Jan 24, 2021; Kansas City, MO, USA; Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) is tackled by Kansas City Chiefs defensive end Alex Okafor (57) during the fourth quarter in the AFC Championship Game at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

NFL Divisional Playoff Betting Trends

If you are betting Buffalo to win as a playoff underdog (at Kansas City), realize this has happened just once in 13 Bills games dating back to 1980. Will Green Bay play OVER for a 12th straight January game when they host the Rams?

Were you aware the 49ers have been playoff underdogs just three times since 1980 and lost all three? And did you know the Rams have won outright the past five times they were playoff road dogs of less than four points?

We have done the database digging, now we lay out the Divisional Playoff NFL betting trends on a platter for you. You decide which ones are credible and which ones are flukes. Odds are Tuesday morning lines from Draft Kings where their Bet $5 and win $280 in FREE BETS if your team wins promotion is still cooking!!

Saturday Divisional Trends

 

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Cincinnati @ Tennessee -3.5, Total 47 | Matchup Report

A lot of positive Cincy trends (overall, vs the Titans, on the road, within the conference) but also an ugly one – zero wins as playoff underdogs since 1980…

Bengals have covered 5 straight overall

Bengals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against Tennessee.

Bengals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on the road.

7 of past 8 meetings here played OVER the total

Bengals 7-1 ATS past 8 conference games

Titans are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 games vs AFC North division

Titans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Saturday home games

Bengals have never won as playoff underdogs since 1980 (0-8 SU, 1-6-1 ATS)

UNDER is 8-2 Tennessee playoff games since 2004

San Francisco @ Green Bay -6, Total 47.5 | Matchup Report

The 49ers have owned the recent playoff with Green Bay and have a wicked January trend to go along with positive streaks as underdogs. But this feels different….

Niners won 3 straight playoff games vs Green Bay (2013, 2014, 2020)

Niners have been playoff underdog just three times since 1980, lost all three 0-3 ATS

Packers 7-2 SU, 6-3 ATS past nine as playoff favorites

Packers have played 11 straight January OVERs

Packers are 14-1 SU in their last 15 games at home (17-6 ATS past 23)

Niners are 11-1-1 ATS in their last 13 games played in January, including 8 straight

Niners are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games at Green Bay.

Niners played 6 straight OVERs vs NFC North teams

Niners are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games played on a Saturday.

Niners are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games when playing as the underdog.

Packers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games.

Packers are 15-4 SU in their last 19 games played on a Saturday.

Sunday Divisional Betting Trends

LA Rams @ Tampa Bay -3, Total 48.5 | Matchup Report

Some of this is ancient history, but the Rams have won five straight playoff games as small road dogs while the Bucs have lost three straight games as home playoff chalk. Whatever you think….

As playoff road dog of less than 4 points, Rams have won and covered 5 straight, including last year in Seattle

As a playoff favorite of less than four points, Bucs have lost outright three straight (although none in Brady era) and played all four games UNDER the total

Bucs are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games at home.

Bucs are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games played on a Sunday when playing at home.

OVER is 10-2 Rams’ last 12 games as the underdog.

Rams are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against Tampa Bay.

As playoff home favorite, Bucs have played all six games UNDER since 1997

Buffalo @ Kansas City -2.5, Total 55 | Matchup Report

As playoff underdog, Bills have won just once since 1980 (Jan. 9, 1993 at Pittsburgh) for a 1-12 SU, 3-10 ATS record. Is the OVER the safest bet here, even with a sky-high total of 55?

Teams met three times in playoffs since 1992, all three went OVER

Bills are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games at Kansas City.

Bills have played OVER 8 straight games as underdogs

Chiefs have played 6 straight OVERS this season

Chiefs are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games vs the AFC East division.

OVER is 8-1 Kansas City’s last 9 games played in January.

Archived Divisional Playoff Betting trends article from Jan. 11, 2021

Two big home favorites, two small home favorites feature in the 2021 NFL Divisional Playoffs and the betting trends appear to favor those home teams in each case.

But can you trust a Kansas City team that hasn’t covered a spread in 8 tries with 10 points against hungry Cleveland? What about the Buffalo Bills laying just 2.5 points at home to surging Baltimore, which has covered 8 straight games overall?

Check out the betting trends mined from our huge NFL database dating back to 1980. And watch for NFL line moves and super playoff betting specials at Draft Kings and FanDuel, official betting partner of the NFL.

LA Rams vs Green Bay Packers -7, Total 46 | Matchup Report

Playoffs are obviously not the same as regular season, but Green Bay has lost four straight games following a bye week and are 1-4-1 ATS past 6. So, whether you buy that as a legit angle or not, the UNDER is also 5-1 in those six games as they host the Rams in the first Saturday divisional playoff game.

Rams have won outright past two times as playoff road dogs.

Ram are 1-10 SU past 11 road games vs NFC North teams dating to December 2009. They are just 3-8 ATS in those games.

Rams are 7-2 ATS past 9 as road underdogs

Packers have played five straight playoff OVERs

UNDER is 11-3 LA Rams’ last 14 games.

Rams are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against Green Bay

Rams are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 conference games

Packers are 9-1 SU, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games

OVER is 9-2 Green Bay’s last 11 games played in January, including 7 in a row

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills -2.5, Total 50 | Matchup Report

The Ravens mean business and have tons of positive trends here. They have covered 8 straight and have been awesome for bettors as underdogs and on the road. This game seems to check a lot of boxes for Baltimore, while Buffalo was perhaps to just win a single playoff game?

Ravens are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as the underdog

Ravens covered 7 straight and 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games

Ravens are 16-4-2 ATS in their last 22 road games

Ravens are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 conference games

Ravens are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games played in January.

Bills are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games.

OVER is 7-1 Buffalo’s last 8 games played on a Saturday.

Bills are 19-2 SU in their last 21 games as the favorite.

Cleveland Browns vs Kansas City Chiefs -10, Total 56 | Matchup Report

KC’s only real loss this year was after their bye week at Vegas and now they come off a bye again. This will be the second time they are double digit playoff favorites after rallying last January against Houston.

Chiefs are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games

Chiefs are 21-1 SU in their last 22 games as the favorite.

Browns are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 conference games

Browns have lost 16 straight as double-digit road dogs, scoring 20 points just twice in those 16 games.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints -3, Total 52 | Matchup Report

The lone divisional battle in the divisional round, Tampa looks to avenge two losses this year. But can they cover against the Saints, who have dominated them to the tune of 8-3 ATS in their past 11 meetings? Maybe check the Tampa OVER trends here.

Bucs are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against New Orleans.

New Orleans is 11-1 SU in their last 12 games as the favorite.

New Orleans is 11-1 SU in their last 12 divisional games.

OVER is 10-1 Tampa Bay’s last 11 divisional games.

Tampa Bay is 10-2 SU in their last 12 road games.

OVER is 12-4 Tampa Bay’s last 16 road games.

OVER is 10-1 Tampa Bay’s last 11 divisional games

OVER is 8-3 Tampa Bay’s last 11 games as the underdog.

Saints are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 divisional games.

Saints are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as the favorite.

Betting Trends!

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