A pair of big spreads and a weird spot in Minnesota as the Vikings come off a rout loss against surging New England. Check out the 2022 Thanksgiving Day trends list, courtesy of our database with stats and odds since 1980.
Odds as of midweek per Draft Kings, check out their mammoth Turkey Day bonuses specials.
Buffalo @ Detroit +9.5, Total 54.5 | Matchup Stats
UNDER is 13-3 Buffalo’s last 16 games vs NFC North teams.
Lions are 2-19 SU in their last 21 games played in Week 12.
Bills are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games played in Week 12.
Last 6 meetings all played UNDER the total
Bills have played 5 straight road UNDERs
Bills are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games
Lions are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games at home, 20-8 to the OVER past 28 home games
Lions have covered 6 in a row in November 23
Lions are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as the underdog.
NY Giants @ Dallas -10, total 45.5 | Matchup Stats
Cowboys are 10-1 SU, 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against NY Giants.
UNDER is 14-3 past 17 NY Giants games as underdogs
UNDER is 16-5 NY Giants’ last 21 games.
Cowboys are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 divisional games
Giants have lost 6 straight Thursdays, Dallas 1-5 SU past 6 Thursdays
Cowboys are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as the favorite.
New England @ Minnesota -2.5, Total 42.5 | Matchup Stats
Patriots are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games played in Week 12.
Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games.
Patriots have won 5 straight vs Vikings, 4-1 ATS
Patriots are 15-6 SU in their last 21 games played on a Thursday.
Vikings have won 10 in a row as favorites
Archived Thanksgiving Day Betting Trends article from Nov. 23, 2021
Thanksgiving Day 2021 sees two road favorites among the trio of Turkey Day NFL matchups. The first game might be a stinker to watch but there is plenty of trend goodness which could give us a heaping helping of profits before we go to supper.
Check out the trends, with lines as of Monday at FanDuel sportsbook, offering awesome Turkey Day free promotions for new bettors – check them out!
Bears @ Lions +3.5, Total 41.5 | Matchup Report
Don’t trust either team? Join the club. The Bears trend OVER in the rare cases when they are road chalk (5 straight times).
Bears are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 divisional games
Bears played OVER 5 straight games as road favorites
Lions are 1-15 SU in their last 16 home games
Lions are 1-14 SU in their last 15 divisional games
Bears are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games played on a Thursday.
Bears are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games when playing as the favorite.
Lions are 2-18 SU in their last 20 games played in week 12 (3-14 ATS past 17)
Raiders @ Cowboys -7, Total 51 | Matchup Report
Dallas tends to struggle with point spreads on short weeks (3-9 ATS past 12 Thursdays).
Cowboys are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games.
Cowboys are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 Thursday home games.
Cowboys 5-1 ATS past 6 as favorites
Bills @ Saints +4.5, Total 46.5 | Matchup Report
Historically, you bet the Saints as underdogs (9-1-1 ATS past 11 times) but Buffalo looks set to reverse this trend. Still, buyer beware.
Saints are 14-3 SU in their last 17 non-conference
Saints are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games as the underdog.
Bills are 25-6 SU in their last 31 games as the favorite.
Bills are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against New Orleans.
Bills have won 5 straight Week 12 games and are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 seasons.
Saints have played 5 straight Thursdays OVER (8-1 past 9)
Archived Thanksgiving Day trends article from Nov. 24, 2020
Thanksgiving Day wagering angles set the table for a full menu of Week 12 NFL betting trends to satisfy your football appetite. Ok enough of the turkey/hunger stuff, let’s get to the real meat of the data in our weekly deep dive into the NFL database.
The first two matchups are not exactly glamorous, with the Houston Texas small road favorites in Detroit and Washington gets a field goal in an NFC East battle at Dallas, which shouldn’t be important, but it is because the division is a train wreck.
Editor Note: Forget about those cool Thursday trends in the Baltimore Pittsburgh game, because it was just switched to Sunday. And the Sunday NFL betting trends are over here in this article this week.
The late game is a tasty entrée (sorry I did it again) with a divisional clash in Pittsburgh where the host Steelers lay 4.5 points (as of Tuesday at BetRivers) against Baltimore. The Ravens are suddenly in danger of missing the playoffs.
So here goes with more Week 12 NFL betting trends coming later.