Dec 11, 2022; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; Philadelphia Eagles tight end Jack Stoll (89) fights off a tackle by New York Giants safety Tony Jefferson (36) during the second half at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

Week 16 NFL Betting Trends

NFL Trends for Week 16

The Rams own a perfect ATS streak against the Saints as they clash in the Week 16 Thursday Nighter while the Cowboys have failed to cover five straight as underdogs.

What else tops the Week 16 NFL betting trends list? Well, the Commanders are 2-18-1 ATS in their past 21 games vs AFC East teams as they visit the Jets and the Jaguars are riding a 3-21 SU streak in non-conference games as they visit Tampa Bay.

The Raiders never beat the Chiefs but they get 10 points on the spread this week, and the Giants never beat the Eagles but they get 11.5 points. And one of the other Week 16 Monday Nighters (there are three), the Ravens are road dogs and have been awesome when catching points and a juggernaut vs NFC teams as they visit San Francisco.

Watch for line moves and Same Game Parlay perks and specials at Draft Kings Sportsbook.

New Orleans @ LA Rams -4, Total 44.5 | Matchup Stats

Rams are 17-4-1 ATS in their last 22 games played in December.

UNDER is 12-2 New Orleans’ last 14 conference games

UNDER is 19-5 New Orleans’ last 24 games.

Rams are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games at home

Rams are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games at home against New Orleans.

UNDER is 10-3 New Orleans’ last 13 games played on a Thursday.

UNDER in 13 of New Orleans’ last 17 games as the underdog.

Dallas @ Miami -1.5, Total 51 | Matchup Report

Dolphins are 18-3 SU, 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games at home

Cowboys are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games played in December

UNDER is 8-2 past 10 meetings over the years

UNDER is 8-3 Dallas’ last 11 games on the road.

Cowboys 0-5 ATS past five games as underdogs

Cowboys 2-7 ATS past 9 Sunday road games

New England @ Denver -6.5, Total 34.5 | Matchup Report

Patriots are 2-13 SU in their last 15 games as the underdog

Broncos are 18-5 SU in their last 23 games at home to New England

Patriots are 4-16-1 ATS in their last 21 games

Broncos are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games played in Week 16.

Las Vegas @ Kansas City -10, Total; 42 | Matchup Report

Raiders are 3-18 SU in their last 21 games against Kansas City.

Chiefs are 14-1 SU in their last 15 divisional games

Raiders are 1-7 SU past 8 road games

UNDER is 8-3 Las Vegas’ last 11 games played on a Monday.

UNDER is 13-2 Kansas City’s last 15 games at home.

NY Giants @ Philadelphia -11.5, Total 43.5 | Matchup Report

Eagles are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games at home against NY Giants.

Giants are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on the road.

11 of past 14 meetings here played UNDER

Giants are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games played on a Monday.

UNDER is 8-2 Philadelphia’s last 10 games played on a Monday

OVER is 17-6 Philadelphia’s last 23 games at home.

Eagles failed to cover five straight in December

Eagles are 29-5 SU in their last 34 games as the favorite

Baltimore @ San Francisco -5.5, Total 46 | Matchup Report

Ravens are 20-4-1 ATS in their last 25 games as the underdog.

Ravens are 21-3 SU in their last 24 non-conference games

49ers are 19-2 SU in their last 21 games at home

Ravens are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against San Francisco.

Ravens are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games on the road.

49ers are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games at home.

49ers are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games played on a Monday.

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Archived NFL Week 16 betting trends article from Dec. 20, 2022

Christmas Week doubles as Week 16 for NFL betting and the trends point to the UNDER as Buffalo faces Chicago, a Bengals cover in New England and the Packers rolling to a 14th straight December victory as they visit Miami.

Check out the Week 16 NFL betting trends as we dig into the football betting database.

Jacksonville @ NY Jets -1, Total 38 | Matchup Stats

Jets are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games played on a Thursday.

Jaguars are 2-22 SU in their last 24 games on the road.

Last 5 meetings have played OVER the total

Jaguars are 6-18 SU in their last 24 games played in Week 16.

Buffalo @ Chicago +9.5, Total 40.5 | Matchup Stats

UNDER is 14-3 Buffalo’s last 17 games vs NFC North teams

Bills are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games.

Bears have lost 7 straight and 6-20 SU past 26

Bills have played 7 straight road UNDERs

OVER is 9-2 Buffalo’s last 11 games played on a Saturday.

Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games played on a Saturday.

Cincinnati @ New England +3.5, Total 41.5 | Matchup Stats

Bengals are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games, 19-3 ATS past 22

Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against Cincinnati.

Bengals are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 road games

Patriots are 16-1 SU in their last 17 Saturday home games

Patriots won 7 straight at home to Bengals

Bengals are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 conference games

Bengals are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games played in week 16.

Bengals have played 5 straight Saturday UNDERs

Bengals are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as the favorite.

Patriots lost 5 straight as home dogs

Patriots are 2-7 ATS, 1-8 SU in their last 9 games as the underdog.

