Green Bay is a rare home dog, Dallas has been terrific following a bye week and the spread moved 6 points in a heartbeat with Josh Allen’s sore elbow status in the hyped Bills-Vikings game.
What else has emerged from the database mining effort for Week 10 betting trends? How about the Giants playing 15 of 16 Sunday home games? How about the Colts – without a real coach or a play caller or a real QB – with 13 UNDERs in their past 14 games as they head to dreadful Vegas?
Check out the trends for Week 10.
Thursday Night Trends
Atlanta @ Carolina +2.5, Total 42.5 | Matchup Report
Panthers are 2-14 SU, 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games
Falcons are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games against Carolina.
Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games at Carolina.
Falcons have played 7 straight Week 10 UNDERs
Falcons have played 6 straight Thursday UNDERs (8-3 past 11 short weeks)
Panthers are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 home games
Panthers are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games Thursday home games
Minnesota @ Buffalo -3.5, Total 43.5 | Matchup Report
Game opened -9.5, moved to -3.5 with Allen injury status
UNDER is 13-2 Buffalo’s last 15 games vs NFC North division.
UNDER is 9-2 past 11 Bills games when favored
Vikings have won 6 straight and are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games played in Week 10.
Vikings are 3-9 SU in their last 12 games as the underdog.
Bills have won 7 straight at home, 19-4 SU past 23 at home
Bills are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games
Dallas @ Green Bay +5, Total 43 | Matchup Report
This line opened -3 and bet up to -5 with Dallas off a bye week
Cowboys are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games on the road.
Cowboys 5-1 SU and ATS past 6 seasons after a bye week
OVER is 9-1 past 10 Cowboys games after a bye week
Packers have lost 5 straight
Cowboys are 1-8 SU, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games against Green Bay.
Cowboys are 18-5 ATS in their last 23 conference games
Cowboys 13-4 ATS past 17 games as favorites, including 5 in a row as road chalk
Packers have been home dogs just twice since 2017
Chargers 49ers Pick: Odds SF -7, Total 45.5 | Matchup Stats
Chargers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games against San Francisco.
49ers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games at home.
Chargers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games on the road.
Chargers are 1-8 SU, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games played in Week 10.
UNDER is 9-1 San Francisco’s last 10 games as the favorite.
49ers are just 2-8 ATS past 10 seasons following bye week
Washington @ Philadelphia -11, Total 44 | Matchup StatsÂ
Eagles have won 12 straight as favorites
Eagles played 4 straight OVERs when double-digit chalk
UNDER is 13-3 Washington’s last 16 Monday Night road games
UNDER is 15-6 Washington’s last 21 games.
UNDER is 16-5 Philadelphia’s last 21 games played in November
Commanders are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games played on a Monday.
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Archived Week 10 NFL betting trends article from Nov. 11, 2021
Some perfect Raven streaks, some hopeless Seahawk trends and some dreadful San Francisco home angles. Week 10 sees plenty of historically significant trends, now it’s a question of whether history repeats itself here in 2021.
Check out the Week 10 NFL betting trends based on midweek lines at FanDuel sportsbook, one of three official betting partners of the NFL. Check them out for terrific betting options and generous bonus offers.
Thursday Night Football Trends
Ravens @ Dolphins +8.5, Total 46 | Matchup Report
Dolphins are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games against Baltimore.
Ravens are 15-4 SU in their last 19 games on the road.
Ravens 9-0 ATS past 9 vs Miami
Ravens are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games played on a Thursday.
Ravens are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games when playing as the favorite.
Dolphins are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games at home.
Dolphins are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games played in November.
UNDER is 10-2 Miami’s last 12 games played on a Thursday.
Saints @ Titans -3, Total 44.5 | Matchup Report
Saints are 14-2 SU in their last 16 Sunday road games
Saints are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games on the road.
Saints are 23-6-2 ATS in their last 31 games when playing as the underdog.
Titans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games.
Seahawks @ Packers -3.5, Total 49.5 | Matchup Report
Packers have covered 8 straight and are 19-8 ATS in their last 27 games.
Packers 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
Seahawks 0-6 ATS in its last 5 games at Green Bay and lost 9 in a row SU
Packers are 17-2 SU in their last 19 games at home (including 11-4 ATS past 15)
UNDER is 13-4 Seattle’s last 17 games.
Seahawks are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games played in week 10.
Seahawks are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games when playing as the underdog
Sunday Night Football Trends
Chiefs @ Chargers +2.5, Total 52 | Matchup Report
Raiders are 2-11 SU in their last 13 games against Kansas City.
OVER is 10-2 Las Vegas’ last 12 games at home.
Chiefs are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 divisional games.
Chiefs are 31-5 SU in their last 36 divisional games
Chiefs are 4-16-1 ATS in their last 21 games
Raiders are 6-2 ATS past 8 as divisional home dog
Monday Night Football Trends
LA Rams @ San Francisco 49ers, +4, Total 49 at FanDuel | Matchup Report
49ers have lost eight straight at home and 1-11 SU past 12
OVER in 16-5 LA Rams’ last 21 Monday road games
Rams are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against San Francisco.
49ers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games played on a Monday
Archived Week 10 NFL betting trends article from Nov. 10, 2020
New England is a TD home underdog for just the third time in 20 years and their history in this position is truly awesome for fans and football bettors alike.
Both games were in Tom Brady’s rookie season where they covered the spread both times and upset Indianapolis at home as 13-point dogs. Overall, in 13 games as home dogs since 2000, they are 11-2 ATS and won NINE times. (Read our full analysis of the New England home underdog story).
But as Baltimore arrives in Foxboro – riding their own impressive betting trends and ATS streaks – can you trust the new Patriots to keep up that underdog bite of the old Patriots? Week 10 NFL betting trends might have the answer to that question and others such as:
If the Colts always beat the Titans but always lose as underdogs, how do you bet the Thursday Night game?
If the Giants never win as home underdogs, but you don’t trust the Eagles as road favorites, how do you bet that game?
Check out the football betting angles and insights from Trend Dummy’s deep data dive on Week 10. And find the best sports betting place in your state to try football wagering.