Maybe you’ve already got your picks in for the opening week of the 2021 NFL regular season, but by focusing only on point spreads, moneylines or fantasy, you’re robbing yourself of potential opportunities to make money on over/unders.
Here are several totals for this week that are worthy of your attention with odds (and super bonus specials and same-game parlay perks) from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Week 10 NFL OVER UNDER Picks
Denver @ Kansas City 41.5 – Bet UNDER
The longer the Chiefs win streak goes, the lower these totals will go. And with KC home games almost a lock lately to go UNDER and the Broncos offense still muddling along, we see this game plunging UNDER the number. In their last 23 home games, the Chiefs have played OVER just six times.
They also trend under when the calendar flips to November and the weather firms up. Play UNDER.
Philadelphia @ Dallas 43.5 – Bet OVER
This line opened 48.5 and then fell off a cliff when Dak Prescott was ruled out. But here’s the deal with the Eagles at Dallas – they never win. And they usually give up points galore to Dallas.
And we expect Dallas to somehow hang tough here despite the Eagles playing very well on both sides of the ball. The OVER is 6-1 past 7 meetings and Dallas is 14-3 to the OVER in their last 17 home games. So while we are nervous of the Cowboys offense and nervous of their historical trend to play UNDER as a home dog of 7 or more, we see scoring here. Play OVER.
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Archived NFL Week 10 OVER UNDERs article from Nov. 10. 2023
Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens (38): Over
I understand why this is low. The Ravens and Browns rank first and third respectively in terms of points allowed. But you do have to consider that Cleveland is coming off a solid 27-point offensive performance with Deshaun Watson healthy again, and Lamar Jackson’s Ravens offense has put up more than 30 points in three consecutive outings. This is total is a little extreme.
Green Bay Packers at Pittsburgh Steelers (39): Under
Meanwhile, this one isn’t extreme enough. A Packers game hasn’t contained more than 36 points since September, both quarterbacks are garbage, and Pittsburgh games have averaged exactly 36 points this entire season. This game was made to finish 17-14.
New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (38.5): Over
As bad as the Giants offense is, I think we’re overlooking the fact the Cowboys have the league’s third-highest scoring offense, they love to play bully, and they’re likely to be in that mood after a tough loss to the Eagles. At home, watch for them to light it up. Toss in garbage-time point potential for the Giants and this one should easily hit the 40s.
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Archived NFL Week 10 OVERR UNDER picks article from Nov. 11, 2022
Denver Broncos at Tennessee Titans (36.5): OVER
I understand both offenses have stunk and both defenses are strong, but this is pushing it way too low considering that we’re talking about a game featuring Russell Wilson and Derrick Henry.
New Orleans Saints at Pittsburgh Steelers (40): UNDER
I know this is a low total but these teams scored a combined 26 points last week and the defenses are both strong despite recent fluctuations in points allowed. Pittsburgh has averaged a horrendous 11.5 points per game the last four weeks.
Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers (43): OVER
I know the Green Bay offense is a mess, but it’s not as though the defense has consistently lit it up. Meanwhile, the Cowboys offense is on fire and they’re coming off an outing that contained 78 total points. This number is too low.
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Week 10 OVER Picks archived article from Nov. 10, 2021
2021 RECORD: 19-21
Atlanta Falcons at Dallas Cowboys: 54.5 at FanDuel
The Falcons aren’t good, but I think folks might be underestimating an offense that has scored 27-plus points in four of their last five games. There’s no reason that unit can’t put up a similar number as a significant underdog against a Dallas defense that struggled last week.
But the icing on the cake for the over here is that Dak Prescott and the Cowboys offense should be fired up to bounce back against a bad D after stumbling last week against the Denver Broncos.
Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders: 51.5 at Draft Kings
I’m not sure why anybody would expect this to come close to shootout status. The Chiefs have averaged a comical 12.0 points per game the last three weeks, and their defense is performing a lot better as of late as well. The Raiders offense is also coming back to earth following some brutal off-field blows, so I really wouldn’t be surprised to see a result along the lines of 20-17 here.
New Orleans Saints at Tennessee Titans: 44.5 at FanDuel
I don’t trust the Titans offense sans Derrick Henry. The defense helped that unit significantly Sunday night against the Los Angeles Rams, but that might not be sustainable and the Saints have the league’s fifth-ranked scoring D. Tennessee’s defense does, however, have enough talent to keep Trevor Siemian in check. This one might not hit the 40 mark.
Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Chargers: 52 at Draft Kings
Fifty-two? The Vikings offense is erratic, but only two Chargers games this season have contained 52 or more points. The Vikes have been held to fewer than 20 points in three of their last five games. They might be in that range here, but I’m expecting a result along the lines of 27-20.
Check the latest Week 10 OU lines and earn a terrific bonus at FanDuel. Check out Draft Kings Bet $1 and get $100 promotions as well.
Archived Week 10 NFL OVER UNDER Picks article from Nov. 11, 2020
Four totals on the edge of 50 (or surpassing it) are the focus of Week 10 NFL OVER UNDER picks. Maybe you’ve already got your picks in for Week 10 of the 2020 NFL regular season, but by focusing only on point spreads, moneylines or fantasy, you’re robbing yourself of potential opportunities to make money on over/unders.
Here are several totals for this week that are worthy of your attention. For live odds and OVER UNDER line moves during the week, watch our NFL odds page.
Last week’s record: 16-15-2
