hang in spots like these, whereas the Bears have won by more than five points just twice in their last 13 games.

WHY THE BEARS WILL COVER

We’re watching for a carryover with the Bears, who woke up and scored 21 unanswered fourth-quarter points to shock the Detroit Lions in Week 1 and, as a result, should be fired up for their home opener.

There won’t be fans in the stands Sunday, but the comforts of home are still worth something. Ditto for continuity following a limited offseason throughout the league. Little has changed with the Bears, while the Giants looked out of sorts in adjusting to a new offensive system and vastly different defensive personnel in the opener. Big Blue might need some more time.

GIANTS BEARS PICK

This has the look and feel of a field-goal game, although the unpredictability factor has to be considered with Jones and Trubisky. The Giants are a clear lean considering Chicago’s track record (they’re 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as a fave) as well as the fact the Bears scored just six points in the first three quarters before the Lions pulled a classic Lions last Sunday, but the over/under might be the better bet.

These teams combined for just 34 points in their 2019 meeting, and while neither defense is elite at this point, the Giants D wasn’t totally embarrassed by a strong Pittsburgh offense. Meanwhile, Giants star back Saquon Barkley didn’t look right in that game and Chicago still has one of the sport’s most dominant defensive players in Khalil Mack. Hit the under and don’t rule out a flier on the Giants at -200 on the moneyline.

Brad Gagnon has been passionate about both sports and mass media since he was in diapers -- a passion that won't die until he's in them again. He was a lead contributor to an earlier incarnation of NationalFootballPost.com and was happy to return when new management revived the brand in 2020. Based in Toronto, he's covered the NFL since 2008 and has been a national NFL writer at Bleacher Report since 2012. He despises all 32 NFL teams equally but remains a fan of the Montreal Canadiens, Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He can be reached at Brad@NationalFootballPost.com