The calendar has flipped to October which means the Saints won’t lose, its Week 4 so Miami won’t win and the Patriots are double-digit dogs for just the second time since 2001.
What kind of Week 4 betting trends await bettors now that the first sporadic weeks of the season are behind us? Are the Jaguars pretenders or contenders as they catch 6.5 points in Philly?
Check out the trends for Week 4, watch our updated NFL odds and visit FanDuel and Draft Kings for super bonus offers for new players.
Thursday Night Trends
Miami @ Cincinnati -3.5, Total 47 | Matchup Stats
UNDER is 10-2 Cincinnati’s last 12 games.
Bengals are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 conference games
Dolphins are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games (10-2 ATS)
Dolphins are 1-11 SU in their last 12 games played in Week 4.
Dolphins are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games against Cincinnati.
Past 5 meetings here played UNDER
Dolphins lost 7 straight Week 4 games and 5-17 ATS past 22 games.
Dolphins UNDER in 11-2 Miami’s last 13 games played on a Thursday.
Dolphins are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games as the underdog.
Minnesota vs New Orleans @ London +2.5, Total 43.5 | Matchup Stats
Saints are 18-1 SU past 19 games in October and 23-6 ATS past 29 in October
Vikings have won 5 straight (4-1 ATS) past 5 as favorite
Saints are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games vs NFC North division
Saints are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games played in Week 4.
Saints 1-5 ATS in their last 6 as the underdog.
Buffalo @ Baltimore +3.5, Total 52 | Matchup Stats
Ravens are 7-1 ATS since 2015 as home dogs
Ravens are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games as the underdog.
UNDER is 8-2 past 10 meetings
Bills have lost 5 straight at Baltimore
Bills are 12-4 SU past 16 games as road favorites (lost last week in Miami)
Jacksonville @ Philadelphia -6.5, Total; 48.5 | Matchup Stats
Eagles are 10-2 SU in their last 12 vs AFC South division.
OVER is 9-2 Philadelphia’s last 11 vs AFC South division.
Jaguars are 0-17 SU in their last 17 non-conference games
Jaguars are 1-18 SU in their last 19 road games
Eagles are 2-8-1 SU, 3-9 ATS past 12 non-conference games
Eagles won 7 straight as favorites
New England @ Green Bay -10.5, Total 39.5 | Matchup Stats
Patriots are 16-2 SU in their last 18 games vs NFC North
Patriots are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games.
Packers are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games at home.
Packers are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games played in October.
Packers have covered four straight as double-digit home faves
Patriots are double-digit dogs for just the second time since 2001
Sunday Night Football Trends
Kansas City @ Tampa Bay +2.5, Total 45 | Matchup Stats
Chiefs are 13-1 SU in their last 14 non-conference games
Tampa is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games played in Week 4.
Chiefs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against Tampa Bay.
Chiefs are 20-6 SU in their last 26 road games
OVER is 9-3 past 12 KC games as road chalk
Bucs have covered 5 straight at home to KC
Bucs have covered 5 straight as underdogs
Monday Night Football Trends
LA Rams @ San Francisco -2.5, Total 42.5 | Matchup Stats
UNDER is 10-1 San Francisco’s last 11 games.
49ers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games against LA Rams.
Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played on a Monday.
OVER is 16-6 LA Rams’ last 22 games as the underdog.
49ers have lost 6 straight Week 4 games – why? No idea.
49ers are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games played on a Monday.
Week 4 NFL betting trends archived article from Sept. 27, 2021
New Orleans never seems to lose in October and the Jaguars never seem to win, period. And the 0-3 Giants almost always cover on the road.
Check out more Week 4 NFL betting trends in 2021.
Thursday Night Football
Jacksonville @ Cincinnati -7.5, Total 45.5 | Matchup Report
First time since 2017 Cincy is a home fave of 7 or more points.
Jaguars have lost 18 straight games
Bengals are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games at home
Bengals are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games played in week 4.
Bengals have played OVER the past 6 games as favorites
Detroit @ Chicago -3, Total 42.5 | Matchup Report
Lions are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games played in week 4.
Lions 1-12 SU in their last 13 divisional games
UNDER is 15-5 Chicago’s last 20 home games.
Bears are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 divisional games
Bears are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games when playing as the favorite.
NY Giants @ New Orleans -7.5, Total 43.5 | Matchup Report
Giants are 1-12 SU in their last 13 games played in October.