Philadelphia @ Dallas -5, Total 46 | Matchup Stats

Cowboys are 10-2 SU in their last 12 divisional games

OVER is 8-3 Philadelphia’s last 11 games.

Eagles are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games on the road, but just 3-8 ATS

Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home to Philadelphia.

Eagles have lost 5 straight as underdogs and 8 of 9 SU

Cowboys have won 7 straight at home

Green Bay @ Miami -4, Total 49.5 | Matchup Stats

Packers are 14-0 SU in their last 14 games played in December.

Dolphins are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games at home.

UNDER is 8-3 past 11 meetings

Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games at Miami.

Packers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as the underdog.

Denver @ LA Rams +2.5, Total 36.5 | Matchup Stats

UNDER is 10-2 LA Rams’ last 12 games against an opponent in the AFC.

Rams are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games.

Broncos are 2-11 SU in their last 13 games on the road.

UNDER is 10-2 Denver’s last 12 games on the road.

Rams have won 5 straight at home to Denver

Broncos are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games played in Week 16.

Broncos are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as the favorite.

Rams are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 non-conference games

Tampa Bay @ Arizona +6.5, Total 41 | Matchup Stats

Bucs are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games

Cardinals are 1-12 SU in their last 13 games at home, 6-15 ATS past 21 at home

Cardinals are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against Tampa Bay.

Cardinals are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games played in December.

Each team has played UNDER in 8 of past 11 seasons in Week 16

UNDER is 10-2 Tampa Bay’s last 12 games as the favorite.

Monday Night Football Trends

LA Chargers @ Indianapolis +4, Total 46.5 | Matchup Stats

Chargers are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games at Indianapolis

UNDER is 14-5 Indianapolis’ last 19 games.

UNDER is 11-3 Indianapolis’ last 14 conference games

Colts are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games played on a Monday.

UNDER is 7-2 LA Chargers’ last 9 games played on a Monday

Colts are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as the underdog.

Chargers are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games as the favorite.

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Archived Week 16 NFL betting trends article from Dec. 22, 2021

Christmas week means plenty of giving, with the NFL offering up football betting action on Thursday, Saturday, Sunday and Monday. Your welcome…

Covid is back messing up lives and fucking up our money-making trends and streaks. Do the Packers win again in December, armed with a slew of positive Week 16 NFL betting trends?

Will Buffalo play OVER for an 8th straight time as an underdog? What about Baltimore’s money-making run as an underdog (14-2 ATS)?

Check out the trends and streaks and historical patterns, with odds courtesy of FanDuel as of Tuesday.

Check it out, with lines as of Tuesday at FanDuel and Draft Kings. For NFL odds updates during the week, visit the NFL odds page.

Thursday Night Trends

San Francisco @ Tennessee +3.5, Total 44.5 | Matchup Stats

Past 5 meetings all played OVER the total

OVER is 11-2 Tennessee’s last 13 games played in Week 16.

Titans are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games in Week 16.

Titans are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games against San Francisco.

49ers are 8-2-1 SU in their last 11 Thursday road games

Titans have played 6 straight OVERs as Thursday home games

Saturday Trends

Cleveland @ Green Bay -7.5, Total 45.5 | Matchup Report

UNDER is 13-2 Cleveland’s last 15 games played in Week 16

Packers have won 11 straight December games

Browns are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games

Packers are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games

Packers are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games at home.

Packers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 non-conference games

Indianapolis @ Arizona -1, Total 49.5 | Matchup Report

Cardinals are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games against AFC South division.

Colts are 2-16 SU in their last 18 Saturday road games

Colts are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games on the road.

UNDER is 6-1 past 7 meetings

Colts are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games

Cardinals are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games at home.

Cardinals are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Saturday home games.

Buffalo @ New England -2.5, Total 43.5 | Matchup Report

Patriots are 31-5 SU in their last 36 games against Buffalo

Patriots are 16-2 SU in their last 18 games played in Week 16.

Bills are 9-1 SU in their last 10 divisional games

Bills have played seven straight OVERs as underdogs

Patriots are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games

Baltimore @ Cincinnati -2.5, Total 44.5 | Matchup Report

Bengals are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games played in Week 16.

OVER is 10-3 Cincinnati’s last 13 games as the favorite.

Ravens are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games played in December.

Ravens are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games as the underdog.

Pittsburgh @ Kansas City -9.5, Total 46 | Matchup Report

Chiefs have won 13 straight SU in December 21, 2021

Steelers are 18-6-1 ATS in their last 25 games as the underdog

Chiefs have covered 5 straight after being terrible ATS all year

Sunday Night Trends

Washington @ Dallas -11, Total 47 | Matchup Report

OVER is 9-3 past 12 meetings including six straight at Dallas

Cowboys are 11-1 ATS, 10-2 SU in their last 12 conference games

WFT 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games at Dallas.

Monday Night Trends

Miami @ New Orleans -3, Total 38.5 | Matchup Report

Dolphins are 4-21 SU in their last 25 Monday road games

OVER is 9-2 New Orleans’ last 11 Monday home games

Dolphins are 6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.

