Aug 2, 2018; Canton, OH, USA; A view of the Ravens logo on a game helmet prior to the game of the Chicago Bears against the Baltimore Ravens at Tom Benson Hall of Fame Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports

Week 11 NFL OVER UNDER picks

Maybe you’ve already got your picks in for the 2020 NFL regular season, but by focusing only on point spreads, moneylines or football props, you’re robbing yourself of potential opportunities to make money on Week 11 NFL over/unders.

Here are several totals for Week 11 that are worthy of your attention. Watch for line moves during the week in our live NFL odds section, where we also provide full statistical breakdowns and matchup reports for every game.

Odds are Tuesday lines from FanDuel, check them out during the week for line moves and awesome new bettor bonuses.

2021 RECORD: 21-23

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings: 49

The Packers defense is on fire, while the offense has averaged just 12.0 points per game the last two weeks. And while Aaron Rodgers can still light it up at any point, the reality is Green Bay hasn’t scored more than 27 points since Week 3. The Vikings are unpredictable as well, but I think this one is extremely unlikely to hit the 50 mark.

Dallas Cowboys at Kansas City Chiefs: 56.5

I get that both offenses exploded last week, but the two defenses allowed a combined 17 points. It’s also possible that performance was somewhat of an anomaly for Patrick Mahomes and Co., who have struggled for much of the year. The Chiefs D has been much better beyond just that Week 10 effort against the Las Vegas Raiders. I don’t think this one hits the 50s either.

New York Giants at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 50

This one, however, should exceed that mark. The well-rested Giants have held up well on offense despite a slew of injuries, while the depleted Bucs defense has surrendered 65 points the last two weeks and might be without standout Vita Vea here. Throw in that Tom Brady and Co. should be fired up after back-to-back losses and this is likely to be a shootout in prime time.

Baltimore Ravens at Chicago Bears: 46

The Ravens rarely lay two eggs in a row. They have too much offensive firepower and experience. They’ve scored more than 30 points in three of their last five games but put up just 10 last week so I’m expecting an explosion against a defense that has given up at least 24 points in four straight games. This is also a matchup between two bottom-12 scoring defenses. No idea why the total is just 46.

Archived Week 11 NFL OVER UNDER picks from Nov. 18, 2020

Last week’s record: 18-17-2

Week 11 NFL OVER UNDER picks


This is quite high considering that Browns games have contained a total of 39 points the last two weeks combined. Last week was a bit of an exception because of weather but I wonder if oddsmakers are letting that cloud their opinion of a shorthanded offense that hasn’t been crisp and a defense that can ball. I’m expecting low-40s here.

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Seven of nine Tennessee games and five of nine Baltimore games have contained 48-plus points this season, and an angry Ravens team should be fired up to make a statement against a quietly vulnerable defense. Baltimore is also pretty banged up defensively so this one should easily surpass the 50 mark.


The Jets offense was relatively impressive before their bye week, and it might be a good thing that Joe Flacco is getting another start. But the New York D has still given up 30-plus points in back-to-back games and Justin Herbert and Co. are too talented not to bounce back from a rough outing in this spot. This one should hit the 50s.


A touch low here as well. The Colts, who have scored more than 30 points in three of their last four games, should be able to get the running game rolling against a poor run D. Meanwhile, the Packers are the Packers. They put up just 24 points against Jacksonville but haven’t scored fewer than 30 points in back-to-back weeks since 2019.


Why is this so low? The Dolphins have averaged 31.6 points per game during their five-game winning streak and Denver has surrendered 30-plus points in four straight games. The Broncos offense might only need to hit the double digits for this one to go over the total.

Upcoming Games

Aug 18th, 8:00 PM

Chicago +3 -125

Seattle -3 -125


Aug 19th, 7:00 PM

Carolina -1.5 -110

New England +1.5 -110


Aug 19th, 8:00 PM

New Orleans +3 -125

Green Bay -3 -125


Aug 19th, 10:00 PM

Houston +2.5 -110

LA Rams -2.5 -110


Aug 20th, 1:00 PM

Detroit -1.5 -105

Indianapolis +1.5 -105


Aug 20th, 1:00 PM

Denver -1 -110

Buffalo +1 -110


Aug 20th, 4:00 PM

Washington +3.5 -105

Kansas City -3.5 -105


Aug 20th, 7:00 PM

Pittsburgh +2.5 -110

Jacksonville -2.5 -110


Aug 20th, 7:00 PM

Las Vegas -2 -110

Miami +2 -110


Aug 20th, 7:00 PM

Tampa Bay +2.5 -110

Tennessee -2.5 -110


Aug 20th, 7:00 PM

San Francisco +4.5 -110

Minnesota -4.5 -110


Aug 20th, 10:00 PM

Dallas +3 -110

LA Chargers -3 -110


Aug 21st, 1:00 PM

Philadelphia -3 -110

Cleveland +3 -110


Aug 21st, 7:00 PM

Cincinnati +2.5 -120

NY Giants -2.5 -120


Aug 21st, 8:00 PM

Baltimore +1.5 -110

Arizona -1.5 -110


Aug 22nd, 8:00 PM

Atlanta +1.5 -110

NY Jets -1.5 -110


Aug 25th, 8:00 PM

Green Bay

Kansas City


Aug 25th, 8:15 PM

San Francisco