Buffalo is always a contending team but they are pretenders on Monday Nights. That fact (5-12 SU past 17 times) is one of many Week 3 NFL betting trends that bettors should watch this weekend.
The Jets are TD favorites Thursday night, just the third time since 2015 the traditionally woeful Jets have been chalk of 7 or more. They have also failed to cover six consecutive Thursdays, so maybe Aaron Rodgers can fix that one.
In Dallas, the Cowboys try to avoid a third straight home loss after reeling off 16 straight wins. But they are terrible as dogs and were getting 1.5 points earlier this week to visiting Baltimore. Check out the trends.
New England @ NY Jets -6.5, Total 37.5 | Matchup Report
Jets have been TD favorites just twice since 2015!
UNDER is 10-1 NY Jets’ last 11 divisional games
Patriots are 15-1 SU in their last 16 games vs NY Jets including 8 straight @ Jets
Patriots 10-3 ATS past 13 vs Jets
Patriots are 15-5 SU in their last 20 Thursday games
Jets failed to cover 6 straight Thursdays
Jets are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games as favorites
OVER is 7-1 past 8 times Pats have been dogs of 7 or more points
Philadelphia @ New Orleans -2.5, Total 49.5 | Matchup Report
UNDER is 12-2 Philadelphia’s last 14 games vs NFC South teams.
UNDER is 8-1 past 8 Eagles road games
Saints won and covered 4 straight as home chalk
Eagles lost 8 of past 10 SU as road dogs
Eagles are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games
Saints are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games.
San Francisco @ LA Rams +7.5, Total 43 | Matchup Report
49ers are 12-1 SU in their last 13 divisional games
Rams are 2-10 SU in their last 12 games as the underdog.
49ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games at Rams.
49ers are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 divisional games
49ers are 5-16 SU in their last 21 games played in Week 3.
Rams 10-2-1 ATS past 13 games as dogs of 7 or more
Baltimore @ Dallas +1.5, Total 48.5 | Matchup Report
Cowboys lost 2 straight at home after winning 16 in a row
Cowboys allowed 92 points past two home games
Ravens are 22-3 SU in their last 25 non-conference games
Ravens are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against Dallas.
Ravens are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games on the road.
UNDER is 12-3 past 15 games as Ravens road chalk
Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as the underdog.
Cowboys are 8-1 SU, 7-2 AS past 9 as home dogs since 2017
Kansas City @ Atlanta +3.5, Total 46.5 | Matchup Report
UNDER is 12-2 Atlanta’s last 14 non-conference games
UNDER is 10-2 Atlanta’s last 12 games as the underdog.
Chiefs have won 8 straight, 7-1 ATS
Chiefs are 17-4 SU in their last 21 games on the road.
Chiefs are 21-4 SU in their last 25 non-conference games
Chiefs are 23-7-1 ATS in their last 31 games played in Week 3.
Chiefs 14-5 SU past 19 as road chalk
Falcons played 5 straight UNDERs as home dogs
OVER is 9-2 Atlanta’s last 11 games played in Week 3.
Jacksonville @ Buffalo -5.5, Total 45.5 | Matchup Report
Bills are 21-5 SU in their last 26 games at home.
Jaguars are 3-11 SU in their last 14 games played in September.
Jaguars are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games on the road.
Jaguars have lost 7 of past 8 games
OVER is 5-1 in 6 career meetings here
Jaguars have lost six straight conference games, 1-5 ATS ‘
Jaguars are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games played on a Monday.
Bills are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games played in Week 3.
Bills are 5-12 SU in their last 17 games played on a Monday.
Washington @ Cincinnati -7.5, Total 48.5 | Matchup Report
UNDER is 10-2 Cincinnati’s last 12 games played in September.
Commanders are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games played in September.
Commanders failed to cover 5 straight in Week 3 and are 5-18 SU in their last 23 seasons
Commanders are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 MNF games
Commanders are 2-11 SU in their last 13 games as the underdog including 8 straight
Bengals won 9 straight non-conference games (7-0-2 ATS)
Bengals are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games played in Week 3, including 5 straight UNDERs
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Archived NFL Week 3 Betting Trends article from Sept. 19, 2023
Four games in Week 3 see double-digit favorites, starting with the Thursday Nighter in San Francisco where the 49ers have won 13 in a row in this situation. The Chiefs, Jaguars and Cowboys are also big favorites.
