Dec 26, 2021; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Demarcus Robinson (11) runs the ball against Pittsburgh Steelers inside linebacker Joe Schobert (93) during the second half at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

NFL Wild Card Picks

We’ve been here to guide you with weekly picks against the spread every week throughout the 2022 NFL season. Here are half-a-dozen more for wild-card weekend.

Odds from Draft Kings midweek (bet $5 and win up to $280 in FREE BETS!!)

Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers (-9): 49ers

Seattle is really just happy to be here. San Francisco is the best team in the NFC. At home, they dominate just as they did in their two regular-season matchups with Seattle.

Los Angeles Chargers (-1.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars: Jaguars

I just don’t trust the Chargers enough to lay points with them on the road, and the Jags have less to lose in an ascension season.

Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills (-13.5): Dolphins

For the most part, the Dolphins hung with teams even without Tua Tagovailoa down the stretch. They know these Bills and play them tough, and I think they’ll have fight here. The back door is also a factor with such a big number.

New York Giants at Minnesota Vikings (-3): Giants

The Vikings are imposters. This line takes that into account, but not quite enough. That said, I’d consider taking them at -2.5.

Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals (-8.5): Bengals

On the road against a hot and experienced opponent without their star quarterback, it’s really hard to see the Ravens having much fight here.

Dallas Cowboys (-2.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Buccaneers

A team quarterbacked by Tom Brady is getting points in a home playoff game from a team that has proven to be mistake-prone and unreliable. This is silly. Tampa is my best bet of the weekend.


Archived NFL Wild Card Picks article from Jan. 13, 2022

Las Vegas Raiders at Cincinnati Bengals (-5): Bengals

The Raiders are riding a lot of momentum with a four-game winning streak, but this is a bottom-12 team in terms of DOVA that has a negative scoring margin and might be out of gas. Meanwhile, the Bengals should be energized coming off a week of rest. They dominated the Ravens and Chiefs offensively in Weeks 16 and 17 and should walk away with this at home.

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills (-4): Bills

There’s a mystique with the Patriots — I get it. But they’re just not on Buffalo’s level on either side of the ball and it’s not easy to trust rookie quarterback Mac Jones in this spot. I’d try to buy down to a field goal if possible, but I’m on the stronger home side.

Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-9.5): Buccaneers

This number is big and I want to fade the public, but this isn’t a good matchup for the Eagles’ run-oriented offense and the Bucs deserve the benefit of the doubt based on their dominant run last January.

San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys (-3): Cowboys

Rolling with another favorite here because I’m confused as to why the Cowboys are deemed to be on the same level as San Francisco based on this spread. They’re a lot healthier, and a much better team overall. An upset is a possibility considering the 49ers’ pedigree, but I’d need more than a field goal here.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs (-12.5): Chiefs

I have this feeling Ben Roethlisberger might go out the way Dan Marino did. The Steelers offense has become extremely inept, and Kansas City had five double-digit victories in the second half of the season. This one won’t be close.

Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams (-4): Cardinals

Finally an underdog! Neither team is trustworthy but I’ll take Kyler Murray over Matthew Stafford right now. Arizona’s Week 17 win in Dallas meant a lot, and I think they could put forth a similar effort here. They’ll at least keep this close, so I’m taking the four points.

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Archived NFL Wild Card picks article from Jan. 8, 2021

Here are NFL Wild Card picks on all six games this weekend. Check out the Wild Card OVER UNDER selections as well.

2020 RECORD: 127-115-10


Colts quarterback Philip Rivers has won just two playoff games since 2010 and has a career 84.2 passer rating in the postseason. He’ll be without steady left tackle Anthony Castonzo on short rest on the road with even a small Buffalo crowd is likely to make an impact Saturday in Orchard Park

The smoking-hot Bills offense has averaged 38 points per game over the course of a six-game winning streak. The Bills win this by a double-digit margin.


Jared Goff was playing at a mediocre level even before breaking the thumb on his throwing hand, so the Rams likely have a quarterback problem regardless who starts against a defense that has surrendered a league-low 14.0 points per game since Week 12.

Seattle quarterback Russell Wilson hasn’t been himself down the stretch for Seattle, but at home against a familiar D, he should take care of business. Dodge the hook if you can but the Seahawks look like a safe bet here.


The Bucs and their ancient quarterback are 1-3 straight-up and against the spread this year on less than seven days’ rest, which is why Washington might have caught a break with this game slated for Saturday.

The WFT is getting far too many points at home under those circumstances. They have one of the fiercest defensive fronts in the NFL, and that’s exactly Tom Brady’s playoff kryptonite. Alex Smith at least is battle-tested and Antonio Gibson might be playing well enough to hang in against a strong run defense. Toss in Mike Evans’ injury and Washington should keep this close.


I don’t trust Lamar Jackson in big spots, especially on the road as a 3.5-point favorite against a team that won multiple playoff games in 2019. The Titans have something special going with 2,000-yard rusher Derrick Henry and highly-rated quarterback Ryan Tannehill, and Mike Vrabel should have his defense prepared to limit Jackson’s damage.

This line is inflated by Baltimore’s end-of-season hot streak, but don’t be fooled by that. Four of the Ravens’ last five wins came in blowout fashion but against teams that ranked in the bottom 10 in DVOA. Tennessee wins outright.


Bears back David Montgomery was on a roll before hitting a wall the last couple of weeks, which could be problematic against the Saints’ No. 2-rated run D in terms of DVOA. If he gets shut down, it could all fall on the completely untrustworthy Mitchell Trubisky.

Meanwhile, Drew Brees is getting healthy just in time and he should have top weapons Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara back here. Those three should have a field day against a decent defense that is banged up in the secondary. At home, New Orleans runs away with it.


It’s been a nice season for the Browns, but I think this is the end of the road. Baker Mayfield in his first-ever playoff start against the league’s top pass rush and potential defensive player of the year T.J. Watt? No bueno, especially with the Cleveland offensive line ravaged by injuries and COVID-19.

Throw in that the Browns won’t even have their bloody head coach and this feels like a blowout on the road against a veteran Pittsburgh team with Super Bowl pedigree.

NFL Wild Card Picks

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