We’re here to guide you with weekly picks against the spread every week, and we’re still hanging in above .500 approaching home stretch. Here are 15 fresh takes for Week 13, with odds coming from Draft Kings and FanDuel Sportsbooks.
Tennessee Titans at Philadelphia Eagles (-5): Titans
The Titans simply battle. Their only loss by more than four points this season came back in Week 2 on the road against the rolling Bills. They can hang with a Philly team that hasn’t been quite right in recent weeks.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Atlanta Falcons (-1): Steelers
The Steelers just beat the Colts on the road, while the Falcons have quietly come back to earth with just one regulation victory since Oct. 16. Pittsburgh’s actually the slightly better team overall and should win a close game.
Kansas City Chiefs (-2) at Cincinnati Bengals: Chiefs
I don’t know that the Chiefs are five points better than the Bengals at a neutral site, as this line indicates. Still, it’s impossible to resist a quasi-pick’em situation with a Super Bowl favorite riding a four-game winning streak. The Bengals are also coming off a tough back-to-back on the road.
Miami Dolphins at San Francisco 49ers (-4): Dolphins
The Dolphins are absolutely crushing teams right now, while the 49ers have still been a tad inconsistent offensively. And you wonder when Jimmy Garoppolo is going to come back to earth. Giving up more than a field goal here with San Francisco would be unwise. This should be a field-goal game.
Archived NFL Week 13 Picks article from Dec. 4, 2021
DALLAS COWBOYS (-5) AT NEW ORLEANS SAINTS: COWBOYS
The Cowboys are getting healthier, while the slumping Saints appear to be running out of gas. They’re also down to Taysom Hill at quarterback without Alvin Kamara in the backfield. This is a lot of points on the road, but I just can’t get behind New Orleans for less than seven right now.
NEW YORK GIANTS AT MIAMI DOLPHINS (-4.5): DOLPHINS
Miami is really putting it together. At home, a well-coached and desperate team should extend its winning streak against an opponent that is likely to be without its starting quarterback.
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (-8.5) AT HOUSTON TEXANS: TEXANS
The Texans took down the Titans on the road two weeks ago. Surely they can hang with the Colts on the road. Indy also hasn’t been reliable enough for me to confidently lay more than a score.
MINNESOTA VIKINGS (-7) AT DETROIT LIONS: VIKINGS
Detroit is feisty, well-rested and at home. The Vikings have won just a single game this season by more than seven points and are without Dalvin Cook on the road. This is a no-brainer.
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (-6.5) AT NEW YORK JETS: EAGLES
The Eagles have some fight in them as well, while the Jets are simply so low on talent that it’s hard to see them stringing together consecutive wins. Wish this was closer to a field goal but I’m still on the Eagles. The Jets have lost five games but 15-plus points.
ARIZONA CARDINALS (-7.5) AT CHICAGO BEARS: BEARS
The Cards have won every road game they’ve played this season by double-digit margins, but every streak eventually has to end and the Bears are also well-rested coming into this one at home. I’m shying away from that hook.
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS AT CINCINNATI BENGALS (-3): CHARGERS
Both teams have been up and down. The Chargers were recently down, the Bengals recently up. Let’s keep rolling with that trend, especially considering that the former needs this more and the latter still lacks big-game experience.
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (-11) AT ATLANTA FALCONS: BUCCANEERS
This is a lot of points for a divisional road game, but the Bucs were legendary on the road down the stretch last year and they’ve outscored the Falcons by 40 points in their last two meetings. I’m not overthinking this.
WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM AT LAS VEGAS RAIDERS (-2.5): RAIDERS
These teams are extremely evenly matched, so I’m happy to lay less than a field goal with the home squad on extra rest.
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS AT LOS ANGELES RAMS (-12.5): RAMS
This is the perfect opportunity for the experienced Rams to bust out of a losing streak with a statement against an opponent that has lost 13 consecutive road games. It’s easy to overlook Jacksonville, but L.A. can’t afford to do that here.
BALTIMORE RAVENS (-4.5) AT PITTSBURGH STEELERS: STEELERS
The Steelers always find a way to compete, so I don’t think they’re going four weeks in a row without a win. But even so, they’ll hang at home with a familiar foe that has not been blowing out many teams this season.
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (-3.5) AT SEATTLE SEAHAWKS: SEAHAWKS
The 49ers have been hammered by the injury bug and you never really know when Russell Wilson’s going to put it together. I’m not giving up that hook with San Francisco on the road.
DENVER BRONCOS AT KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-10): CHIEFS
The Chiefs are rolling now, they’re usually pretty sweet in prime time and they’ve averaged 38.3 points per game in their last three post-bye outings. You never know in a divisional matchup like this, but 10 points isn’t bad.
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS AT BUFFALO BILLS (-3): BILLS
This is a gut pick. The Bills are the better team on paper and I have to imagine they have their duds out of the way. Meanwhile, the Pats are due for a letdown.
Archived NFL Week 13 picks article from Dec. 4, 2020
2020 RECORD: 86-82-5
CINCINNATI BENGALS AT MIAMI DOLPHINS (-11.5): DOLPHINS
The Bengals look toast without Joe Burrow and have been outscored 56-19 in their last two road games. I don’t totally trust the Dolphins as such a large favorite, but Miami does have four 17-plus-point victories already this season.
CLEVELAND BROWNS AT TENNESSEE TITANS (-5.5): BROWNS
The Titans have started to win games more handily and Cleveland is extremely inconsistent, but this number still feels a little too high. Both teams keep finding ways to win and I expect the Browns to battle in a game that should be settled by a field goal or less.
DETROIT LIONS AT CHICAGO BEARS (-3): LIONS
I don’t get the impression the Lions are torn up over Matt Patricia’s firing, which could mean they’ll be fired up to make a statement against a hurting division rival. Detroit is operating on extra rest while the Bears are a mess on offense and dealing with some crucial injuries on D. Lions win outright.