Dec 8, 2019; Foxborough, MA, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) grabs the face mask of New England Patriots middle linebacker Kyle Van Noy (53) while trying to get away resulting in a penalty against Mahomes during the second half at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Winslow Townson-USA TODAY Sports

Week 4 NFL Picks: Colts, Ravens, Patriots cover

Week 4 NFL picks continue after a strong showing with our first three weeks, here are the next 15 kicks at the can, with odds coming from SugarHouse Sportsbook. Check out live odds and matchup reports on every game as well.

2020 RECORD: 30-17-1

DENVER BRONCOS (-1) AT NEW YORK JETS: JETS

Hate myself for doing this, but the Broncos are even more banged up than the Jets and it’s possible Gang Green will be fired up on behalf of head coach Adam Gase, who looks to be on the hot seat. I need a shower. Jets by a field goal against a depleted team traveling on short rest.

ARIZONA CARDINALS (-3) AT CAROLINA PANTHERS: CARDINALS

Cards quarterback Kyler Murray is likely to bounce back from a rough outing because the rebuilding Carolina defense is a mess. Teddy Bridgewater might not have the arm to take advantage of Arizona’s shortcomings in the defensive backfield, especially without superstar back Christian McCaffrey. Arizona wins by a double-digit margin.

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BALTIMORE RAVENS (-13.5) AT WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM: RAVENS

A Ravens team that simply knows how to win will be fired up to send a message here, and the WFT won’t be able to do much to stop Lamar Jackson without Chase Young likely out alongside Matt Ioannidis. Dwayne Haskins Jr. is struggling with limited support and the veteran Ravens D should own him Sunday. It’s by far the biggest road number of the year. Blowout coming.

CLEVELAND BROWNS AT DALLAS COWBOYS (-4.5): BROWNS

The depleted Dallas front seven might not be able to slow down Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt, and the offensive line still isn’t in great shape for a matchup with Myles Garrett on the other side of the ball. I’m not willing to spot Cleveland a handful of points here. This’ll be a very close game.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (-2.5) AT CHICAGO BEARS: COLTS

The Bears could so easily be 0-3, and now they’re taking on an underrated Indy squad with the best team DVOA in the NFL. This will be a correction game, with the awesome Colts defense shutting down Nick Foles and the still-questionable Chicago offense. Indianapolis by at least a touchdown.

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS AT CINCINNATI BENGALS (-3): JAGUARS

Bengals by a field goal is the most likely result here, but the second-most-likely outcome is a narrow win for either team. That’s simply why the better-rested Jags make more sense against a bad team with a rookie quarterback who isn’t well-protected. Push feels like the worst-case scenario, especially with D.J. Chark likely to return to the Jags lineup.

LOS ANGELES CHARGERS AT TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (-7): BUCCANEERS

I’d be all over L.A. here if the Bolts were so ravaged by injuries. It’s just going to be tough to travel across the country with so many key players hurt on both sides of the ball, and Tampa Bay’s fierce defensive front should have a field day with Justin Herbert and his weak offensive line. Bucs by double digits.

MINNESOTA VIKINGS AT HOUSTON TEXANS (-4): VIKINGS

Both are due, but the Texans have more talent and are at home, which is why I think they deliver the moneyline here. But why in the world would I lay four points? The Vikes are talented enough to stick around against a mediocre defense, and they’ll be desperate as well. This is a field-goal game.

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-4) AT DETROIT LIONS: SAINTS

New Orleans is 5-0 straight-up and against the spread in their last five Week 4 games. They typically start slow and then pick it up right around now, which means the depleted Lions secondary is in the wrong place at the wrong time — especially if Michael Thomas is able to go for the Saints. The Lions haven’t won back-to-back games since last September and haven’t covered consecutive spreads since last October. Look for that trend to continue here.

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (-6.5) AT MIAMI DOLPHINS: DOLPHINS

The public is all over Seattle because of the hype surrounding Russell Wilson, but Miami is on extra rest and could get top corner Byron Jones back from injury. Ryan Fitzpatrick is also on fire and facing a porous Seahawks pass defense. In Miami, this could be closer than most expect.

NEW YORK GIANTS AT LOS ANGELES RAMS (-12.5): RAMS

The Giants won’t be able to take advantage of a vulnerable Rams run defense without top back Saquon Barkley, and as a result, Daniel Jones could be in trouble with Aaron Donald. Jared Goff and the Rams offense is cruising as well, and it’s hard to imagine the Giants interrupting that flow.

BUFFALO BILLS (-3) AT LAS VEGAS RAIDERS: BILLS

The Raiders came back to earth with a tough loss to the New England Patriots last week and could be in even more trouble with both Bryan Edwards and Henry Ruggs III likely sidelined on offense against Buffalo. The Bills are on fire right now, and the Raiders secondary should be easy for Josh Allen’s big arm to deal with.

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS AT KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-7): PATRIOTS

New England hasn’t failed to cover as a seven-plus-point underdog since Tom Brady’s fifth career start back in 2001. The Pats are well-coached and defensively stout, and they simply know how to stick around. That should again happen here with Kansas City coming off a short week and a high-energy victory over Baltimore.

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES AT SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (-7): 49ERS

I can’t bring myself to pick Philly considering all of its injuries, Carson Wentz’s apparent yips and the fact the 49ers are actually getting healthier with stud tight end George Kittle expected to return. Can the Eagles really take advantage of all the injuries to San Francisco’s defensive front? It doesn’t feel like it, and the push could be on our side here anyway.

ATLANTA FALCONS AT GREEN BAY PACKERS (-7): PACKERS

The Falcons have lost my trust entirely, while Green Bay’s offense is the hottest in football. The Packers have a strong enough pass rush to counter Matt Ryan and a banged-up Julio Jones, the Falcons don’t have the rushing talent to take advantage of a beatable Green Bay run D, and an Atlanta secondary in shambles could be screwed if Davante Adams returns to the Packers offense.

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