Week 4 OVER UNDER picks, best bets

Week 4 OVER UNDER picks arm bettors with information on betting NFL totals, instead of focusing only on point spreads, moneylines or fantasy. There are plenty of potential opportunities to make money on over/unders and we have identified four early games (odds courtesy of SugarHouse, BetRivers Illinois and BetRivers Indiana) that are worthy of your attention.

Last week’s record: 5-5

Arizona Cardinals at Carolina Panthers (52)

This seems awfully high considering that no Cardinals game has contained 50 points yet this season and the last two Panthers games have averaged just 43. Arizona quarterback Kyler Murray struggled in Week 3, while star running back Christian McCaffrey remains out for a Carolina offense that has scored just 38 points the last two weeks.

Throw in that the Cards defense continues to perform well and this has the look of a mid-40s game, which would stay comfortably UNDER the opening number of 52.

This total is high because both offenses are stacked and the Dallas D is particularly vulnerable, but I still don’t think it’s high enough. It’d be surprising if both offenses didn’t hit the 30 plateau Sunday, as that’s something Cleveland has done in back-to-back games including against a much better Washington defense.

Meanwhile, the Cowboys’ last two outings have averaged 74 points, and they’ll likely be desperate to keep up with a Browns squad that has gained momentum. This has the look of a wild game that should easily contain 60-plus total points.

Indianapolis Colts at Chicago Bears (45)

The Indy defense isn’t getting enough credit yet for how dominant it has been the last two weeks, while Nick Foles mania might also be driving up this total. But Foles has never been consistent and will face a much larger challenge than he had against the Atlanta Falcons, especially without injured jack-of-all-trades back Tarik Cohen.

The Colts actually have the top-rated defense in football in terms of DVOA after surrendering just 18 points the last two weeks, so I’m not expecting Chicago to hit the 20 mark but a talented Bears defense should also avoid embarrassment.

An Indianapolis blowout could still push this one into the 40s in garbage time, but the under looks like a safe bet right now.

Seattle Seahawks at Miami Dolphins (54)

The rested and rolling Miami offense can be just as capable as New England or Dallas, both of whom broke the 30-point plateau against Seattle the last two weeks. That defense is banged up and struggling, but Russell Wilson and the offense continue to make up for it.

That should continue to be the case Sunday in Miami, especially if the Dolphins are still without top cornerback Byron Jones. Gardner Minshew II couldn’t take advantage, but the Buffalo Bills sure did one week earlier and Seattle should push the 40 mark here as this one goes way over.