Trend believers need to take these trends with a grain of salt, given the extra week in the NFL season in 2021 – the fact Week 17 of previous years is actually Week 18 this year.
Sound complicated? It’s not. Adding a Week 18 to the NFL schedule means the motivation (or lack thereof) of the final game of the season now moves to Week 18, while Week 17 retains more meaningful motivations with playoff implications.
It doesn’t change the streak that Kansas City has strangely lost 5 straight at Cincinnati or that Pittsburgh has won 19 of their last 20 Monday Night home games. Check out the Week 17 NFL betting trends mined from our trusty football database with stats and info from 1980 to present.
Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook as of Dec. 28, watch line moves.
Buffalo @ Cincinnati +1, Total 49.5 | Matchup Stats
Bengals are 12-1 ATS in their last 13 games and 20-3 ATS past 23
Bills are 12-4 SU in their last 16 games against Cincinnati
Bengals are 15-2 ATS in their last 17 conference games
UNDER is 10-2 Cincinnati’s last 12 games played in January
Bills are 4-10 SU in their last 14 games played on a Monday.
Bengals are 4-10 SU in their last 14 games played on a Monday.
Bills are 17-4 SU in their last 21 games as the favorite.
Bengals have covered 8 in a row as underdogs
Archived NFL Week 17 Betting trends article from Dec. 28, 2021
Miami @ Tennessee -3, Total 41.5 | Matchup Report
Dolphins are 6-1 ATS in their 7-game win streak
OVER is 15-6 Miami’s last 21 games played in Week 17.
Kansas City @ Cincinnati +5, Total 49 | Matchup Report
Nine of past 11 meetings played UNDER the total
Bengals are 2-12 SU, 2-11-1 ATS past 14 games in January
Chiefs 18-4 SU past 22 road games
Chiefs have lost 5 straight at Cincy
LA Rams @ Baltimore +3.5, Total 46.5 | Matchup Report
Ravens are 13-1 SU in their last 14 non-conference games
Ravens are 17-5-1 ATS in their last 23 games as the underdog.
UNDER is 10-1 LA Rams’ last 11 games vs the AFC North division.
Rams are 3-11 SU in their last 14 games played in Week 17.
Ravens are 8-2 SU, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games at home
Arizona @ Dallas -5.5, Total 51 | Matchup Report
Cowboys are 12-1 ATS in their last 13 conference games
Cowboys are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games played in January.
Cardinals are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games played on a Sunday.
Cardinals are 3-14 SU in their last 17 games at Dallas.
Cardinals are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on the road.
Cardinals have covered 5 straight as underdogs
Cowboys are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 games
OVER is 13-4 Dallas’ last 17 games at home.
Sunday Night Football Trends
Minnesota @ Green Bay -6.5, Total 47.5 | Matchup Report
Packers are 21-2 SU in their last 23 games at home
OVER is 8-2 Minnesota’s last 10 games on the road.
OVER is 14-6 Minnesota’s last 20 conference games
Packers are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 Sunday home games
Monday Night Football Trends
Cleveland @ Pittsburgh +3, Total 41 | Matchup Report
Steelers are 19-1 SU in their last 20 Monday night home games.
Steelers are 17-1 SU in their last 18 games at home against Cleveland.
Browns are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 divisional games
Browns are 1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS last 7 Monday night games
Archived Week 17 NFL betting trends article from Dec. 29, 2020
Betting Week 17 NFL games is a balance act of handicapping motivation and determining which teams will rest starters and which coaches are trying to save their asses for next season. All the while contemplating the extent of petty grievances and divisional rivalry intrigue that make some teams play hard even when they have nothing to gain.
Week 17 sees one huge road spread as surging Baltimore lays 11.5 points at Cincinnati and one huge home spread as Indianapolis is motivated to defeat Jacksonville and they lay 14 point.
What follows are trends from our deep database mining exercise, but take them all with a 50-pound grain of salt, because other factors may trump them.
And check out the latest NFL odds as they move during this unpredictable final week of the season and check out bonus specials and hundreds of football betting options at top shops such as Draft Kings and FanDuel sportsbooks.