Sep 11, 2022; Inglewood, California, USA; Los Angeles Chargers wide receiver Keenan Allen (13) and Las Vegas Raiders safety Tre'von Moehrig (25) in the first half at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Week 13 NFL OVER UNDER picks

Week 13 looks like a safe haven for NFL OVER UNDER picks, with at least four games that seem wrong-headed as far as the totals are concerned.

Get the predictions with odds as of Thursday courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.

Denver Broncos at Baltimore Ravens (38.5): OVER

I know the Broncos offense is a train wreck, but that defense has surrendered 45 points the last two weeks and we know what the Ravens can do offensively. Baltimore is also coming off a 55-point affair in Jacksonville. This is way too low.

Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders (50.5): UNDER

Before both teams played high-scoring games last week, they were not exactly involved in a lot of shootouts. Three of the Chargers’ last four games have contained fewer than 50, while four of the Raiders’ last five have contained 45 or fewer. This is pushing it.

Miami Dolphins at San Francisco 49ers (46.5): OVER

The Dolphins have scored 30-plus points in four consecutive games while the the 49ers’ loaded offense has averaged 24 points per game despite plenty of injuries the last four games. Why isn’t this in the 50s?

—–

Archived NFL Week 13 OVER UNDER picks article from Dec. 2, 2022

2021 RECORD: 23-29

New York Giants at Miami Dolphins: 41 – Bet the game at SugarHouse

The Giants are unlikely to have Daniel Jones, which lowers their chances of exploding as they sometimes do when Jones is at his best. Meanwhile, the Dolphins have surrendered 17 or fewer points in four straight games. I don’t think this one hits the 40s.

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Jets: 44.5 – Bet the game at Draft Kings 

The Eagles laid an egg in Week 12 but have proven to be quite resilient this season. They had also averaged 34.5 points per game in their previous four outings and could easily get back into that range against the league’s worst scoring defense. And while the Jets offense isn’t great, it has scored 17-plus points in five straight games. Expecting this one to hit the 50s.

Arizona Cardinals at Chicago Bears: 43.5 – Bet the game at FanDuel 

Huh? The Cardinals have averaged 32.8 points per game on the road this season, and the Bears defense isn’t what it once was despite a pair of strong performances against the Lamar Jackson-less Ravens and the SEC-worthy Lions. Don’t be fooled. Arizona should easily hit the 30s again as this one cruises over the total.

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks: 46.5 – Bet the game at Draft Kings

I’m done giving Russell Wilson and the Seattle offense the benefit of the doubt. Clearly something’s off there, and it might not be fixable against a strong San Francisco defense that is familiar with Wilson and has surrendered 10 points in two of its last three games. Throw in that the Seattle defense has performed just fine of late and I think we’re looking at an under here.

Archived Week 13 NFL OVER UNDER picks article from Dec. 2, 2020

Two low-scoring battles and two shootouts feature in Gagnon’s Week 13 NFL OVER UNDER picks package.

Cincinnati vs Miami and the Raiders vs Jets trend to low side, while the Patriots Chargers and Colts Texans could soar.

Here are several totals for this week that are worthy of your attention, watch for live line updates on our NFL odds page.

Last week’s record: 24-20-2

CINCINNATI BENGALS AT MIAMI DOLPHINS (42)

In their last three games, the Bengals have averaged 12.0 points per outing and committed a total of seven turnovers. However, Cincinnati’s defense has also allowed 20 or fewer in back-to-back weeks while Miami has both scored and allowed 20 or fewer in its last two games as well.

This strikes me as a game that is likely to finish in the range of 20-10 for the Dolphins. Hit the under.

LAS VEGAS RAIDERS AT NEW YORK JETS (47)

This is an interesting one because the Raiders and Jets scored a combined total of nine points (three field goals) last week. After putting up big totals in recent weeks, both offenses rather suddenly disappeared, but oddsmakers and the public must not be confident that’s the beginning of a trend because this total is still quite high.

It helps that both defenses are bad, but I’m not about to bet that these two will combine for 40, let alone 47. Keep in mind this is when the Raiders fell off a cliff last season, and the Jets D held the playoff-caliber Dolphins in check last week.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS AT HOUSTON TEXANS (51)

The Houston offense has come alive with 27 or more points in three of its last four games, and now the Texans have had extra time to prepare for a familiar opponent that has allowed more than 30 points in consecutive outings. The Colts have also scored 26-plus in three straight games and should be fired up to bounce back from a tough showing against the Tennessee Titans.

I can see both teams surpassing the 30-point plateau in a shootout here.

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS AT LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (47)

The Chargers give up 27-plus points per game every single damn week, but they also stick around with practically everybody they play. I’d expect a bounce-back from a rough performance in Buffalo for the Bolts as both teams push the 30 mark in an over here.

Brad Gagnon has been passionate about both sports and mass media since he was in diapers -- a passion that won't die until he's in them again. He was a lead contributor to an earlier incarnation of NationalFootballPost.com and was happy to return when new management revived the brand in 2020. Based in Toronto, he's covered the NFL since 2008 and has been a national NFL writer at Bleacher Report since 2012. He despises all 32 NFL teams equally but remains a fan of the Montreal Canadiens, Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He can be reached at Brad@NationalFootballPost.com

Upcoming Games

Feb 12th, 6:30 PM

Kansas City +1 -105

Philadelphia -1 -105

@