What else is cooking for Week 3 NFL betting trends? The Falcons have lost 6 road games in a row but have historically dominated ATS at Detroit. Philly has won 10 in a row as road chalk as they visit Tampa, but the Eagles seldom cover in this role.
And there are UNDER trends galore as the Rams visit the Bengals on Monday Night, even before we know the status of Joe Burrow’s calf strain.
Check out the database findings of Trend Dummy for Week 3 and sign up to play at Draft Kings sportsbook for tons of betting options and rewarding bonuses.
New York Giants @ San Francisco 49ers -10.5, Total 45 | Matchup Report
49ers are 13-0 SU in their last 13 games as the favorite.
Giants are 2-9 SU in their last 11 Thursday road games and lost 7 straight Thursdays overall
Giants are 3-10 SU in their last 13 vs NFC West division.
Giants are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games on the road.
OVER is 8-1 NY Giants’ last 9 games played in Week 3
49ers are 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games at home including 7 in a row ATS
49ers are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 conference games
49ers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games played in Week 3.
Atlanta Falcons vs Detroit Lions -3, Total 46 | Matchup Report
Lions are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games.
Lions are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games at home.
OVER is 9-2 Atlanta’s last 11 games played in week 3.
Falcons are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games on the road.
Falcons are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games against Detroit including 6-1 ATS at Detroit
Falcons have lost 6 straight road games
Falcons are 6-22 SU in their last 28 games as the underdog, UNDER 8-1 past 9.
Sunday Night Football Trends
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Las Vegas Raiders PK, Total 44 | Matchup Report
Raiders are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against Pittsburgh.
Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on the road.
Raiders have failed to cover 6 straight Week 3 games
OVER is 18-6 Las Vegas’ last 24 games played in Week 3.
Monday Night Football Trends
Philadelphia Eagles @ Tampa Bay +5.5, Total 46 | Matchup Report
Bucs are 2-9 ATS, 1-10 SU in their last 11 games played in Week 3.
Eagles are 22-3 SU in their last 25 games as the favorite.
Eagles have won 10 straight as road chalk but just 4-6 ATS
Eagles are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games on the road but just 3-8 ATS past 11
Eagles are 15-5-1 SU in their last 21 games in week 3 but just 3-9 ATS past 12
Bucs are 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 games.
UNDER is 17-6 Tampa Bay’s last 23 conference games
Bucs are 12-30 SU in their last 42 games as the underdog
LA Rams @ Cincinnati -1.5, Total 43.5 | Matchup Report
UNDER is 9-2 past 11 meetings of Bengals and Rams
UNDER is 9-2 Cincinnati’s last 11 games played in September.
UNDER is 12-1 LA Rams’ last 13 games vs AFC North division.
UNDER is 8-2 LA Rams’ last 10 games on the road.
Rams are 19-5 SU in their last 24 games played in September.
Rams are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games when playing as the underdog
Bengals are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games played in week 3.
Bengals are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games played on a Monday.
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Archived Week 3 NFL betting trends article from Sept. 20, 2022
The Vikings lost again on MNF, the Chiefs extended their divisional run to 37-5 SU and the Bills covered again as double-digit home chalk as Week 2 trends continued.
In Week 3, trends (unsurprisingly) do NOT favor the Cleveland Browns and beware betting against the Dolphins when they catch 6 or more points at home (like they almost definitely will vs Buffalo).
And check out all the UNDER trends in the Week 3 Monday Nighter between the Cowboys and Giants.
Get a bonus up to $1,000 when you sign up at Draft Kings this week
Pittsburgh @ Cleveland -5, Total 38.5 | Matchup Stats
Browns are 2-13 ATS in their last 15 divisional games
Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Cleveland.
Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 divisional games
Browns are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games at home
Browns are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games played on a Thursday (9 UNDERs)
Browns are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when playing as the favorite
Baltimore @ New England +3, Total 43 | Matchup Stats
UNDER is 15-6 Baltimore’s last 21 games on the road.
Ravens 2-9 SU in their last 11 games at New England.
Ravens are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games played in Week 3.
