Jan 12, 2020; Green Bay, WI, USA; Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers reacts against the Seattle Seahawks in the fourth quarter of a NFC Divisional Round playoff football game at Lambeau Field. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

NFL Divisional Playoff OVER UNDER picks

And then there were eight – as in, eight NFL teams left standing for a chance at Super Bowl 55. And behold, your NFL Divisional Playoff OVER UNDER picks from Gagnon.

Here’s a breakdown of the totals this weekend, watch for line movements during the week and check out BetRivers and SugarHouse for live lines and special bonus perks for new customers.

2020 record: 36-31-3

NFL Divisional Playoff OVER UNDER picks


On one hand, the Rams have the league’s top-rated scoring defense. On the other hand, superstar defensive lineman Aaron Donald is dealing with a rib injury and the Packers have the league’s highest-scoring offense.

That being the case, this total feels low. Cam Akers should have plenty of opportunities to keep the Los Angeles offense afloat against a mediocre run defense while likely MVP Aaron Rodgers will eventually get his as part of an offense that scored 30-plus points in 12 of its 16 games this season.


Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen both look pretty close to unstoppable right now. The Ravens averaged 37.2 points per game in the final five weeks of the regular season, while the Bills averaged 40.4 during the same stretch.

I’m not saying that means this will contain 78 points, but I wouldn’t bet on it containing fewer than 50.


On the surface, this total feels far too high considering that the heavily-favored Chiefs haven’t scored more than 33 points in a game since Week 11. But the Browns offense is completely erratic, and this might be a spot in which the Chiefs explode on two/three weeks’ rest against a mediocre defense.

This one could easily wind up in the 60s, but it’s much more likely to max out with a score in the range of 31-20 Chiefs. I would avoid betting on it either way.


The Saints scored 72 points in their two regular-season matchups with the Bucs, who themselves have scored more than 30 points in each of their last four outings. Both defenses are very good, but that could actually help the total because they’re opportunistic enough to create some short fields for Tom Brady or Drew Brees.

I think both teams score 30-plus here as this one coasts over the total.

Brad Gagnon has been passionate about both sports and mass media since he was in diapers -- a passion that won't die until he's in them again. He was a lead contributor to an earlier incarnation of NationalFootballPost.com and was happy to return when new management revived the brand in 2020. Based in Toronto, he's covered the NFL since 2008 and has been a national NFL writer at Bleacher Report since 2012. He despises all 32 NFL teams equally but remains a fan of the Montreal Canadiens, Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He can be reached at Brad@NationalFootballPost.com

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