Dolphins are 8-3 ATS past 11 December games

Saints are 15-4 SU in their last 19 non-conference games

Archived Week 16 NFL betting trends article from Dec. 22, 2020

Thursday

Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints -7: Total 52 | Matchup Report

Not much to see here, except a positive Vikings trends (6-1 ATS in their last 7 games at New Orleans).

Friday

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions +9.5: Total 54 | Matchup Report

The Bucs are seldom big road chalk (just five times since 1980 laying nine points or more) and they have never covered in this situation. Can Tom Terrific change that trend?

Bucs are 1-12-1 ATS in their last 14 games played on a Saturday

Lions are 3-18 SU in their last 21 games as underdog.

Bucs are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games against Detroit.

OVER is 11-3 Tampa Bay’s last 14 road games.

San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals -4.5: Total 49 | Matchup Report

Niners are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games.

Niners are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Arizona.

Cardinals 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played on a Saturday when playing at home.

Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders +2.5: Total 47.5 | Matchup Report

Lots of positive Miami trends here and an OVER trend when Vegas plays AFC East teams (11-2 past 13).

Dolphins 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games

Dolphins 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games against Las Vegas

Dolphins 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games against an opponent in the AFC.

Dolphins 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games when playing as the favorite

Saturday

Cleveland Browns at New York Jets +9.5: Total 46.5 | Matchup Report

This is the biggest road spread in franchise history for Cleveland, with the previous high of -7.5 just a few weeks ago at Jacksonville.

Browns 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games on the road.

Browns 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games against an opponent in the AFC.

Browns 8-1 SU in their last 9 games when playing as the favorite.

Jets lost 10 straight divisional games SU

Atlanta Falcons at Kansas City Chiefs -10.5: Total 53.5 | Matchup Report

Falcons were double digit road underdogs twice in 2019 and won outright both times. They are 8-2 ATS in this situation since 2003. Chiefs keep winning but are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.

Falcons 3-15 ATS in their last 18 games against an opponent in the AFC

Last five meetings all played OVER the total

Falcons 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on the road

Cincinnati Bengals at Houston Texans -9: Total 45 | Matchup Report

Cincy hasn’t won a road game in forever and they never cover against Houston.

Bengals 0-18-1 SU in their last 19 games on the road

Bengals 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against Houston.

Carolina Panthers at Washington Football Team -2.5: Total 44.5 | Matchup Report

Panthers 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games on the road

Past six meetings here all played UNDER the total

Panthers 6-22 SU in their last 28 games against an opponent in the NFC

Panthers 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games when playing as the underdog.

Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers -1.5: Total 44.5 | Matchup Report

The Colts usually lose as underdogs (6-23 SU past 29 games) but the Steelers look like a train wreck.

Steelers 15-1 SU in their last 16 games when playing at home against Colts

OVER in 9 of Indianapolis’ last 11 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh

New York Giants at Baltimore Ravens -10.5: Total 45 | Matchup Report

Giants are 18-4 ATS in their last 22 games on the road.

Giants 4-21 SU in their last 25 games when playing as the underdog but 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games when getting points.

Chicago Bears at Jacksonville Jaguars +7.5: Total 47 | Matchup Report

Not much to see here, the Bears usually fail to cover as favorites (3-11 ATS in their last 14 games in this spot).

Denver Broncos at LA Chargers -3: Total 48.5 | Matchup Report

UNDER trends anyone?

UNDER is 13 Denver’s last 16 divisional games

UNDER is 9-2 Denver’s last 11 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers.

LA Rams at Seattle Seahawks -1.5: Total 47.5 | Matchup Report

Not much here either, except Rams have been profitable road bets.

Rams 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games on the road.

Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys +2: Total 49.5 | Matchup Report

The Eagles have been road favorites twice this year and lost 27-17 in both games this year. Seems logical they would lose here 27-17 as well, despite their recent string of wins within the NFC East.

Eagles 18-6 SU in their last 24 divisional games

Eagles 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on the road.

Tennessee Titans at Green Bay Packers -3.5: Total 56 | Matchup Report

Green Bay is 11-1 SU in their last 12 Sunday home games while Tennessee trends OVER.

OVER is 20-7 Tennessee’s last 27 games.

OVER is 11-4 Tennessee’s last 15 games as the underdog.

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots +7: Total 46 | Matchup Report

The Bills have covered six straight spreads but are just 1-5 ATS in their past six divisional games.

Bills are 20-3 SU in their last 23 games as the favorite

Patriots 17-2 SU in their last 19 games at home against Buffalo

Patriots are 16-5 SU in their last 21 games played on a Monday.

Patriots 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games when playing as the underdog

Trend Dummy (not his real name) is a veteran sports betting writer, who really should be a lot smarter by now. Starting with a betting trends fascination in 1993, Dummy has been chasing trends, patterns, streak and mathematical anomalies ever since. A serious data miner with real databases and betting acumen, he sometimes stretches stats to fit a narrative, but the data is legit. You decide if the trends have handicapping value.

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