Dec 10, 2023; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) talks with Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) after a game  at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

NFL Divisional Playoff Betting Trends

And then there were four …. NFL Divisional Playoff betting trends are down to four games and eight marquee teams with the defending champion Chiefs riding a 16-0 streak and the Lions riding a 10-game streak.

KC hosts Houston, which has never won as a playoff dog, while the Chiefs have covered 6 straight playoff spreads. The past 6 meetings all went OVER even though KC almost always plays UNDER at home.

In Detroit, the Lions have won 10 in a row vs NFC teams while Washington has conflicting OVER-UNDER trends in play here. On Sunday, the Eagles have played 20 of 23 UNDERs in the month of January as they host the Rams and Baltimore and Buffalo have a long history of UNDERs when they clash.

Check the NFL Divisional playoff betting trends and watch for line moves and bonus bets at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Houston @ Kansas City -8, Total 41.5 | Matchup Report

Chiefs have covered 6 straight playoff games

Last 4 times favored by a TD or more, KC covered just once

Three of past 4 games as playoff dog, Texans have scored 31,32, 45 points

Texans have never won as a playoff road dog (0-5 SU)

Chiefs have won 16 straight as favorites

Past 6 meetings all played OVER the total

Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played in January.

UNDER is 20-7 Kansas City’s last 27 games at home.

UNDER is 13-4 Kansas City’s last 17 games played on a Saturday (won 7 in a row SU)

Washington @ Detroit -9.5, Total 55.5 | Matchup Report

Commanders are 10-2 SU in their last 12 conference games

Lions are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games

Lions are 6-1 ATS past vs Washington

UNDER is 11-4 Washington’s last 15 games played in January

OVER is 8-1 Washington past 9 Saturday games

Lions have won 10 straight games vs NFC teams, 25-9 ATS in their last 34 conference games

Lions are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games played in January.

LA Rams @ Philadelphia -6, Total 43.5 | Matchup Report

UNDER is 20-3 Philadelphia’s last 23 games played in January

Eagles 13-1 SU past 14 games

Rams are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games

Eagles are 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 games against LA Rams.

Rams have covered 5 straight road games

Rams are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games at Philadelphia

Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as the underdog.

Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as faves

UNDER is 15-4 past 19 playoff games with Eagles as chalk

Rams have played 4 straight playoff UNDERs

Baltimore @ Buffalo +1, Total 51.5 | Matchup Report

Ravens are 14-5 ATS since 2001 as playoff road team

Ravens have been playoff road chalk 3 times since 1980, won and covered all three

UNDER is 10-2 past 12 meetings

Ravens are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games on the road.

Bills are 18-3 SU past 21 home games

 

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Archived NFL Divisional Playoff Betting trends article from Jan. 17, 2024

So the Ravens are flying, but not in January and not in the playoffs lately. Baltimore is favored big at home to Houston but has lost 6 straight playoff games and 12 of 14 games in January.

So do the Texans have a chance at 9.5-point dogs? Well, they have never won at Baltimore although they have been a solid bet as a dog and as a road team the past while.

Elsewhere in the NFL Divisional Playoff betting trends pile, the 49ers have failed to cover 5 straight home games but have covered 5 straight as a playoff home favorite as they host Green Bay. And capping off the weekend, the Bills almost never lose as a playoff favorite as they host Kansas City.

Check out all the trends and make solid playoff bets this weekend.

Houston @ Baltimore -9.5, Total 43.5 | Matchup Report

Texans lost by 18, 20 and 13 past 3 games as road playoff dogs

Ravens lost 5 of past 6 playoff games

Ravens are 2-12 SU in their last 14 games played in January.

Ravens are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games vs Houston.

Texans are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games on the road

Texans are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as the underdog.

Texans have never won at Baltimore (0-7 SU)

Texans won 5 straight Saturdays

Ravens have played 7 straight January UNDERs

Green Bay @ San Francisco -9.5, Total 50.5 | Matchup Report

49ers are 12-1 SU in their last 13 games played on a Saturday.

49ers are 19-3 SU in their last 22 conference

Packers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs NFC West teams

OVER is 7-1 Green Bay’s last 8 games, 6 straight on the road

49ers failed to cover 5 straight at home

49ers covered 5 straight as playoff home favorite

OVER is 15-6 Green Bay’s last 21 games in January

49ers are 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 games in January.

Tampa Bay @ Detroit -6, Total 49.5 | Matchup Report

Bucs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games

Bucs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games on the road.

Lions are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games against Tampa Bay.

Bucs 7-2 ATS past 9 games as playoff dogs

Lions are 1-8-1 ATS in playoff games since 1992

Kansas City @ Buffalo -2.5, Total 45.5 | Matchup Report

Bills are 20-4 SU in their last 24 games at home

Chiefs are 19-4 SU in their last 23 conference games

Chiefs are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games on the road.

Chiefs are 15-4-1 ATS in their last 20 games as the underdog.

