Sep 30, 2018; Pittsburgh, PA, USA;  Baltimore Ravens offensive tackle Ronnie Stanley (79) blocks at the line of scrimmage against Pittsburgh Steelers defensive tackle Cameron Heyward (97) during the fourth quarter at Heinz Field. The Ravens won 26-14. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

Steelers vs Ravens Pick, Trend Analysis

The UNDER has hit in 5 out of the last 6 games at Baltimore between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Baltimore Ravens and there are no less than eight unique trends favoring the UNDER here in Week 8.

This is the Game of the Week and its hard to bet against the only undefeated team in the league, but I am going to do just that. I like the Baltimore Ravens at home covering –4 against the Steelers.

As for the OVER UNDER angles, check out Trend Dummy’s weekly NFL trends bit to explore his rationale for playing UNDER.

Steelers Ravens Odds: Ravens -4, Total 46.5 at BetRivers | Matchup Report

Why the Ravens can cover the spread

The Ravens were declared as one of the best teams in the league heading into this season, and they have not disappointed. They are sitting at 5-1, and are 1 game back of the division leading Steelers. The Ravens defense has been stellar this season, currently owning the 4th ranked DVOA defense in the league.

The Ravens newest acquisition Yannick Ngakoue will make his Ravens debut, and will provide a huge boost to their pass rush. The Ravens are already 2nd in the NFL in team sacks, and this addition makes them that much more dangerous.

On offense, the Ravens need to get their passing offense going. The Steelers pass rush is elite, so having Lamar Jackson being able to escape the pressure is key. Lamar has yet to have a breakout game this season and he has ultimately regressed since last year. I think he has a statement game in this one.

Why the Steelers can cover the spread

The Steelers are the only undefeated team left in the NFL, and are coming off a big win over the Tennessee Titans. They are also 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games as underdogs.

The Steelers have to get after Jackson in this one. The Steelers are 1st in team sacks, and will have their hands full keeping him in check. The Steelers own the 1st ranked rush defense, so forcing the Ravens to become one dimensional is key.

Steelers Ravens Pick

The Ravens are simply going to need this game more than the Steelers. If the Ravens lose, they go two games down on the division, which makes it extremely difficult for them to win the AFC North. The Steelers were awful in the 2nd half against Tennessee, and I think that translates to this game. Give me the Ravens in this one.

Brenden Deeg is from Ajax, Ontario and has been an NFL writer for over 5 years. Brenden has contributed to FanSided and 4th and Jawn. Brenden also played Defensive Line at York University, in Toronto Canada. Brenden is a Philadelphia Eagles fan, and active in the Philadelphia Eagles twitter community. You can follow his personal account here @eaglestalk_  He can reached at Brenden.Deeg@NationalFootballPost.com

Upcoming Games

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Dec 13th, 1:00 PM

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Dec 13th, 1:00 PM

Tennessee -9.5 -110

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Dec 13th, 1:00 PM

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Dec 13th, 1:00 PM

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Dec 13th, 1:00 PM

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Dec 13th, 1:00 PM

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Dec 13th, 4:05 PM

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Dec 13th, 4:25 PM

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Dec 13th, 4:25 PM

Washington +4 -110

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Dec 13th, 4:25 PM

New Orleans -6.5 -110

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Dec 13th, 8:20 PM

Pittsburgh -2.5 -110

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