Week 11 NFL Betting Trends

When divisional rivals Baltimore and Cincinnati meet on Thursday night, there will be UNDER trends everywhere except when these teams face each other. They both come off bad Week 10 collapses and the Bengals have been awesome as underdogs while the Ravens always win in TNF home games.

Elsewhere in the list of Week 11 NFL betting trends, the Steelers have positive trends galore as they visit Cleveland in the other AFC North tilt this week. Dallas is a double-digit road favorite at Carolina but the last time in this role, they lost SU at Arizona in September.

Detroit has covered 11 straight divisional games as they face the Bears who have lost 11 straight divisional games. Something has to give in Week 11.

In the Sunday Nighter, Denver and Minnesota both look to continue hot streaks with the Broncos riding a miserable streak as favorites while the Vikings have won and covered five straight amid lots of injury woe.

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And a Super Bowl 57 rematch goes on Monday as the Eagles visit the Chiefs. KC has won 14 straight games in November while the Eagles have lost 6 in a row and 11 of 13 as an underdog.

Cincinnati @ Baltimore -3.5, Total 46 | Matchup Report

UNDER is 10-2 Baltimore’s last 12 games at home.

UNDER is 14-4 Baltimore’s last 18 games as the favorite.

Bengals are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as the underdog.

UNDER is 10-2 Cincinnati’s last 12 games as the underdog.

OVER is 5-1 past 6 meetings

Bengals are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games on the road.

Bengals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games at Baltimore

Bengals are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games played in week 11.

UNDER is 7-2 Cincinnati’s last 9 games played on a Thursday.

Ravens are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games played on a Thursday.

Ravens have won 7 straight Thursday home games SU, 5-2 ATS

Pittsburgh @ Cleveland -4, Total 37 | Matchup Report

Steelers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games.

Steelers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on the road.

Steelers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 divisional games

Steelers are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games as the underdog.

UNDER is 7-1 Cleveland’s last 8 games at home.

Minnesota @ Denver -2.5, Total 43.5 | Matchup Report

UNDER is 10-1 Denver’s last 11 games played in November.

Broncos are 2-12-1 ATS in their last 15 games as the favorite.

Vikings are 9-2 SU in their last 11 Sunday road games

OVER is 14-4 Minnesota’s last 18 games played in November.

Vikings won and covered 5 straight and are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games.

Vikings are 5-1 SU, 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games on the road.

Monday Night Football Trends

Philadelphia @ Kansas City -3, Total 50.5 | Matchup Report

Chefs have won their last 14 games played in November.

Chiefs are 13-1 SU in their last 14 games against an opponent in the NFC.

Eagles are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games on the road.

Eagles are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games played in week 11.

Eagles lost 6 in a row as underdogs and 2-11 SU past 13 times in this role

Eagles are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 MNF road games

UNDER is 11-2 Kansas City’s last 13 games at home.

Chiefs are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games played on a Monday.

Chiefs 8-1 SU past nine seasons after a bye

Extra Week 11 Trends

Commanders are 10-0-1 ATS in their last 11 games played in November (@ home to NYG)

Giants are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games at Washington

Commanders are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as the favorite.

Dolphins are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games at home

Lions are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 divisional games

Bears are 0-11 SU in their last 11 divisional games

Bears are 0-12 SU run in Sunday road games

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Archived Week 11 NFL betting trends article from Nov. 16, 2022

All the trends in the Monday Nighter point to Fave & UNDER, while the New York Jets try to end a 13-game losing skid at New England.

What else is on the slate for Week 11 NFL betting trends? The Giants always play UNDER in Sunday home games and the Vikings have been a great bet as home dogs over the years (they opened at +1 vs Dallas but that line may move).

The Chiefs almost never lose divisional games and they have seven straight at the Chargers as they head to LA for the Sunday Nighter. Check out the other Week 11 trends, results of our database mining with odds and stats dating to 1980.

Odds are early numbers as of Monday per Draft Kings Sportsbook, official betting partner of the NFL.

