And then there were four …. NFL Divisional Playoff betting trends are down to four games and eight marquee teams with the defending champion Chiefs riding a 16-0 streak and the Lions riding a 10-game streak.
KC hosts Houston, which has never won as a playoff dog, while the Chiefs have covered 6 straight playoff spreads. The past 6 meetings all went OVER even though KC almost always plays UNDER at home.
In Detroit, the Lions have won 10 in a row vs NFC teams while Washington has conflicting OVER-UNDER trends in play here. On Sunday, the Eagles have played 20 of 23 UNDERs in the month of January as they host the Rams and Baltimore and Buffalo have a long history of UNDERs when they clash.
Check the NFL Divisional playoff betting trends and watch for line moves and bonus bets at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Houston @ Kansas City -8, Total 41.5 | Matchup Report
Chiefs have covered 6 straight playoff games
Last 4 times favored by a TD or more, KC covered just once
Three of past 4 games as playoff dog, Texans have scored 31,32, 45 points
Texans have never won as a playoff road dog (0-5 SU)
Chiefs have won 16 straight as favorites
Past 6 meetings all played OVER the total
Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played in January.
UNDER is 20-7 Kansas City’s last 27 games at home.
UNDER is 13-4 Kansas City’s last 17 games played on a Saturday (won 7 in a row SU)
Washington @ Detroit -9.5, Total 55.5 | Matchup Report
Commanders are 10-2 SU in their last 12 conference games
Lions are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games
Lions are 6-1 ATS past vs Washington
UNDER is 11-4 Washington’s last 15 games played in January
OVER is 8-1 Washington past 9 Saturday games
Lions have won 10 straight games vs NFC teams, 25-9 ATS in their last 34 conference games
Lions are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games played in January.
LA Rams @ Philadelphia -6, Total 43.5 | Matchup Report
UNDER is 20-3 Philadelphia’s last 23 games played in January
Eagles 13-1 SU past 14 games
Rams are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games
Eagles are 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 games against LA Rams.
Rams have covered 5 straight road games
Rams are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games at Philadelphia
Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as the underdog.
Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as faves
UNDER is 15-4 past 19 playoff games with Eagles as chalk
Rams have played 4 straight playoff UNDERs
Baltimore @ Buffalo +1, Total 51.5 | Matchup Report
Ravens are 14-5 ATS since 2001 as playoff road team
Ravens have been playoff road chalk 3 times since 1980, won and covered all three
UNDER is 10-2 past 12 meetings
Ravens are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games on the road.
Bills are 18-3 SU past 21 home games
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Archived NFL Divisional Playoff Betting trends article from Jan. 17, 2024
So the Ravens are flying, but not in January and not in the playoffs lately. Baltimore is favored big at home to Houston but has lost 6 straight playoff games and 12 of 14 games in January.
So do the Texans have a chance at 9.5-point dogs? Well, they have never won at Baltimore although they have been a solid bet as a dog and as a road team the past while.
Elsewhere in the NFL Divisional Playoff betting trends pile, the 49ers have failed to cover 5 straight home games but have covered 5 straight as a playoff home favorite as they host Green Bay. And capping off the weekend, the Bills almost never lose as a playoff favorite as they host Kansas City.
Check out all the trends and make solid playoff bets this weekend.
Houston @ Baltimore -9.5, Total 43.5 | Matchup Report
Texans lost by 18, 20 and 13 past 3 games as road playoff dogs
Ravens lost 5 of past 6 playoff games
Ravens are 2-12 SU in their last 14 games played in January.
Ravens are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games vs Houston.
Texans are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games on the road
Texans are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as the underdog.
Texans have never won at Baltimore (0-7 SU)
Texans won 5 straight Saturdays
Ravens have played 7 straight January UNDERs
Green Bay @ San Francisco -9.5, Total 50.5 | Matchup Report
49ers are 12-1 SU in their last 13 games played on a Saturday.
49ers are 19-3 SU in their last 22 conference
Packers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs NFC West teams
OVER is 7-1 Green Bay’s last 8 games, 6 straight on the road
49ers failed to cover 5 straight at home
49ers covered 5 straight as playoff home favorite
OVER is 15-6 Green Bay’s last 21 games in January
49ers are 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 games in January.
Tampa Bay @ Detroit -6, Total 49.5 | Matchup Report
Bucs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games
Bucs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games on the road.
Lions are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games against Tampa Bay.
Bucs 7-2 ATS past 9 games as playoff dogs
Lions are 1-8-1 ATS in playoff games since 1992
Kansas City @ Buffalo -2.5, Total 45.5 | Matchup Report
Bills are 20-4 SU in their last 24 games at home
Chiefs are 19-4 SU in their last 23 conference games
Chiefs are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games on the road.
Chiefs are 15-4-1 ATS in their last 20 games as the underdog.
Chiefs are 2-7 ATS as a playoff dog since 1992
Bills are 15-2 SU as playoff favorite since 1980, only two losses were last year to the Bengals and Super Bowl XXV to the Giants
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Archived NFL Divisional Playoff trends article from Jan. 17, 2023
If you have a long history of betting against the New York Giants as playoff underdogs, you also have a long history of losing bets. The G-Men arrive in Philly as big dogs but riding an 8-1 SU streak as playoff underdogs – that’s right, 8 SU wins!
The Chiefs struggle to cover against conference foes as they host Jacksonville, unless the Bengals who always cover within the AFC.
What else is in store in the NFL Divisional Playoff trends list? Check out the streaks and angles before laying your wagers this weekend.
Jacksonville @ Kansas City -8.5, Total 52 | Matchup Stats
Chiefs 7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS past 8 home playoff games as favorites
Jaguars have covered 4 straight as playoff dogs, winning SU twice
Jaguars are 4-22 SU in their last 26 games on the road
Jaguars have won 6 straight 5-1 ATS
Chiefs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against Jacksonville.
Chiefs are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 conference games
UNDER is 11-3 Kansas City’s last 14 games played on a Saturday.
OVER is 8-3 Jacksonville’s last 11 games when playing as the underdog.
Chiefs are 8-1 SU past 9 games after a Bye Week
UNDER is 9-2-2 past 13 Chiefs games after a Bye Week