Super Bowl Coin Toss Odds Should Not Be 50-50

It’s a coin toss, so it must be a random chance, a 50-50 proposition, right?

Be careful with your money if you bring that amateur handicapping to the Super Bowl 58 coin toss odds at shops like FanDuel sportsbook and Draft Kings sportsbook.

Because the experts here at National Football Post have found a 17-0 streak, an 8-0 coin toss trend, a 10-1 trend and a 19-5 coin toss streak. There was also a 9-0 coin toss betting angle that related to Tom Brady, who we thankfully don’t have to talk about anymore now that is retired ‘for real.’ Curious about where your money should be going before the game even gets going? You should be.

Super Bowl Coin Toss Trends

Watch for line moves, cool bonus offers and hundreds of team and player props when you check out NFL official betting partners FanDuel and Draft Kings (read our reviews of these sportsbooks).

Win the Coin Toss, Lose the Game

This happened the past eight years in a row before it broke in Super Bowl 57 when the Chiefs won the toss and the game. The team that wins the coin toss has lost the game, a trend that continued last year when the Cincinnati Bengals won the toss and lost the game to the Rams. Some sportsbooks will offer a coin toss prop ‘will the team that wins the coin toss also win the game’ so check that out when you see the coin toss result at Super Bowl 58.

Is Coin Toss rigged for the NFC?

Sure there are plenty of bigger conspiracy theories making the rounds these days with stolen elections and lizard people running the government, but how do you explain this? While the recent trend isn’t one-sided with the NFC winning five of the last nine Super Bowl coin tosses, how do you explain the 19-6 streak over the past 25?

Kansas City and Cincy bucked this trend in recent years by winning with ‘heads’ but it didn’t do them much good, just like winning the OT coin toss didn’t help against the Bengals in the 2021 AFC Championship Game.

Tails means NFC wins toss, Heads means AFC wins toss

It’s hard to believe that the last 17 times Tails came up, the NFC team won the coin toss! But check the list. If you have a premonition that Tails will hit, bet on the Eagles to win the toss.

The Heads trend was on an 8-0 run until the last year when Tails came up and Kansas City won the toss at Super Bowl 54. But it reverted to form the last two years when Heads came up and KC and Cincy won. Before that, eight straight Super Bowls copied that coin-toss result, so overall this is 10-1.

Brady/Patriots 9-0 Streak

We will call this the Brady Trend, even though it relates to his time with the New England Patriots. In eight Super Bowls, the Patriots lost the coin toss five times. They won each time. In the other three Super Bowls, they won the coin toss. And guess what happened each time? They lost.

So pay attention to how Tampa Bay does here at Super Bowl 55. It could be easy money to place a quick bet on them to have the opposite outcome in the game.

Super Bowl Coin Toss Odds