Seahawks Cardinals Pick, SNF Analysis

This game was bumped to the Sunday Night slot where two of the league’s most dynamic (and short) QBs battle with the road Seattle Seahawks small favorites at the Arizona Cardinals.

MVP favorite Russell Wilson takes on scrambling protégé Kyler Murray in a match many believe will go OVER the total, despite the fact the past five meetings here have played UNDER.

The line has held onto an important hook here with most sportsbooks still riding the Seahawk at -3.5. This feels like a game where that half point may loom large. This pits Seattle’s top-scoring offense against Arizona’s second-best scoring defense.

Seahawks Cardinals Odds: Seattle -3.5, Total 54.5 at BetRivers | Matchup Report  

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Why Seattle can cover the spread

Seattle has been a money maker on the road, rolling up a 12-4-1 ATS mark in their past 17 games away from home. They also own a 5-1-1 ATS streak in their past seven games here in Arizona.

The Seahawks have performed well off a bye week, going 6-1 SU the past seven seasons, while winning and covering the past three.

Not having to face Chandler Jones is great news for the retooled Seahawk offensive line and they should be able to manage here and keep Wilson safe.

Why Arizona can cover the spread

Murray is super quick and elusive, but you wonder if a defense like Seattle’s, which is forced to chase Wilson around in practice all the time, is better prepared for that type of play.

Arizona also boasts a profitable run against Seattle, with a 5-1-1 ATS run in the past seven meetings, according to our weekly trends report. Again this trend is flipped in games at Arizona, so take this one with a grain of salt.

Safety Jamal Adams is out for Seattle, which frees up some room to roam for Murray and RB Kenyon Drake.

Seahawks Cardinals Pick

The half point is big here, as the Seahawks never seem to punish opponents and always seem to have a late rally when needed. It makes us nervous and we are running an OVER-UNDER instead. Here again, we are going against the trend of recent UNDERs when these teams meet in the desert and betting OVER 54.5.


Trend Dummy (not his real name) is a veteran sports betting writer, who really should be a lot smarter by now. Starting with a betting trends fascination in 1993, Dummy has been chasing trends, patterns, streak and mathematical anomalies ever since. A serious data miner with real databases and betting acumen, he sometimes stretches stats to fit a narrative, but the data is legit. You decide if the trends have handicapping value.

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