Titans @ Packers -2.5, Total 41.5 | Matchup Stats

UNDER is 12-3 Tennessee’s last 15 games

Packers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as the favorite.

Titans have covered 7 straight

Titans are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games played in Week 11.

Packers have lost 5 straight Week 11 games

Titans are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as the underdog.

Packers are 6-1-1 ATS, 6-2 SU in their last 8 games played on a Thursday.

Lions @ Giants -3.5, Total 46 | Matchup Stats

UNDER is 16-1 in NY Giants’ last 17 Sunday home games

Lions are 1-12-1 SU in their last 14 games on the road.

Lions are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 conference games

NY Jets @ New England -3, Total 38.5 | Matchup Stats

Pats have won 13 straight overall vs Jets and 11 straight at home vs Jets

Jets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.

Jets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on the road

Jets are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 divisional games

Jets are 1-10 SU past 11 times after a bye week

Cowboys @ Vikings +1, Total 47.5 | Matchup Stats

Cowboys are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games against Minnesota.

Cowboys are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games on the road.

Cowboys are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 conference games

Vikings are 16-5 ATS past 21 games as home dogs

Sunday Night Football Trends

Chiefs @ Chargers +7, Total 49.5 | Matchup Stats

Chiefs have won 11 straight games in November

Chiefs are 38-5 SU in their last 43 divisional games

OVER is 7-1 past 8 KC road games

Chiefs have won 7 straight at Chargers and 7-1 ATS past 8 visits

Chiefs played 5 straight OVERs when road chalk of TD or more

Chargers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games played in Week 11.

Chargers have won just once as a home dog of 7 or more points since 1988, but it was vs KC in 2005

Monday Night Football Trends

49ers @ Cardinals +7.5, Total 43.5 | Matchup Stats

Cardinals are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 Monday home games

UNDER is 10-2 Arizona’s last 12 games played on a Monday.

UNDER is 10-1 San Francisco’s last 11 games as the favorite.

49ers are 16-2 ATS in their last 18 Monday road games

Cardinals are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games against San Francisco.

Cardinals are 1-9 SU, 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games at home.

49ers are 6-1 ATS past 7 divisional games, Cardinals are 1-6 ATS in divisional games

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Week 11 NFL betting trends archived article from Nov. 16, 2021

New England looks to continue its ATS domination of Atlanta while the Giants, Lions and Texans are double-digit underdogs AGAIN as we mine the database for Week 11 NFL betting trends.

Can Green Bay extend its ATS win streak to 10? Can the Giants continue their incredible ATS run as a road dog, as they catch double digits in Tampa Monday Night?

Odds are from FanDuel and Draft Kings (as of Tuesday) so watch for line moves and grab generous bonus specials at these official betting partners of the NFL.

Thursday Night Trends

New England @ Atlanta +7, Total 47.5 at FanDuel | Matchup Report

Pats are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games played on a Thursday.

Pats are 14-3 SU in their last 17 games played in week 11.

Pats are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against Atlanta.

UNDER is 16-6 Atlanta’s last 22 games played in Week 11

Falcons are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games played on a Thursday

Falcons UNDER is 9-3 past 12 games as home dogs

Green Bay @ Minnesota +2.5, Total 49 | Matchup Report

Packers have covered nine straight games

Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on the road.

Packers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games when playing as the favorite.

Vikings are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games when playing as the underdog

Indianapolis @ Buffalo -7.5, Total 50 | Matchup Report

Colts are 2-11 SU in their last 13 games when playing as the underdog.

Colts are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on the road.

Colts are 5-21 SU in their last 26 games at Buffalo

Colts are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games played in Week 11.

Bills are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games

Bills are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games played in November.

Dallas @ Kansas City -2.5, Total 56 | Matchup Report

Chiefs are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games against an opponent in the NFC.

Chiefs are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games at home.

Cowboys are 13-1 SU in their last 14 games played in Week 11.

Cowboys are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games.

Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on the road

Cowboys are 13-1 SU in their last 14 games played in week 11.