Chiefs are 2-7 ATS as a playoff dog since 1992

Bills are 15-2 SU as playoff favorite since 1980, only two losses were last year to the Bengals and Super Bowl XXV to the Giants

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Archived NFL Divisional Playoff trends article from Jan. 17, 2023

If you have a long history of betting against the New York Giants as playoff underdogs, you also have a long history of losing bets. The G-Men arrive in Philly as big dogs but riding an 8-1 SU streak as playoff underdogs – that’s right, 8 SU wins!

The Chiefs struggle to cover against conference foes as they host Jacksonville, unless the Bengals who always cover within the AFC.

What else is in store in the NFL Divisional Playoff trends list? Check out the streaks and angles before laying your wagers this weekend.

Jacksonville @ Kansas City -8.5, Total 52 | Matchup Stats

Chiefs 7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS past 8 home playoff games as favorites

Jaguars have covered 4 straight as playoff dogs, winning SU twice

Jaguars are 4-22 SU in their last 26 games on the road

Jaguars have won 6 straight 5-1 ATS

Chiefs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against Jacksonville.

Chiefs are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 conference games

UNDER is 11-3 Kansas City’s last 14 games played on a Saturday.

OVER is 8-3 Jacksonville’s last 11 games when playing as the underdog.

Chiefs are 8-1 SU past 9 games after a Bye Week

UNDER is 9-2-2 past 13 Chiefs games after a Bye Week

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NY Giants @ Philadelphia -7.5, Total 48 | Matchup Stats

Giants are 10-1 ATS past 11 as playoff underdogs

Giants are 8-1 SU past 9 as playoff underdogs

Eagles lost 4 straight as playoff favorites

Eagles are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games at home against NY Giants.

Eagles are 18-2 SU in their last 20 games when playing as the favourite.

Giants are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games.

Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games

Giants are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games on the road.

Giants are 5-1 ATS past 6 visits to Philly

Giants are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games played on a Saturday.

Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played on a Saturday.

Eagles failed to cover 5 straight in January

UNDER is 17-5 Philadelphia’s last 22 games played in January.

Giants are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games as the underdog.

Cincinnati @ Buffalo -5, Total 50.5 | Matchup Stats

Bills are 12-1 SU in their last 13 games at home.

Bills are 14-1 SU, 9-5-1 ATS past 15 games as playoff chalk since 1989

Bengals played 6 straight playoff UNDER when underdogs

Bengals are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games

Bengals are 20-5 ATS in their last 25 games

Bengals are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games on the road.

Bengals are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 conference games

Bengals have covered 8 straight as underdogs

UNDER is 16-5 Cincinnati’s last 21 games as the underdog.

Dallas @ San Francisco -4, Total 46 | Matchup Stats

49ers are 11-0 SU in their last 11 games, 9-2 ATS

Cowboys are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games played in January.

Cowboys are 13-4 SU in their last 17 games.

Cowboys are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games on the road.

49ers are 12-2 ATS, 13-1 SU in their last 14 games at home.

Cowboys have won 5 of past 6 visits here SU

UNDER is 15-6 Dallas’ last 21 games played in January.

Cowboys are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as the underdog.

49ers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as the favorite.

49ers are 12-1 ATS in their last 13 games played in January.

49ers are 18-3 ATS in their last 21 conference games

49ers are 6-1-1 ATS, 7-1 SU past 8 playoff games as favorites

Cowboys lost 7 straight as playoff underdogs

 

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Archived NFL Divisional Playoff Betting trends article from Jan. 18, 2022

If you are betting Buffalo to win as a playoff underdog (at Kansas City), realize this has happened just once in 13 Bills games dating back to 1980. Will Green Bay play OVER for a 12th straight January game when they host the Rams?

Were you aware the 49ers have been playoff underdogs just three times since 1980 and lost all three? And did you know the Rams have won outright the past five times they were playoff road dogs of less than four points?

We have done the database digging, now we lay out the Divisional Playoff NFL betting trends on a platter for you. You decide which ones are credible and which ones are flukes. Odds are Tuesday morning lines from Draft Kings where their Bet $5 and win $280 in FREE BETS if your team wins promotion is still cooking!!

Saturday Divisional Trends

Cincinnati @ Tennessee -3.5, Total 47 | Matchup Report

A lot of positive Cincy trends (overall, vs the Titans, on the road, within the conference) but also an ugly one – zero wins as playoff underdogs since 1980…

Bengals have covered 5 straight overall

Bengals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against Tennessee.

Bengals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on the road.

7 of past 8 meetings here played OVER the total

Bengals 7-1 ATS past 8 conference games

Titans are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 games vs AFC North division

Titans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Saturday home games

Bengals have never won as playoff underdogs since 1980 (0-8 SU, 1-6-1 ATS)

UNDER is 8-2 Tennessee playoff games since 2004

San Francisco @ Green Bay -6, Total 47.5 | Matchup Report

The 49ers have owned the recent playoff with Green Bay and have a wicked January trend to go along with positive streaks as underdogs. But this feels different….

Niners won 3 straight playoff games vs Green Bay (2013, 2014, 2020)

Niners have been playoff underdog just three times since 1980, lost all three 0-3 ATS

Packers 7-2 SU, 6-3 ATS past nine as playoff favorites

Packers have played 11 straight January OVERs

Packers are 14-1 SU in their last 15 games at home (17-6 ATS past 23)

Niners are 11-1-1 ATS in their last 13 games played in January, including 8 straight

Niners are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games at Green Bay.

