Maybe you’ve already got your picks in for the 2023 NFL regular season, but by focusing only on point spreads, moneylines or football props, you’re robbing yourself of potential opportunities to make money on Week 11 NFL over/unders.
Here are several totals for Week 11 that are worthy of your attention. Watch for line moves during the week in our live NFL odds section, where we also provide full statistical breakdowns and matchup reports for every game.
Odds are Tuesday lines from FanDuel Sportsbook, check them out during the week for line moves and awesome new bettor bonuses.
Cincinnati @ LA Chargers 47 – Play UNDER
The Chargers have been a reliable UNDER bet in most situations n recent years and the defense-first focus of the new coaching regime has emphasized that trend. The UNDER is 19-5 the past 24 Chargers games and they 12-2 when favored and 6 of the past 7 meetings have all played UNDER.
Cincy meanwhile has been a major scoring threat and a reliable OVER play (12-4 past 16) but they need to play this one closer to retain any playoff shot while the Chargers are comfortable at home playing low-scoring matches.
Houston @ Dallas 42 – Play UNDER
It’s hard to imagine Dallas getting its offense together even with an extra day to prepare. And while the Texans have looked better, they still managed to lose a game they should have won in Week 10.
Expect Houston to tighten up on defense and the Cowboys have no choice but to try to grind this out. Dallas often gets blown at home, they will probably still lose here but something like 21-10 feels about right here on MNF.
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Archived Week 11 NFL OVER UNDER picks article from Nov. 17, 2023
Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (48): Over
This might seem a little high considering Chicago’s offensive struggles of late, but Justin Fields should be back and that offense can put up points when it is rolling. A team that scored 30-plus points twice in October is due, we all know the Lions can score and both defenses are pretty weak. Watch for this one to contain 50-something points, at least.
Los Angeles Chargers at Green Bay Packers (44): Over
The Chargers have scored 27 or more points in three consecutive games, and both teams should be desperate in this spot. Both defenses are both a little banged up, too, and both offenses are getting healthier.
Las Vegas Raiders at Miami Dolphins (46): Under
Four consecutive Raiders games have contained 42 or fewer points, and Miami has been limited to 17 or fewer points in two of its last three outings. This has 24-17 written all over it, at best.
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Archived NFL Week 11 OVER UNDER picks article from Nov. 17, 2022
Washington Commanders at Houston Texans (41): OVER
Come on. With Taylor Heinicke, the Commanders put up 32 last week, and the Texans have given up a combined 53 points the last two weeks. Washington’s defense is only so-so on paper too, so this one should hit the mid-40s.
Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos (41): UNDER
The Broncos have scored more than 20 points just twice this season, so it’s hard to believe Russell Wilson and Co. will suddenly explode now. But that defense has also surrendered more than 20 points just once, and the Raiders have scored 40 total points the last three weeks.
Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings (47.5): UNDER
Dallas has the league’s fifth-ranked scoring defense, Minnesota’s defense is above average too, and I feel like the Vikings could be due to come back to earth after that high in Buffalo. In fact, both teams played high-scoring games last week so we’re going anti-trend here.
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Archived Week 11 NFL OVER UNDER picks article from Nov. 16, 2021
2021 RECORD: 21-23
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings: 49
The Packers defense is on fire, while the offense has averaged just 12.0 points per game the last two weeks. And while Aaron Rodgers can still light it up at any point, the reality is Green Bay hasn’t scored more than 27 points since Week 3. The Vikings are unpredictable as well, but I think this one is extremely unlikely to hit the 50 mark.
Dallas Cowboys at Kansas City Chiefs: 56.5
I get that both offenses exploded last week, but the two defenses allowed a combined 17 points. It’s also possible that performance was somewhat of an anomaly for Patrick Mahomes and Co., who have struggled for much of the year. The Chiefs D has been much better beyond just that Week 10 effort against the Las Vegas Raiders. I don’t think this one hits the 50s either.
New York Giants at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 50
This one, however, should exceed that mark. The well-rested Giants have held up well on offense despite a slew of injuries, while the depleted Bucs defense has surrendered 65 points the last two weeks and might be without standout Vita Vea here. Throw in that Tom Brady and Co. should be fired up after back-to-back losses and this is likely to be a shootout in prime time.
Baltimore Ravens at Chicago Bears: 46
The Ravens rarely lay two eggs in a row. They have too much offensive firepower and experience. They’ve scored more than 30 points in three of their last five games but put up just 10 last week so I’m expecting an explosion against a defense that has given up at least 24 points in four straight games. This is also a matchup between two bottom-12 scoring defenses. No idea why the total is just 46.
Archived Week 11 NFL OVER UNDER picks from Nov. 18, 2020
Last week’s record: 18-17-2
Week 11 NFL OVER UNDER picks
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES AT CLEVELAND BROWNS (45.5)
This is quite high considering that Browns games have contained a total of 39 points the last two weeks combined. Last week was a bit of an exception because of weather but I wonder if oddsmakers are letting that cloud their opinion of a shorthanded offense that hasn’t been crisp and a defense that can ball. I’m expecting low-40s here.