Cowboys are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games when playing as the underdog

Chiefs are 4-16-1 ATS in their last 21 games

Sunday Night Trends 

Pittsburgh @ LA Chargers -5.5, Total 47 | Matchup Report

Chargers are 3-10 SU in their last 13 games against Pittsburgh.

Chargers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games played in November.

Steelers are 16-2-1 SU in their last 19 games played in November.

Steelers are 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 games as the underdog.

UNDER is 32-8 Pittsburgh’s last 40 Sunday road games

Steelers 12-5 ATS past 17 vs Chargers

Steelers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games at LA Chargers.

Monday Night Football Trends

New York Giants @ Tampa Bay -11.5, Total 50 | Matchup Report

Giants are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games on the road (21-6 ATS past 27)

Giants are 3-11 SU in their last 14 games played on a Monday.

Giants are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games against Tampa Bay.

Past 6 meetings all played OVER the total

Giants are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games at Tampa

Giants are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games played in Week 11.

Bucs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games at home.

Bucs are 20-5-2 ATS in their last 27 games played in Week 11.

Bucs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played on a Monday.

Archived Week 11 NFL betting trends article from Nov. 20, 2020

Another week, another double-digit road favorite to bet against. And this time, it’s the Pittsburgh Steelers again riding their 1-13 ATS streak as big road chalk as they visit Jacksonville (a team that nearly won as double-digit underdogs in Green Bay last week).

Editor Note: it was originally posted as 1-14 ATS record for Steelers, the correct trend is 1-13 ATS.

The other top underdog trend of Week 10 – do not mess with the patriots as home dogs – also hit as New England upset the Baltimore Ravens at home. That win made them 10-4 SU and 12-2 ATS in their past 14 games in that situation. They are small road favorites at Houston in Week 11.

This week, Miami is a road favorite for the first time in more than three years and Kansas City looks to extend an impressive ATS streak in divisional road games (18-4 ATS) at Las Vegas. First up is the Thursday Nighter where the Seahawks seem to always win and the Cardinals seem to always lose.

[ See also: Live NFL Odds | Best Sportsbook Reviews ]

Arizona +3 at Seattle Total 58 | Matchup Report

Arizona has covered five straight trips to Seattle and gets a field goal to work with here on Thursday Night. Is this a perfect spot for the Cardinals to sag after their Hail Mary win and a perfect spot for the Seahawks to bounce after consecutive losses? Seattle has won 8 straight Thursday night games.

Arizona is 8-1-2 ATS past 11 games as road dogs

Arizona is 3-12 SU in their last 15 games played on a Thursday.

Arizona is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games at Seattle.

Seattle is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 divisional games.

Seattle is 7-1-2 ATS in their last 10 games played on a Thursday.

Atlanta +4.5 at New Orleans Total 51.5 | Matchup Report

The Falcons won and covered four straight as divisional road underdogs and Drew Brees won’t play.

Falcons 9-2 SU, 8-3 ATS past 11 games after a bye week

Atlanta is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on the road

New England -2.5 at Houston Total 47.5 | Matchup Report

The Pats were road favorite all eight games in 2019, but this is just the second time in 2020. Can they win as road chalk a week after winning as home dogs?

Houston is 2-8 SU and ATS in 10 recent games as home underdogs.

New England is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against Houston.

Houston are 0-8 SU, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games when playing as the underdog.

Detroit +3 at Carolina Total 49 | Matchup Report

Some bad teams manage to cover spreads. Not the Lions. Some bad teams manage to cover spreads at home. Not Carolina.

Detroit is 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as the underdog.

Carolina is 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 home games.

Philadelphia +3.5 at Cleveland Total 47.5 | Matchup Report

Maybe their offense fizzles. Maybe their defense sizzles. Whatever the reason, the Eagles are UNDER machine in November, UNDER 12-2 past 14 games. The Eagles have won five straight vs Cleveland and never been underdogs to the Browns until now.

Cleveland is 8-2 SU in their last 10 games at home

Tennessee +6.5 at Baltimore Total 49 | Matchup Report

Titans have lost 8 straight Week 11 games. Why? Who knows, but buyer beware. Look at the UNDER trends instead.