Saints are 22-2 SU in past 24 October games, including 15 in a row (21-4 ATS past 25)
UNDER is 9-1 NY Giants’ last 10 games.
Giants are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games against New Orleans
Giants are 19-5 ATS in their last 24 games on the road.
Giants are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 conference games
Saints are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games.
UNDER is 9-2 New Orleans’ last 11 conference games
Saints are 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games played in week 4.
Cleveland @ Minnesota +2, Total 52.5 | Matchup Report
Vikings are 12-3 SU in their last 15 games played in October.
Browns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on the road.
Browns are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games played in October.
Browns are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games played in week 4.
Browns are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games when playing as the favorite
OVER is 8-2 Minnesota’s last 10 games at home.
Vikings are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games played in October.
Vikings are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games when playing as the underdog
Carolina @ Dallas -4.5, Total 50.5 | Matchup Report
Panthers have covered 8 straight on the road
Panthers covered 7 straight as road underdogs
Cowboys 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games played in Week 4.
Panthers 8-2 ATS past 10 Week 4 games
OVER is 9-2 Dallas’ last 11 games at home.
Panthers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games when playing as the underdog
OVER is 21-8 past 29 Dallas conference games
Cowboys are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games as the favorite.
Baltimore @ Denver -1, Total 45 | Matchup Report
Broncos are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games at home against Baltimore.
Ravens are 12-1 SU in their last 13 Sunday road games
Ravens are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games when playing as the underdog.
Broncos are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games played in October.
Broncos won 6 straight as favorite, 5-1 ATS
Houston @ Buffalo -17, Total 47 | Matchup Report
OVER is 7-1 past 8 games as double-digit favorites
Bills are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games.
Texans are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games played in week 4.
Texans are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games when playing as the underdog.
Biggest dog spread for Houston since Nov. 13 2005 at Colts
UNDER is 7-1 Buffalo’s last 8 games played in Week 4
Tennessee at NY Jets +6.5, Total 44.5 | Matchup Report
OVER is 12-1 Tennessee’s last 13 Sunday road games.
OVER is 11-1 Tennessee’s last 12 games played in Week 4 (18-4 past 22 seasons).
OVER is 12-4 Tennessee’s last 16 road games.
Titans are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games against NY Jets.
Kansas City @ Philadelphia +6.5, Total 54.5 | Matchup Report
Chiefs are 1-12-1 ATS in their last 14 games.
UNDER is 13-3 Philadelphia’s last 16 games at home.
Pittsburgh @ Green Bay -6.5, Total 45.5 | Matchup Report
Steelers are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games when playing as the underdog
Steelers are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games played in October.
Packers are 15-2 SU in their last 17 games at home
Monday Night Football Trends
Las Vegas @ LA Chargers -3, Total 51.5 | Matchup Report
OVER is 12-2 LA Chargers’ last 14 games played in Week 4.
UNDER is 26-8 last 34 meetings at Chargers
Las Vegas 9-2 ATS in their last 11 Monday Night games.
OVER is 9-2 Las Vegas’ last 11 conference games
OVER is 15-4 Las Vegas’ last 19 games.
Chargers 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games at LA Chargers
Chargers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games
Raiders are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games played in Week 4.
Raiders 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing as the underdog.
UNDER is 15-6 LA Chargers’ last 21 home games.
Chargers have lost 6 straight MNF games SU
More Week 4 NFL betting trends soon…
Archived Week 4 NFL Betting Trends article from Sept. 29, 2020
The San Francisco 49ers ride an ATS death streak into their Week 4 home game against the deathly Philadelphia Eagles and the New York Giants bring a super-profitable road trend to their super-terrible season.
Throw in Week 4 NFL betting trends in the Pittsburgh-Tennessee matchup (OVER streaks galore), a blistering ATS streak by the Saints in October (20-2 ATS) and you have some serious handicapping data to digest this week.
Let’s get started with the Thursday Night Football trends between the Broncos and Jets. Get all the latest NFL odds and our new matchup reports on every game this week.
Denver -3 at NY Jets Total 40
Bettors who prefer trends that cut both ways will consider fading the Broncos here. Denver is 0-3 their past three times a road favorites, while the Jets were home dogs of 1-3.5 points three times and won outright each time. If you can stomach trusting the Jets as small home dogs, here is a great way to start the week.
Denver is 6-21 SU in their last 27 games on the road
OVER is 6-1 Denver’s last 7 visits to NY Jets.
UNDER is 17-5 Denver’s last 22 conference games
Denver is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games played on a Thursday.