Super Bowl Coin Toss Odds Should Not Be 50-50

It’s a coin toss, so it must be a random chance, a 50-50 proposition, right?

Be careful with your money if you bring that amateur handicapping to the Super Bowl coin toss odds at shops like FanDuel sportsbook.

Because the experts here at National Football Post have found a 17-0 streak, an 8-0 coin toss trend, a 10-1 trend and a 19-5 coin toss streak. There was also a 9-0 coin toss betting angle that related to Tom Brady, who we thankfully don’t have to talk about anymore now that is retired ‘for real.’ Curious about where your money should be going before the game even gets going? You should be.

Super Bowl Coin Toss Trends

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Win the Coin Toss, Lose the Game, except KC

This happened the past eight years in a row before it broke in Super Bowl 57 when the Chiefs won the toss and the game. They repeated the feat in Super Bowl 58, can they do it again? KC called tails and won the toss at Super Bowl 59 and then got smashed by the Eagles. Some sportsbooks will offer a coin toss prop ‘will the team that wins the coin toss also win the game’ so check that out when you see the coin toss result at the next Super Bowl.

Is Coin Toss rigged for the NFC?

Sure there are plenty of bigger conspiracy theories making the rounds these days with stolen elections and lizard people running the government, but how do you explain this? While the recent trend isn’t one-sided with the NFC winning half of the last 10 Super Bowl coin tosses, how do you explain the 19-8 streak over the past 27?

Kansas City and Cincy bucked this trend in recent years by winning with ‘heads’ but it didn’t do them much good, just like winning the OT coin toss didn’t help against the Bengals in the 2021 AFC Championship Game.

Tails means NFC wins toss, Heads means AFC wins toss

It’s hard to believe that 17 times in a row when Tails came up, the NFC team won the coin toss! Of course the Chiefs bucked that trend too in Super Bowl 57. But check the list. If you have a premonition that Tails will hit, bet on the Eagles to win the toss.

The Heads trend was on an 8-0 run until the last year when Tails came up and Kansas City won the toss at Super Bowl 54. But it reverted to form the last two years when Heads came up and KC and Cincy won. Before that, eight straight Super Bowls copied that coin-toss result, so overall this is 10-2.

Brady/Patriots 9-0 Streak

We will call this the Brady Trend, even though it relates to his time with the New England Patriots. In eight Super Bowls, the Patriots lost the coin toss five times. They won each time. In the other three Super Bowls, they won the coin toss. And guess what happened each time? They lost.

So pay attention to how Tampa Bay does here at Super Bowl 55. It could be easy money to place a quick bet on them to have the opposite outcome in the game.

Super Bowl Coin Toss Odds