Giants vs Rams Pick, Betting Trends

The New York Giants are travelling across the country as 13-point underdogs to take on the LA Rams. It’s just the 4^th time since 2004 the G-Men have been double-digit underdogs, but the Giants are winless thus far, and it does not get any easier. The Rams have looked like a true playoff contender through three weeks.

This spread opened at -9.5 a week ago, but that line was very quickly bet up to -13. I obviously liked this line a ton more at 9.5, but I still do not think 13 points is a high enough line for a pathetic Giants squad, regardless of what Trend Dummy found out about the Giants ATS road record.

Giants Rams Line: -13.5 Rams Total 48 at SugarHouse | Matchup Report

Daniel Jones is currently on pace to turn the ball over 32 times this season.  For a team with a soft defense and poor run game, turning the ball over is a recipe for disaster.  If he cannot take care of the ball vs the Rams, the Giants will have no chance whatsoever.

The only way I see the Giants covering this game is if the Rams take their foot off the gas once they establish a lead.  A spread this high always has the danger of the back-door cover, and that might be the Giants only hope in this contest.

They are 13-3 ATS in their past 16 road games, but that is asking a lot here.

Why the Rams will cover the spread

Throughout Jared Goff’s young career, he has really struggled when facing pressure.  Luckily for the Rams, the Giants have a weak pass rush so I do not expect Goff to struggle.  The Giants defense is better vs the run than the pass, so I expect Sean McVay to have a game plan similar to the one he used vs Philadelphia.

In Week 2, he attacked the middle of the field through the air and it was very successful.  This Giants defense has one above average player in the secondary, James Bradberry, similar to how Philadelphia’s secondary only has Darius Slay.  McVay will construct a game plan to avoid Bradberry, and attack the numerous other holes on the defense.

This Giants offense badly misses Saquon Barkley, but it also without their top wideout Sterling Shephard.  The Rams will have Jalen Ramsey shadow and eliminate Darius Slayton from the game, meaning that the Giants only weapon on offense will be Evan Engram.  Also, good luck to the Giants offensive line trying to keep Aaron Donald out of the backfield.

The Rams have historically dominated conference foes ATS, as their recent 14-3-1 ATS mark over 18 games indicates. They are also 5-1 ATS as a double-digit home favorite since 2013.

Giants Rams pick

Do not waste your hard-earned dollars on the New York Giants.  I need to see this team put together a much better effort before I can back them.  I normally hate taking large spreads, but I am comfortable taking the favorite on this occasion because the Giants are truly that bad. The danger is that the Giants 13-3 ATS as a road team or their recent 8-1 ATS run against the Rams turns out to be something real.