Patriots are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 games against an opponent in the AFC North division
Patriots 21-8-1 ATS since 1993 as home underdogs, but 1-2 ATS past 3 so that ship of trends may have sailed when Brady left town
Buffalo @ Miami +5.5, Total 52 | Matchup Stats
Dolphins 10-1 SU, 9-2 ATS past 11 games
Bills have won 7 straight vs Miami
Bills are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 divisional games
Dolphins are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 games at home
Dolphins 9-3 ATS past 12 as home dogs
If game closes +6 or higher, Miami has won outright 3 of past 4 as home dogs of 6 or more points
Green Bay @ Tampa Bay -2.5, Total 41 | Matchup Stats
Bucs are 2-11 SU in their last 13 games played in Week 3.
Packers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games when playing as the underdog.
Bucs are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games at home.
Bucs covered 5 straight vs NFC North teams
Packers 8-3 ATS as regular season road dog since 2018
San Francisco @ Denver +1.5, Total 45.5 | Matchup Stats
UNDER is 11-3 Denver’s last 14 games played in September.
UNDER is 17-5 Denver’s last 22 games as the favorite.
UNDER is 9-2 San Francisco’s last 11 games.
Monday Night Betting Trends Week 3
Dallas @ New York Giants -2.5, Total 39.5 | Matchup Stats
UNDER is 12-1 NY Giants’ last 13 games at home, but the OVER is 7-1 in their past 8 Week 3 games.
Cowboys are 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games
Cowboys are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games when playing as the underdog.
Cowboys are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against NY Giants.
Cowboys are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games on the road.
Cowboys have covered 6 straight divisional games (20-7 ATS in past 27 vs NFC East)
Giants lost 6 straight Monday Nighters
Giants played UNDER in 6 straight divisional home games
Archived Week 3 NFL betting trends article from Sept. 23, 2021
Not every week sees a pile of perfect streaks and trends but Week 3 NFL betting trends sees plenty of them. Now we just have to decide whether to bet the trend or fade the trend.
Is the Falcons-Giants game guaranteed to go OVER based on perfect Week 3 trends for both teams? The Chiefs almost always cover in Week 3 and the Chargers almost never cover in Week 3? Does that continue as the AFC West rivals clash?
Check out the latest trends, with odds courtesy of FanDuel (midweek check the live NFL odds) before visiting FanDuel.
Thursday Night Football Betting Trends
Carolina @ Houston +7.5, Total 43.5 at FanDuel | Matchup Report
This is the biggest road favorite number for Carolina since Dec. 27, 2015 when they were -7 at Atlanta and lost. Carolina has only been favored by a TD or more on the road four times in their history! All four games played UNDER.
Panthers 7-0 ATS past 7 road games
Carolina has played 5 straight games UNDER
Panthers 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games played on a Thursday.
Texans 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games.
Texans 3-12 SU in their last 15 games played in Week 3.
Texans 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games played on a Thursday.
Texans 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games when playing as the underdog
The last 6 times Houston was a home dog of TD or more, they gave up at least 33 points.
Indianapolis @ Tennessee -5, Total 48 | Matchup Report
Colts 20-5 SU past 25 vs Titans, 14-5 ATS in their last 19.
Titans 2-10 SU in their last 12 games at home to Indianapolis, 2-7 ATS past 9
Colts are 2-11 SU in their last 13 games as the underdog, including 9 straight SU
Colts 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games played in week 3.
Colts are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
LA Chargers @ Kansas City -6.5, Total 44.5 | Matchup Report
Chiefs are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games played in Week 3.
Chargers are 2-12 SU in their last 14 games against Kansas City
Chargers are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games played in Week 3
Chiefs are 1-11-1 ATS in their last 13 games
Chiefs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games at home
Washington @ Buffalo -7.5, Total 45.5 | Matchup Report
Washington 1-13-1 ATS in their last 15 games against an opponent in the AFC East division
Washington 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against Buffalo.
Washington 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games played in September.
Washington 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing as the underdog
Bills are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games.
Bills are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games played in week 3.
Bills are 21-3 SU in their last 24 games when playing as the favorite
Chicago @ Cleveland -7, Total 45.5 | Matchup Report
Browns are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games vs NFC North division.
Bears are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games vs AFC North division
Browns are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games when playing as the favorite.
Atlanta @ New York Giants -3, Total 47.5 | Matchup Report
Do you believe the Week 3 trends where both teams are OVER machines (8-0 and 7-0) or the UNDER trends of the head-to-head matchup and the Giants recent streak?