UNDER is 14-3 Baltimore’s last 17 games vs AFC South division.

UNDER is 15-6 Tennessee’s last 21 games vs Baltimore

UNDER is 9-2 Tennessee’s last 11 games at Baltimore

Thursday – Pittsburgh -10 at Jacksonville Total 47.5 | Matchup Report

Pittsburgh is double digit road favorites again. And once again, we need to tell you – the Steelers are now 1-13 ATS in this situation. One of these days, Pittsburgh will blow a team out. Wanna bet it happens in Week 11? The Jaguars haven’t been double digit home underdog since Dec. 23, 2013 vs the Patriots and its only happened four times in franchise history. They are 4-0 ATS.

UNDER is 14-4 Pittsburgh’s last 18 road games.

UNDER is 8-2 Pittsburgh’s last 10 games at Jacksonville

Cincinnati +1.5 at Washington Total 46.5 | Matchup Report

Is this the week the Bengals end a 17-game road winless streak (0-16-1 SU) or is the sportsbook trying to trick you? The Bengals have won five of their past 33 games. Washington has won five of their past 22 games, so they MUST be better…

Washington is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as the favorite.

New York Jets +9 at LA Chargers Total 47 | Matchup Report

Maybe the terrible Jets have been historically excellent after a bye week, heal up, get some coaching? Not exactly, they are 1-8 SU, 3-6 ATS after a bye.

LA Chargers are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 games against an opponent in the AFC.

Miami -3 at Denver Total 45.5 | Matchup Report

This is the first time since Sept. 24, 2017 that Miami is a road favorite. But they have been hot and riding all kinds of positive ATS trends.

Miami has covered five straight in Denver and is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games vs Denver.

Miami is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games.

Miami is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games

Miami is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 conference games.

Kansas City -7 at Las Vegas Total 56.5 | Matchup Report

Here’s a weird one – Kansas City has scored exactly 40 points the past two seasons after their bye week. Here’s a better one – the Chiefs are 18-4 ATS in their past 22 divisional road games.

Kansas City is 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games

Kansas City is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games at the Raiders.

Las Vegas is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 divisional games.

UNDER is 19-5 Las Vegas’ last 24 divisional games.

Green Bay +2.5 at Indianapolis Total 51.5 | Matchup Report

Green Bay has been a road underdog twice this season and won each time (at Vikings, at Saints). But the Colts have owned the NFC lately and own a 7-2 ATS mark over the years vs the Packers. And there might not be anything legit to Indy’s terrific record in Week 11 games, but its worth knowing.

Indianapolis is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games

Green Bay is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs Indianapolis.

Indianapolis is 15-5 SU, 14-6 ATS in their last 20 Week 11 games.

Dallas +7.5 at Minnesota Total 48 | Matchup Report

Dallas finally covered a spread in Week 9 (1-8 ATS on the year) and comes off a bye week. The Cowboys have played OVER the total in 8 straight years after their bye week and are 12-1 SU in Week 11 games.

But they have been horrible against the Vikings (1-10 ATS overall) and failing to cover seven straight here in Minny.

Minnesota is 10-2 SU in their last 12 games played in November.

Dallas is 12-1 SU in their last 13 games played in Week 11.

Dallas is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games against Minnesota.

Dallas failed to cover 6 straight on road overall and 7 straight at Minnesota.

Dallas is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 conference games.

Minnesota is 17-5 SU in their last 22 games as the favorite.

Monday Night Football Betting Trends

LA Rams +3.5 at Tampa Bay Total 47.5 | Matchup Report

Here’s another weird Week 11 pattern that makes me scratch my head. Tampa Bay has been a terrible team for much of the past quarter century, but check out the record in Week 11 – 20-4-2 ATS). Why? Who knows. But it’s a stat worth knowing.

OVER is 14-3 Tampa Bay’s last 17 conference games

UNDER is 14-6 LA Rams’ last 20 games.

LA Rams are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against Tampa Bay.

LA Rams are 17-5-1 ATS in their last 23 conference games

LA Rams are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games played on a Monday.

More Week 11 NFL betting trends shortly…..