Oct 14, 2018; Nashville, TN, USA; Baltimore Ravens head coach John Harbaugh reacts on the sideline during the first half against the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jim Brown-USA TODAY Sports

Titans Ravens Pick, Baltimore covers 5?

Weird Stat Alert: The Titans have lost 8 straight Week 11 games. Does that matter this year? Who knows.

I do know that this will be one of the better games of the week. The Baltimore Ravens will host the Tennessee Titans in a rematch of last year’s AFC divisional matchup that saw the Titans upset the top seeded Ravens.

I like the Ravens to get some revenge in this game, and cover the 5-point spread.

Titans Ravens Pick, Odds: Baltimore -5, Total 49.5 midweek at BetRivers | Matchup Report 

Why the Ravens can cover the spread 

The Ravens entered this year as a Super Bowl contender due to the rise of Lamar Jackson and their ferocious defense. Their defense has been as advertised, however Lamar has struggled. He ranks 18th in QBR, and is struggling when he’s forced to throw the ball deep.

This game will be where he gets the offense going. The Titans defense has been mediocre this year, ranking 24th in total DVOA defense, and allowing more than 30 points in a game five times this season. The Titans give up 7.9 fantasy points to TEs this season, so this is a perfect matchup for Mark Andrews to get back to 2019 form. 

The Ravens defense has been holding this team together. They are ranked 6th in total DVOA defense, and are 6th in sacks per game. Ryan Tannehill has struggled recently and this is another terrible matchup for him. 

Why the Titans can cover the spread

After starting 5-0, the Titans have now lost three of their last four games, and are fighting for their lives in the AFC South. Last time these teams played, the Titans ran all over them. Derrick Henry had 30 carries for 195 yards and became a sensation with his hard nosed running. 

The Ravens run defense is shaky. Damian Harris ran for 121 yards on 22 carries against the Ravens last week, which allowed the Patriots to control the clock. The Titans need to have a similar game plan as the Patriots did last week.

Force Lamar into third and long situations, and make him beat you with his arm. 

Titans Ravens pick

The Ravens played down to their competition last week, and I don’t think that happens in back to back weeks. They will be looking for revenge after last year’s playoff game, so they should come out firing in this game.

I like the Ravens in this spot. They bounce back and cover the 5-point spread. 

Brenden Deeg is from Ajax, Ontario and has been an NFL writer for over 5 years. Brenden has contributed to FanSided and 4th and Jawn. Brenden also played Defensive Line at York University, in Toronto Canada. Brenden is a Philadelphia Eagles fan, and active in the Philadelphia Eagles twitter community. You can follow his personal account here @eaglestalk_  He can reached at Brenden.Deeg@NationalFootballPost.com

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