Niners played 6 straight OVERs vs NFC North teams

Niners are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games played on a Saturday.

Niners are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games when playing as the underdog.

Packers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games.

Packers are 15-4 SU in their last 19 games played on a Saturday.

Sunday Divisional Betting Trends

LA Rams @ Tampa Bay -3, Total 48.5 | Matchup Report

Some of this is ancient history, but the Rams have won five straight playoff games as small road dogs while the Bucs have lost three straight games as home playoff chalk. Whatever you think….

As playoff road dog of less than 4 points, Rams have won and covered 5 straight, including last year in Seattle

As a playoff favorite of less than four points, Bucs have lost outright three straight (although none in Brady era) and played all four games UNDER the total

Bucs are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games at home.

Bucs are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games played on a Sunday when playing at home.

OVER is 10-2 Rams’ last 12 games as the underdog.

Rams are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against Tampa Bay.

As playoff home favorite, Bucs have played all six games UNDER since 1997

Buffalo @ Kansas City -2.5, Total 55 | Matchup Report

As playoff underdog, Bills have won just once since 1980 (Jan. 9, 1993 at Pittsburgh) for a 1-12 SU, 3-10 ATS record. Is the OVER the safest bet here, even with a sky-high total of 55?

Teams met three times in playoffs since 1992, all three went OVER

Bills are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games at Kansas City.

Bills have played OVER 8 straight games as underdogs

Chiefs have played 6 straight OVERS this season

Chiefs are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games vs the AFC East division.

OVER is 8-1 Kansas City’s last 9 games played in January.

Archived Divisional Playoff Betting trends article from Jan. 11, 2021

Two big home favorites, two small home favorites feature in the 2021 NFL Divisional Playoffs and the betting trends appear to favor those home teams in each case.

But can you trust a Kansas City team that hasn’t covered a spread in 8 tries with 10 points against hungry Cleveland? What about the Buffalo Bills laying just 2.5 points at home to surging Baltimore, which has covered 8 straight games overall?

Check out the betting trends mined from our huge NFL database dating back to 1980. And watch for NFL line moves and super playoff betting specials at Draft Kings and FanDuel, official betting partner of the NFL.

LA Rams vs Green Bay Packers -7, Total 46 | Matchup Report

Playoffs are obviously not the same as regular season, but Green Bay has lost four straight games following a bye week and are 1-4-1 ATS past 6. So, whether you buy that as a legit angle or not, the UNDER is also 5-1 in those six games as they host the Rams in the first Saturday divisional playoff game.

Rams have won outright past two times as playoff road dogs.

Ram are 1-10 SU past 11 road games vs NFC North teams dating to December 2009. They are just 3-8 ATS in those games.

Rams are 7-2 ATS past 9 as road underdogs

Packers have played five straight playoff OVERs

UNDER is 11-3 LA Rams’ last 14 games.

Rams are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against Green Bay

Rams are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 conference games

Packers are 9-1 SU, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games

OVER is 9-2 Green Bay’s last 11 games played in January, including 7 in a row

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills -2.5, Total 50 | Matchup Report

The Ravens mean business and have tons of positive trends here. They have covered 8 straight and have been awesome for bettors as underdogs and on the road. This game seems to check a lot of boxes for Baltimore, while Buffalo was perhaps to just win a single playoff game?

Ravens are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as the underdog

Ravens covered 7 straight and 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games

Ravens are 16-4-2 ATS in their last 22 road games

Ravens are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 conference games

Ravens are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games played in January.

Bills are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games.

OVER is 7-1 Buffalo’s last 8 games played on a Saturday.

Bills are 19-2 SU in their last 21 games as the favorite.

Cleveland Browns vs Kansas City Chiefs -10, Total 56 | Matchup Report

KC’s only real loss this year was after their bye week at Vegas and now they come off a bye again. This will be the second time they are double digit playoff favorites after rallying last January against Houston.

Chiefs are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games

Chiefs are 21-1 SU in their last 22 games as the favorite.

Browns are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 conference games

Browns have lost 16 straight as double-digit road dogs, scoring 20 points just twice in those 16 games.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints -3, Total 52 | Matchup Report

The lone divisional battle in the divisional round, Tampa looks to avenge two losses this year. But can they cover against the Saints, who have dominated them to the tune of 8-3 ATS in their past 11 meetings? Maybe check the Tampa OVER trends here.

Bucs are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against New Orleans.

New Orleans is 11-1 SU in their last 12 games as the favorite.

New Orleans is 11-1 SU in their last 12 divisional games.

OVER is 10-1 Tampa Bay’s last 11 divisional games.

Tampa Bay is 10-2 SU in their last 12 road games.

OVER is 12-4 Tampa Bay’s last 16 road games.

OVER is 10-1 Tampa Bay’s last 11 divisional games

OVER is 8-3 Tampa Bay’s last 11 games as the underdog.

Saints are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 divisional games.

Saints are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as the favorite.

Betting Trends!

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