Dec 29, 2019; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; Philadelphia Eagles running back Miles Sanders (26) runs the ball against the New York Giants in the first half at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports

NFL Week 7 Opening Odds Report

The Buffalo Bills are double-digit road favorites at the New York Jets in Week 7 opening odds and you are wondering – how many times has that happened? Well, since our database began in 1980, the answer is five times.

The most recent was Dec. 26, 2004 when they were -11 at San Francisco when the 49ers were reduced to starting non-Hall of Famers Cody Pickett and Ken Dorsey at QB, while the Bills rolled with Drew Bledsoe. The other four were in the early 90s Jim Kelly halcyon days.

And how many times have the Jets been double digit home underdogs? Once. It was Nov. 25, 2018 with a predictable result in the battle of Tom Brady and Josh McCown.

The Bills are among seven road favorites in Week 7 opening odds and there are trends that point to several of them being in big ATS trouble.

Other Double Digit Point Spreads?

The only other game that looks like it might jump to 10 points is the Kansas City Chiefs at Denver. It opened at -9.5 for the visiting Chiefs.

Dallas, Green Bay and Cleveland comprise a trip of teams that were destroyed in Week 6 but who remain favored here in Week 7. And Tennessee must be wondering what they need to do get some respect from oddsmakers. True the Pittsburgh Steelers have been good, but the Titans catch a few points at home in a bit of a surprise.

The Thursday Night game could be a real train wreck, with the winless Giants visiting the nearly winless (and horribly crippled) Eagles. The Giants continue a hot hand for bettors a road team (check) and as an underdog (check). The line is moving (down to -3.5 Philly at some books by Tuesday) because of injury reports concerning Zach Ertz and Miles Sanders.

Over to Monday Night and the Chicago Bears (possibly the least deserving 5-1 team in decades) opened as 5.5-point underdogs to the LA Rams. See our comparative NFL odds (along with full matchup reports) to watch line moves during the week. Numbers courtesy of BetRivers and SugarHouse sportsbooks.

And don’t forget Trend Dummy’s weekly deep dive into the NFL database for Week 7 betting trends on every game. There are doozies, including the Saints scorching October ATS run.

Thursday Night Football

NY Giants          +5.5
Philadelphia    43.5

Sunday Games

Carolina            +7.5
New Orleans    51

Green Bay         -2.5
Houston            56

Buffalo               -11
NY Jets               48

Detroit               +3
Atlanta              56.5

Cleveland         -3
Cincinnati         51

Dallas                 -3
Washington     49

Pittsburgh         -2
Tennessee        52

Seattle               -3.5
Arizona              53.5

Kansas City       -9.5
Denver               49.5

San Francisco  +2.5
New England   45.5

Jacksonville     +7.5
LA Chargers      49.5

Tampa Bay       -3
Las Vegas          53.5

Monday Night Football

Chicago             +5.5
LA Rams            46

Trend Dummy (not his real name) is a veteran sports betting writer, who really should be a lot smarter by now. Starting with a betting trends fascination in 1993, Dummy has been chasing trends, patterns, streak and mathematical anomalies ever since. A serious data miner with real databases and betting acumen, he sometimes stretches stats to fit a narrative, but the data is legit. You decide if the trends have handicapping value.

Upcoming Games

Aug 5th, 8:00 PM

Dallas +1 -110

Pittsburgh -1 -110


Aug 12th, 7:30 PM

Washington -2.5 -110

New England +2.5 -110


Aug 12th, 7:30 PM

Pittsburgh +1 -110

Philadelphia -1 -110