Titans Colts Prop Bets: Brown, Taylor, Firkser

With the recent success of my Anytime TD scorer prop bets, I have pledged to focus on this style of prop pick for the next while. That means the  Thursday Night Football clash between the Indianapolis Colts and the Tennessee Titans will have three such predictions.

The Titans Colts prop bets we are promoting here focus on A.J. Brown, Jonathan Taylor and a longshot bet on backup TE Anthony Firkser (along with a second Firkser pick on his receiving yards total). In addition, we added three other game props, one focusing on Derrick Henry and one on Nyhiem Hines.

The Colts were 1.5-point underdogs as of Wednesday, but read the game preview to check on injury updates and line moves.

Also read my betting preview on the Tennessee-Indy matchup, with my spread prediction on the game.

Colts fans can also find hundreds of prop bets on this game at BetRivers Indiana.

Since A.J Brown has returned from injury, he has been on an absolute tear. He has 26 catches on 40 targets, for 428 yards and 6 TDs. 

Brown has destroyed teams in the red zone this season. He has a TD in five straight games, and has been Ryan Tannehill’s top option there. I expect Tannehill to continue to look Brown’s way – why would he mess with success? 

The Colts own the second-ranked DVOA rush defense, so Derrick Henry might struggle to get any momentum going. I’m expecting the Titans to throw the ball more than they normally would considering how good the Colts are against the run. 

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Jonathan Taylor Anytime TD Scorer +125

The Colts are a hard team to figure out for anytime TD scorer props. The backfield is crowded with three guys who are currently sharing carries, and they also have a crowded Tight End room. With those factors considered, I will go with their top RB in Jonathan Taylor at +125. 

Taylor has been a bit of a disappointment this year. The Colts selected him in the second round of this year’s draft, and has failed to take sole possession of the Colts starting RB position. Taylor is still the top RB, even if Frank Reich is going with the hot hand. Getting a team’s top RB at +125 odds is too juicy to pass up, so I’m rolling with Taylor. 

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Longshot Pick of the night: Anthony Firkser +350

My longshot pick of the night goes to TE Anthony Firkser. He does have a stable roll in the Titans offense, as he does have 20 targets in his last four games. 

The Colts have allowed 16 catches for 156 yards to opposing TEs the last two games. Firkser provides the best value for a backup position player. 

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Anthony Firkser OVER 25.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Firkser is starting to carve out a role in the Titans offense. He had 6 targets in last week’s game against the Bears, and has 20 targets in his last 4 games. 

The Colts defense has been solid all season, however they have struggled against TEs recently. They have given up 16 catches for 156 yards to TEs in their last two games, and many of those yards coming against backup TEs such as Nick Boyle on the Ravens. 

This looks like a great spot for Firkser to have his coming out party in the NFL. He actually has more targets than starting TE Jonnu Smith does the last 4 games, so maybe this will be the game he gets some recognition. I’m expecting a big game from the 4th year TE out of Harvard. 

Derrick Henry UNDER 83.5 Rushing Yards (-105)

Henry has proven that last year was no fluke. He is a top RB in this league, and is especially dangerous when he gets to the second level of the defense. All that said, I don’t like Henry in this game.

The Colts run defense has been spectacular. The Colts own the 2nd ranked DVOA rush defense, and are especially good at getting RBs down early. They rank 2nd in yards after contact, which doesn’t bode well for a RB like Henry who feasts off of missed tackles. The Titans should attack this defense through the air, so I’m not expecting Henry to have a good game. 

Nyhiem Hines OVER 22.5 Receiving Yards

Hines has really come on this season, and has become famous for his crazy TD celebrations. He has become the Colts 3rd down back, and Rivers is really starting to trust him on 3rd down.

Hines has more than 20 receiving yards in 6 out of 8 games, and has eclipsed 20 receiving yards in 4 straight games. All he needs is to break one screen for 15-20 yards which will put him right in the driver seat to eclipse 22.5. Consistency is key when looking at prop bets, and Hines has been as consistent as it gets when it comes to catching the ball out of the backfield.