UNDER is 11-1 in NY Giants’ last 12 games against Atlanta.
UNDER is 10-2 NY Giants’ last 12 games played on a Sunday
Falcons are 1-10 SU, 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games played in September
Falcons 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games at NY Giants.
Falcons are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games against an opponent in the NFC
Falcons have played 8 straight Week 3 OVERs
Giants have played 7 straight Week 3 OVERs
Giants are 6-18-1 ATS in their last 25 games at home.
Giants are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against an opponent in the NFC.
Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh -3, Total 43 | Matchup Report
Steelers 19-4 SU in their last 23 games against Cincinnati.
Bengals 1-19-1 SU in their last 21 games on the road
Bengals are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games played in week 3.
Steelers failed to cover 5 in a row as favorites
Baltimore @ Detroit +8, Total 50 | Matchup Report
Lions 3-22 SU in their last 25 games when playing as the underdog.
Ravens 11-1 SU in their last 12 games played on Sunday road games
Ravens are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games against an opponent in the NFC.
Ravens are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games.
Lions 7-3 ATS since 2009 as home dogs of 7 or more
New Orleans @ New England -3, Total 42 | Matchup Report
Saints are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games on the road.
Saints have played 6 straight Week 3 OVERs
Saints are 21-6-2 ATS in their last 29 games when playing as the underdog.
Pats are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games played in week 3.
Arizona @ Jacksonville +7.5, Total 52 | Matchup Report
Jaguars have lost 17 straight games SU
Cardinals are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games.
Cardinals have played 7 straight road UNDERs
New York Jets @ Denver -10.5, Total 41.5 | Matchup Report
UNDER is 10-2 Denver’s last 12 games as the favorite.
Jets have lost 11 straight September games, 1-10 ATS
Broncos are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games played in Week 3.
Seattle @ Minnesota +2, Total 55 | Matchup Report
OVER is 11-2 Minnesota’s last 13 home games.
OVER is 9-2 Minnesota’s last 11 conference games
Seahawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on the road
Seahawks 18-5-1 ATS in their last 24 games played in Week 3.
Tampa Bay @ LA Rams +1, Total 55.5 | Matchup ReportÂ
Rams 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
Rams 0-7-1 ATS past 8 as home underdogs, haven’t won in this situation since 2016
Bucs have won 8 straight road games
OVER is 21-6 Tampa Bay’s last 27 games against NFC teams
Bucs are 2-10 SU, 3- ATS in their last 12 games played in Week 3.
Philadelphia @ Dallas -3.5, Total 52 | Matchup Report
Cowboys are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 Monday Night home games.
Cowboys are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games as the favourite.
Eagles are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games played in September.
Eagles are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 Monday Night road games.
Eagles 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on the road.
Eagles are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games played in September.
OVER is 17-7 Dallas’ last 24 games at home.
Cowboys are 16-5 SU in their last 21 games played in week 3.
Cowboys are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games when playing as the favorite
More coming soon…..
Archived Week 3 betting trends article from Sept. 27, 2020
OVERs continued to hit in Week 2, with 11 of 16 games going OVER, so beware the oddsmaker reaction of opening totals a little bit higher for Week 3. Home teams were 11-5 SU, including the Monday Night upset by the Raiders over the Saints. Overall, underdogs went 9-7 ATS.
Looking ahead to Week 3 NFL betting trends with opening odds courtesy of FanDuel and Draft Kings, officials betting sponsors of the NFL. See current NFL football betting odds on every game here at NFP.
Thursday Night Football Betting Trends
Miami +2.5 @ Jacksonville Total 47.5
Jacksonville is a bad team, but they are 2-0 ATS. The fact they only get 2.5 points at home against a bad Miami team should give pause to Jaguars bettors.
Jacksonville is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games played in September.
UNDER is 6-1 past 7 meetings
Miami is 3-19 SU past 22 road games
Miami is 8-3 ATS past 11 games vs conference foes.
Miami lost 7 straight Sept games, 1-6 ATS
UNDER is 9-2 Miami’s last 11 Thursday night games.
Miami is 10-4 ATS past 14 games as the underdog.
Miami is 0-5 ATS streak in Thursday night road games.
Jags 2-6 ATS past 8 as favorites
