Maybe you’ve already got your picks in for Week 15 of the 2023 NFL regular season, but by focusing only on point spreads, moneylines or fantasy, you’re robbing yourself of potential opportunities to make money on over/unders.
Here are a few totals for this week that are worthy of your attention with odds as of Friday at Draft Kings Sportsbook with terrific signup bonus and same-game parlay perks.
Denver Broncos at Detroit Lions (47.5): Over
The Lions defense has surrendered 26-plus points in five consecutive games, and we know they can still put points up. Ditto for the Broncos, who have been strong defensively but could be due for some trouble against a desperate team on the road.
Broncos Lions pick preview and predictions, along with prop picks here.
Minnesota Vikings at Cincinnati Bengals (40.5): Over
I know Minnesota put up just three points and shut out the Raiders last week, but the law of averages says that offense has to have more in it after back-to-back duds. Regardless, the defense isn’t that freakin’ good, and the Bengals have found a ton of life with 68 points in their last two outings.
I expect both teams to hit the 20s here.
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans (37.5): Under
The Texans offense is in rough shape, even if C.J. Stroud is able to suit up. If not, it’s even worse. The defense isn’t great either right now, but let’s not fall into a trap with a Titans team that has suddenly scored 28 points in back-to-back games but is destined to come back to earth on short rest after a dramatic victory Monday night in Miami.
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Archived Week 15 NFL OVER UNDER picks article from Dec. 15, 2022
Dallas Cowboys at Jacksonville Jaguars (48): OVER
Dallas has the league’s third-highest-scoring offense, and the desperate Jags should have fight at home after putting up 28-plus points in two of their first three games coming off their bye. This should be a shootout.
Tennessee Titans at Los Angeles Chargers (46.5): UNDER
Tennessee’s offense is actually the ninth-lowest-scoring unit in the NFL. It hasn’t been right all season, and five of the Chargers’ last six games have contained fewer than 50 points. This is a 23-30-type game.
Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers (39.5): OVER
This is overdoing it. The Packers have scored 61 points the last two weeks and even these Rams are good for double digits for heaven’s sake. At home off the bye, Green Bay could cover most of this total on its own.
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Archived Week 15 NFL OVER UNDER picks article from Dec. 17, 2021
Covid 19 is messing with rosters and playoff positioning is motivating just about every NFL team in Week 15. That creates some opportunities for handicapping OVER UNDER picks.
Here are our favorite trio of games, with lines as of Thursday at FanDuel Sportsbook, official betting partner of the NFL.
2021 RECORD: 28-33
Arizona Cardinals at Detroit Lions: 47
The Cardinals have actually been held to 23 or fewer points in three of their last four games and are without DeAndre Hopkins for good now. The Lions defense is horrible, but this could be a blowout and the Cards could take their foot off the gas pedal in the second half. A Lions team averaging just 14.2 points per game the last six weeks might not do much to help this one reach the high 40s either.
Carolina Panthers at Buffalo Bills: 44.5
The Panthers are bad, but they do routinely score 20-plus points and they might not need to get close to that threshold for this one to go over. They’ve given up at least 27 points in three straight games, and we all know what the Buffalo offense can do. The Bills are due for a blowout, with this one likely creeping into the 50s.
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins: 41
Same deal here. The Jets are bad, but they’ve scored at least 17 points in six of their last seven games. The Dolphins defense has been superb, but the offense has also come around of late. Both teams are quite familiar with each other and should find ways to score, so this total just feels too low.
Archived Week 15 NFL OVER UNDER picks article from Dec. 15, 2020
Week 14 wasn’t great at all, but we focus in on three matchups where the totals speak to us. Check out the Week 15 OVER UNDER picks, as we handicap the following games:
New York Jets vs Los Angeles Rams, Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Football Team and Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills. See live lines and matchup reports for these games as well.
Last week’s record: 26-27-2
BUFFALO BILLS AT DENVER BRONCOS (50)
Drew Lock is coming on late this year just as he did in his rookie season, and the Buffalo offense is on absolute fire right now. Both teams have a nice amount of defensive talent, but they’ve both surrendered more than 24 points per game. Josh Allen and Co. should hit 30 while the Broncos reach the mid-20s as this one goes over the total.
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS AT WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM (44.5)
Both defenses have really begun to kick ass of late, with Seattle surrendering just 12.3 points per game the last three weeks and Washington giving up just 14.3 points per outing in its last four games. The WFT offense rarely gets far beyond the 20 mark anyway and the Seahawks offense wasn’t itself for quite some time before unloading on the winless New York Jets in Week 14. This one might not hit the 40s.
NEW YORK JETS AT LOS ANGELES RAMS (44)
The Jets have been held to 10 or fewer points in six of their last nine games and just three on two occasions in the last three weeks. Now they have to deal with the league’s third-best scoring defense on the road. Meanwhile, the Rams have scored 27 or fewer points in seven of their last eight games, and it’s easy to see them taking their foot off the pedal in the likely event of a blowout. This is another under waiting to happen.
